Ill-Informed-Agenda — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$223

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-09 15:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 50% $-11

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	6	$48	98	98	+0	open	—	05-16 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$18	0	18	-18	Up	$-0	05-07 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	8	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	05-16 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	05-25 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-25 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 20:09
btc updown 5m 1780674900	3	$10	11	8	+3	open	—	06-05 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-15 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$6	8	5	+3	Down	$-4	05-07 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	05-25 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	05-30 20:59
Knicks vs. Spurs	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	06-03 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-06 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$5	18	0	+18	Up	$-5	05-06 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-16 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$2	5	2	+3	open	—	05-30 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	05-25 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-29 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	$-2	05-07 19:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-31 18:47
btc updown 5m 1780842900	2	$1	2	2	+0	open	—	06-07 14:38
btc updown 5m 1781019900	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-09 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-29 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-09 17:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 15:45:40	btc updown 5m 1781019900	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdbf1a2…
06-07 14:38:52	btc updown 5m 1780842900	Up	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x602adf…
06-07 14:37:15	btc updown 5m 1780842900	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x14fbf7…
06-05 15:58:22	btc updown 5m 1780674900	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc42054…
06-05 15:58:04	btc updown 5m 1780674900	Down	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x8cad27…
06-05 15:57:48	btc updown 5m 1780674900	Down	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0xfbd9b0…
06-03 19:17:34	Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x11e44e…
05-31 18:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x32c0ac…
05-31 18:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x16897f…
05-30 21:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2462e6…
05-30 21:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0x4fe31c…
05-30 21:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4d7aac…
05-30 20:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd189e1…
05-29 18:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc1d6a1…
05-29 18:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x70a6f9…
05-29 18:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2761ca…
05-25 17:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x12e6c3…
05-25 17:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xedba8e…
05-25 17:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6678a1…
05-25 17:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xce22e4…
05-25 17:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x90e122…
05-25 17:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x7d32f6…
05-25 17:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x297fce…
05-16 18:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x29a91b…
05-16 18:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x52db5c…
05-16 18:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x37dba1…
05-16 18:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x3a00ed…
05-16 18:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	93	16¢	$15	0x52a4ac…
05-16 18:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xf043ea…
05-16 18:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xe838e9…
05-16 18:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb9236a…
05-16 18:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xe866c3…
05-16 18:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5972f8…
05-16 18:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x9edf1b…
05-16 18:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x08848d…
05-16 18:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x16c2ee…
05-16 18:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x0d1962…
05-16 18:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0x563165…
05-16 18:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x570d4f…
05-15 20:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x7fe922…
05-15 20:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xd60dc1…
05-09 17:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x8d633e…
05-09 17:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xb17a95…
05-09 17:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf971ea…
05-07 19:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x9ba02b…
05-07 10:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x1f90f8…
05-07 10:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xc48bb1…
05-07 10:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa8cd21…
05-07 10:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x623234…
05-07 10:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x64e7fe…
05-07 10:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x56d410…
05-07 10:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb65aba…
05-06 20:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc02ecb…
05-06 20:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x40aa85…
05-06 20:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0x4b9e26…
05-06 20:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$6	0xc1870e…