Close-Jellybeans — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.67K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.4%

Resolved

900

Trades

1,878

lifetime

Volume

$1.06M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$565

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-19 20:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 190 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 97% -$8,941

Other

35% 97% -$880

Politics

2% 100% +$145

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 100k january 5 11	16	$32.9K	16,740	16,740	+0	No	+$176	01-10 02:09
will bitcoin reach 100k january 19 25	25	$28.7K	14,479	14,479	+0	No	+$190	01-24 11:55
Over $2M committed to the Bitway public sale?	2	$18.3K	9,146	9,146	+0	No	-$9	01-26 08:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 26	4	$18.3K	9,146	9,146	+0	No	+$11	01-26 08:52
will bitcoin reach 106k january 19 25	6	$14.1K	7,153	7,153	+0	No	+$93	01-20 19:07
will ethereum reach 4000 in january 2026	28	$13.2K	6,858	6,858	+0	No	+$71	01-19 00:10
bitcoin above 96k on january 13	54	$12.0K	7,951	4,117	+3,834	No	+$36	01-13 15:58
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 480 499	5	$10.8K	5,402	5,402	+0	No	+$5	01-30 07:11
cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	4	$10.6K	12,377	12,352	+25	Connecticut Huskies	-$1,579	03-28 02:16
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	30	$10.5K	5,412	5,412	+0	No	+$121	01-20 07:20
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	9	$9.9K	19,372	19,372	+0	No	+$12	03-23 20:22
will bitcoin dip to 74k january 26 1	12	$9.8K	6,018	5,978	+40	No	-$1,991	02-02 03:37
over 200m committed to the ranger public sale 184 417 328 897 999	12	$9.3K	5,284	4,105	+1,180	No	+$29	01-10 15:54
will bitcoin dip to 80k january 19 25	5	$9.0K	4,605	4,605	+0	No	+$24	01-25 08:39
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	19	$8.5K	4,800	4,800	+0	Yes	-$713	01-29 20:18
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 520 539	4	$7.8K	7,797	0	+7,797	No	+$8	01-26 23:23
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 240plus	6	$7.5K	7,497	0	+7,497	No	+$22	01-24 07:35
will bitcoin reach 100k january 12 18	7	$6.9K	3,496	3,496	+0	No	+$47	01-19 02:34
bitcoin above 98k on january 6	2	$6.8K	6,822	0	+6,822	No	+$54	01-06 15:18
will ethereum dip to 3000 january 12 18	25	$6.7K	3,756	3,100	+656	No	+$31	01-19 02:50
bitcoin up or down on january 8	6	$6.6K	6,630	0	+6,630	Down	+$7	01-08 16:58
Brevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$6.6K	4,412	2,211	+2,201	Yes	+$2	01-07 20:54
will bitcoin reach 106k january 5 11	9	$6.4K	3,258	3,258	+0	No	+$77	01-09 13:08
cbb ark arz 2026 03 26	8	$6.2K	13,500	13,458	+42	Arizona Wildcats	-$10	03-27 01:34
cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	2	$6.2K	7,200	7,200	+0	Illinois Fighting Illini	+$0	03-27 01:58
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	8	$5.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$38	01-30 00:55
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3400 on january 30	2	$5.7K	5,666	0	+5,666	No	+$6	01-29 20:21
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 40 64	33	$5.6K	2,964	2,964	+0	No	+$152	03-18 07:50
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 140 164	1	$5.5K	5,537	0	+5,537	No	+$13	01-26 14:02
will bitcoin dip to 76k january 26 1	4	$5.4K	5,546	8,546	-3,000	Yes	-$5,410	01-31 18:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 20:40:15	spy closes above 750 on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x2212db…
08-19 20:39:57	spy closes above 750 on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x5f7d35…
08-19 20:39:30	spy closes above 745 on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x5a0a09…
08-19 20:39:10	spy closes above 790 on august 20 2026	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x9369bd…
08-19 18:38:25	xauusd up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	491	100¢	$491	0x626dad…
08-19 16:55:36	spy closes above 795 on august 20 2026	No	BUY	322	100¢	$321	0xc26ed3…
08-19 01:26:42	bitcoin above 68k on august 19 2026	No	BUY	808	100¢	$807	0x905882…
08-18 20:21:57	ethereum above 2100 on august 19 2026	No	BUY	812	100¢	$810	0x9c219a…
08-18 20:20:15	xauusd up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x410baf…
08-18 20:15:22	xauusd up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	607	100¢	$606	0xc54dc7…
08-18 19:49:04	spy closes above 750 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1490d9…
08-18 19:48:58	spy closes above 745 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3fd7f6…
08-18 19:48:45	spy closes above 795 on august 19 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x96e518…
08-18 19:48:36	spy closes above 790 on august 19 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x16db14…
08-18 19:46:03	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x6ef4dd…
08-18 19:43:55	aapl up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	761	100¢	$760	0xfd22a4…
08-18 16:30:45	spy closes above 750 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0xd6f125…
08-18 16:30:37	spy closes above 745 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x42316d…
08-18 16:30:22	spy closes above 790 on august 19 2026	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0xa87e98…
08-18 02:38:00	ethereum above 2100 on august 18 2026	No	BUY	850	100¢	$849	0xee94bd…
08-17 20:50:52	ethereum above 2100 on august 18 2026	No	BUY	198	100¢	$197	0xf5fac1…
08-17 18:50:37	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 18?	No	BUY	351	100¢	$351	0xe0b777…
08-17 16:26:09	spy closes above 795 on august 18 2026	No	BUY	134	99¢	$132	0xd20ba2…
08-17 16:25:45	spy closes above 750 on august 18 2026	Yes	BUY	64	99¢	$64	0x7e4d06…
08-17 16:23:42	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 18?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x830c08…
08-17 16:15:19	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 18?	No	BUY	787	100¢	$786	0x5ddb2d…
08-17 04:35:07	ethereum above 1700 on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	1,664	100¢	$1,662	0x2e89a2…
08-16 21:19:24	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	177	99¢	$176	0x33d736…
08-16 21:15:13	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x252474…
08-16 21:15:10	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x244280…
08-16 21:11:49	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0x126206…
08-16 21:04:19	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	730	99¢	$725	0x0dcb87…
08-16 21:03:58	will ethereum dip to 1700 august 10 16 2026	No	SELL	1,449	100¢	$1,447	0x84e146…
