Misty-Calculator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

57.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

$85

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-19 08:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Sports

82% 55% -$191

Other

18% 100% +$207

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No		+90	$90	94¢	$85	-$5	07-08 09:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nhl mon det 2026 03 19	1	$400	770	+770	Red Wings	-$400	03-19 08:56
nhl buf fla 2026 02 27	1	$371	742	+742	Sabres	+$371	02-27 12:56
nba uta ind 2026 02 03 total 236pt5	1	$211	414	+414	Over	-$211	02-03 11:59
nba phx mil 2026 03 10 total 217pt5	1	$204	400	+400	Over	+$196	03-10 09:48
mlb ari mia 2026 06 11	1	$190	388	+388	Miami Marlins	-$190	06-11 08:00
nba mil atl 2026 01 19 spread home 2pt5	1	$184	368	+368	Bucks	-$184	01-19 07:18
nba ind was 2026 02 20	1	$174	370	+370	Wizards	+$196	02-20 06:37
nba bos atl 2026 03 30	1	$105	210	+210	Hawks	-$105	03-30 10:50
nba bkn den 2026 01 29 spread home 7pt5	1	$105	210	+210	Nets	+$105	01-29 11:40
mlb bos nyy 2026 06 05 total 7pt5	1	$104	192	+192	Over	+$88	06-05 11:19
nhl min las 2026 03 06	1	$104	203	+203	Wild	+$99	03-06 07:57
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	1	$103	207	+207	Over	-$103	05-08 09:20
nhl utah nyr 2026 01 05	1	$100	189	+189	Utah	-$100	01-05 06:33
cs2 g2 prv 2026 02 15	2	$95	216	+216	PARIVISION	+$121	02-15 06:18
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on October 19?	1	$94	94	+94	No	+$0	10-19 08:10
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 18?	1	$94	94	+94	No	+$0	09-18 09:48
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	1	$93	179	+179	Yes	+$86	07-14 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 11?	1	$93	93	+93	No	+$0	08-11 16:07
nba nop ind 2026 01 16 total 238pt5	1	$93	182	+182	Over	+$89	01-16 08:21
Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	07-08 09:47
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	03-30 10:47
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	05-03 13:59
nba dal min 2026 02 20	1	$41	256	+256	Timberwolves	-$41	02-20 06:38
nba lac det 2026 01 10 spread home 4pt5	1	$8	16	+16	Clippers	-$8	01-10 17:34
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 90 114	1	$5	6	+6	No	+$0	03-30 10:50
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	04-14 08:19
nhl wsh cbj 2026 04 14	1	$4	8	+8	Capitals	+$4	04-14 08:19
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 115 139	1	$3	3	+3	No	+$0	04-06 03:22
nba det orl 2026 04 06 spread away 3pt5	1	$3	5	+5	Magic	+$2	04-06 03:22
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 260 279	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	03-06 07:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 08:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on October 19?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x89420d…
09-18 09:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 18?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xeeae94…
08-11 16:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 11?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xca68ba…
07-14 08:07:59	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	179	52¢	$93	0x007375…
07-08 09:47:23	Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xe71bb6…
06-11 08:00:48	mlb ari mia 2026 06 11	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	388	49¢	$190	0xd3bc4c…
06-05 11:19:07	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 05 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	192	54¢	$104	0x9ce16e…
05-08 09:20:06	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	Under	BUY	207	50¢	$103	0x823461…
05-03 13:59:02	Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x70b9b4…
04-14 08:19:51	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x543813…
04-14 08:19:37	nhl wsh cbj 2026 04 14	Capitals	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x0fa78e…
04-06 03:22:47	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 115 139	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x483665…
04-06 03:22:17	nba det orl 2026 04 06 spread away 3pt5	Magic	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x324ff7…
03-30 10:50:48	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 90 114	No	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x13deb1…
03-30 10:50:10	nba bos atl 2026 03 30	Celtics	BUY	210	50¢	$105	0x5a4a80…
03-30 10:47:44	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x741b4d…
03-19 08:56:57	nhl mon det 2026 03 19	Canadiens	BUY	770	52¢	$400	0xaf8323…
03-10 09:48:43	nba phx mil 2026 03 10 total 217pt5	Over	BUY	400	51¢	$204	0x667eff…
03-06 07:57:31	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 260 279	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4b8979…
03-06 07:57:17	nhl min las 2026 03 06	Wild	BUY	203	51¢	$104	0x104d2d…
02-27 12:56:55	nhl buf fla 2026 02 27	Sabres	BUY	742	50¢	$371	0xd17fe9…
02-20 06:39:58	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 20	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0b958b…
02-20 06:38:34	nba dal min 2026 02 20	Mavericks	BUY	256	16¢	$41	0xfa94c5…
02-20 06:37:12	nba ind was 2026 02 20	Wizards	BUY	370	47¢	$174	0x31b5eb…
02-15 06:18:21	cs2 g2 prv 2026 02 15	PARIVISION	BUY	47	44¢	$21	0xf8f49c…
02-15 06:17:43	cs2 g2 prv 2026 02 15	PARIVISION	BUY	169	44¢	$74	0x433888…
02-03 11:59:28	nba uta ind 2026 02 03 total 236pt5	Under	BUY	414	51¢	$211	0x461b0b…
01-29 11:40:38	nba bkn den 2026 01 29 spread home 7pt5	Nets	BUY	210	50¢	$105	0x519b45…
01-19 07:18:06	nba mil atl 2026 01 19 spread home 2pt5	Hawks	BUY	368	50¢	$184	0x04768c…
01-16 08:21:02	nba nop ind 2026 01 16 total 238pt5	Over	BUY	182	51¢	$93	0xf8b772…
01-10 17:34:28	nba lac det 2026 01 10 spread home 4pt5	Pistons	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x482374…
01-05 06:33:33	nhl utah nyr 2026 01 05	Rangers	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x584e88…