Important-Attenuation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$735

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-14 22:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 38% $-41

Other

10% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$80	53	51	+2	Up	+$23	05-13 14:14
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$75	106	0	+106	open	—	05-14 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	4	$49	74	0	+74	open	—	05-14 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	7	$47	76	0	+76	open	—	05-14 22:29
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$38	56	0	+56	open	—	05-14 22:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$37	45	0	+45	open	—	05-14 15:00
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$36	55	0	+55	open	—	05-14 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$34	53	53	+0	Down	$-25	05-13 13:50
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$30	58	0	+58	open	—	05-14 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$29	53	0	+53	Down	$-29	05-13 15:12
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$29	52	0	+52	open	—	05-14 20:29
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$29	48	0	+48	open	—	05-14 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$27	48	0	+48	open	—	05-14 22:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$26	39	0	+39	open	—	05-14 15:44
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	05-14 14:59
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$18	22	0	+22	open	—	05-14 20:59
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$17	21	0	+21	open	—	05-14 15:04
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$14	19	0	+19	open	—	05-14 09:25
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$11	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-14 21:00
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$9	15	0	+15	open	—	05-14 19:59
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	3	$8	10	0	+10	Up	$-3	05-14 01:45
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$8	12	0	+12	open	—	05-14 12:09
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 19:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 18:19
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-14 01:30
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	$-4	05-14 01:25
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 11:55
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 15:50
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 09:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 22:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xf13d8e…
05-14 22:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xe9da37…
05-14 22:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xd129d8…
05-14 22:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x8a248e…
05-14 22:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	65¢	$17	0x62c4ff…
05-14 22:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x582a73…
05-14 22:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x259104…
05-14 22:14:57	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x3a4162…
05-14 22:14:53	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	61¢	$19	0xabd95c…
05-14 22:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	48	56¢	$27	0xe13047…
05-14 21:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x265d32…
05-14 20:59:59	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	85¢	$18	0xf1cf8b…
05-14 20:29:59	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	59¢	$19	0x6c1f93…
05-14 20:29:57	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	43	62¢	$26	0xb13c01…
05-14 20:29:57	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2b10a0…
05-14 20:29:57	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x056318…
05-14 20:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xd60d03…
05-14 20:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	85¢	$7	0xa70dc1…
05-14 20:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0xfa498f…
05-14 20:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0xdbbb56…
05-14 20:00:03	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	61¢	$28	0x7d9251…
05-14 20:00:01	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	81¢	$17	0xc0e352…
05-14 19:59:58	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0x363d89…
05-14 19:59:56	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xe3da99…
05-14 19:54:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8bc8c4…
05-14 19:19:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xcaf849…
05-14 18:19:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x88ca84…
05-14 18:19:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7b3d65…
05-14 18:04:59	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0x5fe84f…
05-14 18:04:56	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	55	66¢	$36	0x4118d5…
05-14 17:40:01	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xc59451…
05-14 16:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2dc875…
05-14 16:00:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0xbfcebb…
05-14 15:59:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	46	49¢	$23	0xa04230…
05-14 15:50:02	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xfab2a2…
05-14 15:44:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0xaa1abc…
05-14 15:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0xe0f33b…
05-14 15:04:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xcbfd59…
05-14 15:04:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x7c1676…
05-14 15:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	82¢	$12	0x6082b9…
05-14 15:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x25fd11…
05-14 15:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0x1a4ef5…
05-14 15:00:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	82¢	$15	0xd47fe3…
05-14 14:59:56	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x5d94a1…
05-14 12:44:58	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x19ef65…
05-14 12:09:57	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x85d1ef…
05-14 12:09:57	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x01e4e1…
05-14 11:55:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x6a7b1f…
05-14 09:35:02	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x82a626…
05-14 09:25:00	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x7abd83…
05-14 09:24:59	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xd8763f…
05-14 09:24:59	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xa377ab…
05-14 09:04:56	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa7e6df…
05-14 01:50:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x301efe…
05-14 01:45:03	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xbe9ef3…
05-14 01:45:03	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x59dc4e…
05-14 01:45:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc9ad2b…
05-14 01:45:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xc0d66d…
05-14 01:44:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe742e1…
05-14 01:30:02	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x3f03fd…
05-14 01:25:01	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x67bd34…
05-13 15:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	53	56¢	$29	0x756342…
05-13 14:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x5337d2…
05-13 13:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	53	56¢	$29	0xcd0ef1…
05-13 13:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	53	8¢	$4	0xf5c677…
05-13 13:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	53	56¢	$29	0x61ffe3…