Deficient-Step — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$481

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.2%

Resolved

178

Trades

415

lifetime

Volume

$8.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 07-19 18:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 81% -$59

Other

17% 25% -$139

Sports

5% 0% -$283

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$300	696	696	+0	No	-$243	07-14 20:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 22:35 UTC	2	$276	141	140	+0	Up	+$3	03-31 22:40
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	12	$264	618	618	+0	No	-$8	03-10 13:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 13:50 UTC	2	$252	128	128	+0	Up	+$2	03-31 13:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 10:35 UTC	2	$235	120	120	+0	Down	+$2	03-30 10:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 17:55 UTC	2	$215	114	114	+0	Down	+$11	03-29 18:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 13:35 UTC	2	$208	130	126	+3	Up	+$45	03-31 13:40
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	12	$198	205	205	+0	Yes	+$13	03-10 16:01
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 160 179	5	$183	334	334	+0	No	-$37	03-05 10:33
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 13:20 UTC	2	$165	84	84	+0	Up	+$1	03-31 13:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 17:50 UTC	2	$160	105	103	+2	Up	+$46	03-29 17:55
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$156	315	147	+168	No	-$40	07-19 18:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 22:50 UTC	1	$139	189	0	+189	Down	-$139	03-31 22:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 16:30 UTC	2	$139	73	73	+0	Down	+$5	07-19 16:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-18 19:00 UTC	2	$121	242	242	+0	Up	+$20	07-18 19:09
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	2	$120	122	122	+0	Yes	+$61	03-03 13:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:10 UTC	2	$115	67	66	+1	Up	+$16	03-30 16:15
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 17:45 UTC	2	$115	58	58	+0	Down	+$1	03-29 17:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:00 UTC	2	$114	65	64	+1	Up	+$15	03-30 20:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 17:35 UTC	2	$113	58	58	+0	Up	+$1	03-29 17:40
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 14:10 UTC	2	$113	64	63	+1	Up	+$14	03-30 14:15
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 140 159	2	$111	416	416	+0	No	-$89	03-05 09:31
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 17:00 UTC	2	$110	57	56	+0	Down	+$2	03-29 17:05
Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$109	403	403	+0	Down	+$4	07-16 20:03
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 20:05 UTC	2	$109	78	78	+0	Down	+$3	07-16 20:06
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:05 UTC	2	$108	231	231	+0	Down	+$5	07-17 07:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:45 UTC	2	$107	58	58	+1	Up	+$8	03-31 15:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 16:55 UTC	2	$104	54	54	+0	Up	+$4	03-29 17:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:25 UTC	2	$104	54	54	+0	Up	+$4	03-30 16:30
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 20:05 UTC	2	$103	54	54	+0	Down	+$4	03-29 20:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 18:03:39	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	168	41¢	$69	0x267242…
07-19 16:44:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 16:30 UTC	Down	SELL	73	98¢	$72	0x912d8c…
07-19 16:43:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	73	92¢	$67	0x75a10d…
07-18 19:09:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-18 19:00 UTC	Down	SELL	242	29¢	$70	0x3d0a9b…
07-18 19:07:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-18 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	242	21¢	$51	0x6a878f…
07-17 07:07:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:05 UTC	Up	SELL	231	25¢	$57	0x18dd5c…
07-17 07:07:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	231	22¢	$51	0xfe0780…
07-16 20:06:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 20:05 UTC	Up	SELL	78	72¢	$56	0x48c1e4…
07-16 20:05:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	78	68¢	$53	0x3aa737…
07-16 20:03:38	Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	403	14¢	$57	0x497638…
07-16 20:03:26	Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	403	13¢	$53	0x8605f0…
07-15 20:58:59	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	147	39¢	$58	0x1b043d…
07-15 17:37:35	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	147	20¢	$29	0x89d2d9…
07-15 10:44:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 10:30 UTC	Up	SELL	28	95¢	$26	0xf5e28e…
07-15 10:44:14	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x8e9e5d…
07-14 20:20:22	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	696	4¢	$29	0x723464…
07-13 20:48:59	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	696	39¢	$271	0xe0c364…
05-30 09:44:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6d75f3…
05-30 09:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0xd89dd7…
05-30 09:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x94dd27…
05-30 09:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0xa123cc…
05-29 20:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7bebb1…
05-29 20:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x48053b…
03-31 22:54:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	189	74¢	$139	0xdeb9ce…
03-31 22:40:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 22:35 UTC	Up	SELL	140	99¢	$139	0xfdb302…
03-31 22:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	141	97¢	$137	0xc37456…
03-31 19:45:05	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 19:40 UTC	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x0c346c…
03-31 19:44:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x03b445…
03-31 19:34:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 19:30 UTC	Up	SELL	53	90¢	$48	0x9dfc70…
03-31 19:34:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xfcf9f3…
03-31 18:35:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 18:30 UTC	Down	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0xc46600…
03-31 18:34:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xd90eaf…
03-31 17:55:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 17:50 UTC	Down	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0xa3c319…