08-16 21:01:13	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	205	99¢	$204	0x509adf…
08-16 16:22:54	will ethereum dip to 1700 august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	1,449	100¢	$1,447	0xb94909…
08-16 01:07:03	ethereum above 1700 on august 16 2026	Yes	BUY	1,501	100¢	$1,500	0xeaae24…
08-15 19:24:43	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on August 16?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xc67bb0…
08-14 23:43:19	ethereum above 1600 on august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	605	100¢	$604	0xaa1456…
08-14 21:05:42	ethereum above 1600 on august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	1,045	100¢	$1,044	0x5e85e0…
08-14 20:58:21	xauusd up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xde1b7b…
08-14 20:56:25	will wti reach 85 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x4b2884…
08-14 20:35:13	spy closes above 800 on august 17 2026	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0xbbd590…
08-14 20:35:07	spy closes above 800 on august 17 2026	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0x3afc4d…
08-14 20:34:43	spy closes above 805 on august 17 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x20e3fc…
08-14 20:34:12	spy closes above 755 on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf64d77…
08-14 20:34:04	spy closes above 755 on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0x5ff289…
08-14 20:28:42	will ng dip to 2 20 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7e60f5…
08-14 20:28:34	will ng dip to 2 40 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	329	100¢	$329	0x3bf7cd…
08-14 20:28:25	will ng dip to 2 50 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb4ff2b…
08-14 16:25:54	aapl above 285 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xbcb8b4…
08-14 16:25:34	will aapl reach 328 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x582062…
08-14 16:25:12	will aapl dip to 288 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xad3b31…
08-14 16:24:21	googl above 375 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x6908a6…
08-14 16:24:10	googl above 380 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x30d5b4…
08-14 16:24:03	googl above 385 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x13f84a…
08-14 16:23:55	googl above 325 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x6ecd7e…
08-14 04:20:55	googl above 385 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xc5cdcd…
08-14 04:18:42	nvda above 245 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xb2e64e…
08-14 04:17:21	will hood dip to 80 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x715b59…
08-14 04:16:54	will hood dip to 77 50 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x30954f…
08-14 04:16:13	will spy dip to 755 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	219	99¢	$218	0x4c0f4e…
08-14 04:15:19	will spy dip to 750 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x216ef4…
08-14 04:15:04	will spy dip to 750 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	57	100¢	$56	0xc52f34…
08-14 04:14:51	will spy dip to 745 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x11288a…
08-14 00:33:58	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 14?	No	BUY	668	100¢	$667	0x1e8a0c…
08-14 00:33:33	ethereum above 2100 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0xfac464…
08-14 00:23:10	will pltr reach 192 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x318837…
08-14 00:21:34	will pltr dip to 153 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x2445b2…
08-14 00:19:04	will hood dip to 80 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x25fb9b…
08-14 00:17:39	will amzn reach 296 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	43	99¢	$42	0x34552d…
08-14 00:15:31	will meta dip to 540 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x82d1fb…
08-14 00:14:57	will aapl dip to 288 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x878506…
08-14 00:12:22	will tsla dip to 300 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0xa837e4…
08-14 00:06:39	will solana reach 85 on august 13	No	BUY	655	100¢	$654	0xc54db6…
08-14 00:05:00	spy closes above 750 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x129479…
08-14 00:04:04	spy closes above 800 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x807aba…
08-13 17:52:34	spy closes above 755 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8d9394…
08-13 16:36:37	spy closes above 800 on august 13 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x45e4bb…
08-13 16:30:54	spy closes above 750 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x015c86…
08-13 16:27:03	spy closes above 760 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	625	100¢	$624	0x180b90…
08-13 16:26:45	spy closes above 755 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x5d6c31…
08-13 16:26:25	spy closes above 795 on august 13 2026	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xf4501d…
08-13 16:25:58	spy closes above 790 on august 13 2026	No	BUY	625	100¢	$624	0x640cac…
08-13 05:25:46	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1,121	100¢	$1,119	0x6556ca…
08-13 04:47:30	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe392d3…
08-13 04:31:00	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd71ff4…
08-13 04:28:31	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdfa503…
08-13 04:27:39	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x49de5d…
08-13 04:25:04	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca848b…
08-13 04:25:04	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x85e4d3…
08-13 03:55:00	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1c96c…
08-13 02:09:49	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x474b4d…
08-12 20:59:16	wti closes above 84 on august 12 2026	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x20578c…
08-12 20:58:36	wti closes above 85 on august 12 2026	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xd23d64…
08-12 20:53:13	wti closes above 77 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ea04b…
08-12 20:51:19	wti closes above 86 on august 12 2026	No	BUY	976	100¢	$975	0x225e28…
08-12 19:32:00	aapl close above 315 on august 12 2026	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x84a930…
08-12 19:31:31	tsla close above 340 on august 12 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcc46d3…
08-12 19:30:55	msft close above 480 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xe1e21d…
08-12 19:30:40	msft close above 510 on august 12 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0b3306…