03-31 17:54:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xe3c90c…
03-31 17:25:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 17:20 UTC	Up	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0xe64e69…
03-31 17:24:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xcd6ea6…
03-31 15:50:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:45 UTC	Up	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0xf40ca0…
03-31 15:49:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xe6691b…
03-31 15:35:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x4dfd9f…
03-31 15:34:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x80715a…
03-31 14:19:47	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x425f01…
03-31 14:19:47	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x3d57fe…
03-31 13:55:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 13:50 UTC	Up	SELL	128	99¢	$127	0x2ccdd8…
03-31 13:54:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	128	98¢	$125	0x6711f8…
03-31 13:40:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 13:35 UTC	Up	SELL	126	99¢	$125	0x94a63d…
03-31 13:39:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	130	64¢	$83	0x8f8994…
03-31 13:25:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 13:20 UTC	Up	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0xe9cfa5…
03-31 13:24:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	84	97¢	$82	0xf27f51…
03-31 11:34:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xd68cbf…
03-31 11:30:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 11:25 UTC	Down	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x155623…
03-31 11:29:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xe394c3…
03-31 10:06:27	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x364814…
03-31 10:06:09	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xb84318…
03-31 09:52:13	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	SELL	95	59¢	$56	0x9d3938…
03-31 09:12:39	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 180 199	Yes	SELL	215	2¢	$5	0x1e7bad…
03-31 09:12:33	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	Yes	SELL	189	10¢	$18	0x08f752…
03-31 09:12:31	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	SELL	147	17¢	$25	0x3d7660…
03-31 09:12:27	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	SELL	129	22¢	$29	0xd65910…
03-31 09:11:07	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	BUY	95	37¢	$35	0x2c30b8…
03-31 09:10:49	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	SELL	160	22¢	$35	0x6f5cc2…
03-31 08:37:37	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	BUY	147	14¢	$21	0x1eac5a…
03-31 08:37:21	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	BUY	129	21¢	$27	0x52bae7…
03-31 08:36:41	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 180 199	Yes	BUY	215	6¢	$12	0xf1316d…
03-31 08:36:13	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	Yes	BUY	189	13¢	$25	0x7b7ef0…
03-31 08:35:53	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	BUY	160	25¢	$40	0x5c7aa6…
03-30 20:19:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xfb1666…
03-30 20:05:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	64	99¢	$64	0x04d25f…
03-30 20:04:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x290c51…
03-30 19:30:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 19:25 UTC	Down	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x5011a4…
03-30 19:29:57	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x00bfc7…
03-30 19:20:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x14433c…
03-30 19:19:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x6702b8…
03-30 18:30:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 18:25 UTC	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0xee1bae…
03-30 18:29:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x256ae5…
03-30 18:05:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 18:00 UTC	Up	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0x1bc033…
03-30 18:04:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x02ef39…
03-30 18:00:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 17:55 UTC	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xd1b385…
03-30 17:59:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xbaf708…
03-30 16:30:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:25 UTC	Up	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0x996b4e…
03-30 16:29:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xf3ff77…
03-30 16:15:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:10 UTC	Up	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0x1e593d…
03-30 16:14:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x734487…
03-30 15:45:05	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0xc89e62…
03-30 15:44:57	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x8f6bd0…
03-30 15:30:19	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:25 UTC	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x039d3b…
03-30 15:29:55	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x097642…
03-30 15:20:09	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:15 UTC	Up	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0xce436a…
03-30 15:19:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xf96b08…
03-30 15:05:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x0b4ed5…
03-30 15:04:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xac45b3…
03-30 14:15:07	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 14:10 UTC	Up	SELL	63	99¢	$63	0x5c8a45…
03-30 14:14:57	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x1c662b…
03-30 10:45:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 10:40 UTC	Up	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0xb6048f…
03-30 10:44:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x0ede07…
03-30 10:40:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 10:35 UTC	Down	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0xe5bb9f…
03-30 10:39:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	120	97¢	$116	0x0821d7…
03-29 20:10:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 20:05 UTC	Down	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0x8bf692…
03-29 20:09:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x98558c…
03-29 18:00:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 17:55 UTC	Down	SELL	114	99¢	$113	0x34738e…
03-29 17:59:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	114	89¢	$102	0x09bb64…