Muffled-Howitzer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

96.3%

Resolved

278

Trades

300

lifetime

Volume

$9.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-14

last 11-06 04:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 179 days

Categories

Other

97% 98% +$16

Sports

2% 33% $0

Tech

1% 0% $0

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Crypto

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 7?	No		+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	11-06 20:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in miami on april 13 2026 80 81f	1	$109	110	+110	Yes	+$0	04-13 22:17
highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 23c	1	$109	109	+109	Yes	+$0	04-14 09:11
highest temperature in shanghai on april 13 2026 18c	1	$109	109	+109	No	+$0	04-13 08:02
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 14 2026 25c	1	$108	108	+108	Yes	+$0	04-14 21:02
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 12 2026 26c	1	$107	107	+107	Yes	+$0	04-12 20:39
highest temperature in lucknow on april 11 2026 35c	1	$105	106	+106	Yes	+$1	04-11 11:42
highest temperature in beijing on april 6 2026 18c	1	$105	105	+105	Yes	+$0	04-06 08:09
highest temperature in nyc on april 5 2026 67forbelow	1	$105	105	+105	Yes	+$0	04-05 21:51
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on July 7?	1	$104	104	+104	No	+$0	07-06 19:26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14?	1	$104	104	+104	No	+$0	06-14 14:22
highest temperature in london on april 4 2026 16c	1	$104	104	+104	No	+$0	04-04 19:28
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on July 2?	1	$104	104	+104	No	+$0	07-02 12:15
highest temperature in nyc on april 9 2026 48 49f	1	$104	105	+105	Yes	+$1	04-09 20:37
highest temperature in paris on april 8 2026 24c	1	$104	104	+104	Yes	+$0	04-08 19:33
highest temperature in beijing on april 4 2026 18c	1	$104	104	+104	Yes	+$1	04-04 09:05
highest temperature in london on april 3 2026 16c	1	$103	104	+104	Yes	+$0	04-03 20:38
highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 18c	1	$103	104	+104	No	+$0	04-03 14:21
highest temperature in shanghai on april 5 2026 24c	1	$103	104	+104	Yes	+$1	04-05 08:44
highest temperature in dallas on april 2 2026 84forhigher	1	$103	103	+103	No	+$0	04-03 00:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 7 2026 17c	1	$103	103	+103	Yes	+$0	04-07 08:45
highest temperature in beijing on april 2 2026 20c	1	$103	103	+103	No	+$0	04-02 09:37
highest temperature in london on april 6 2026 17c	1	$103	103	+103	No	+$0	04-06 18:31
highest temperature in beijing on april 9 2026 13c	1	$103	103	+103	Yes	+$0	04-09 10:17
highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 22c	1	$103	103	+103	No	+$0	04-01 09:46
highest temperature in paris on march 30 2026 14c	1	$103	103	+103	Yes	+$0	03-30 19:35
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 6?	1	$103	103	+103	No	+$0	06-06 07:59
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 19c	1	$102	103	+103	No	+$0	04-08 10:51
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 12?	1	$102	102	+102	No	+$0	06-13 00:19
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 1 2026 30corhigher	1	$102	102	+102	No	+$0	04-01 19:28
highest temperature in shanghai on march 30 2026 22c	1	$101	102	+102	Yes	+$0	03-30 08:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 20:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 7?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x432773…
11-06 04:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 6?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfb5e80…
11-04 23:28:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on November 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3291c3…
11-03 15:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 4?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa88c74…
11-02 21:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be -1°C on November 3?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x878ab5…
11-01 15:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C or below on November 2?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x324281…
10-31 16:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfb1934…
10-30 17:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x643863…
10-28 22:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x078518…
10-22 10:40:23	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb9ddfc…
10-20 03:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf6bcf8…
10-18 12:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 18?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd1a479…
10-14 15:59:58	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x12b684…
10-10 03:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 10?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x35ab17…
10-06 15:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 6?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x82aa30…
09-28 00:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 28?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x437dc5…
09-26 03:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 24°C on September 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5f1d1a…
09-23 20:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 23?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x28c0d1…
09-21 06:17:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x535335…
09-20 08:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 20?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x612537…
09-16 13:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 17?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x586217…
09-08 03:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 8?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd5ee42…
09-07 11:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on September 7?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0xb4f3a7…
09-05 21:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 5?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5960c9…
09-03 19:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 4?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x84a4b3…
09-02 17:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on September 3?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xe84798…
09-02 17:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on September 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x34f1b6…
09-01 01:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 25°C on September 1?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xaca80a…
08-27 19:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on August 27?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0a2b64…
08-22 19:34:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on August 22?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb34389…
08-19 17:59:01	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C or below on August 19?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x326789…
08-16 00:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 25°C on August 16?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc1563c…
08-12 12:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfa9718…
08-11 16:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 11?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xde2d81…
08-08 14:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2c6df3…
08-07 09:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 7?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1c215a…
08-05 17:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1bd095…
08-04 18:50:41	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on August 4?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8aa331…
08-04 01:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x995293…
08-02 13:53:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 2?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8d1c77…
08-01 02:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x243a34…
07-31 10:27:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or below on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc4841a…
07-30 21:39:14	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1a1dc9…
07-30 03:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C or below on July 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x03930f…
07-28 17:44:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on July 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc968a1…
07-27 14:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa49795…
07-26 16:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on July 26?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x98f9aa…
07-24 10:59:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on July 24?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb39474…
07-23 13:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on July 23?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x752957…
07-22 16:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 83°F or below on July 22?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7e0f6b…
07-21 15:48:27	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x09d19e…
07-20 17:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfe2e85…
07-19 17:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 19?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe2572a…
07-18 10:43:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on July 18?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xde9f89…
07-17 19:55:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 17?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9cf699…
07-17 19:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 17?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x3411b4…
07-17 17:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 17?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7af48a…
07-16 16:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on July 16?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2479c9…
07-16 06:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 16?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x93352b…
07-15 01:35:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd89fb4…
07-14 12:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 14?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x72a5b1…
07-13 15:20:05	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C or below on July 13?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x59d6b2…
07-12 14:47:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x547cfa…
07-11 20:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 11?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6795b2…
07-11 10:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 11?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x06814c…
07-11 10:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 11?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$46	0x62abc0…
07-10 21:53:35	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on July 10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x32578d…
07-09 07:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on July 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7c0b0f…
07-08 23:59:29	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 8?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x9c4d33…
07-08 16:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 8?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb45286…
07-07 20:13:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 8?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf7fbce…
07-06 19:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on July 7?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xdfe609…
07-06 04:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on July 6?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x82b221…
07-05 22:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 5?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xad20f0…
07-05 03:32:55	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on July 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xea3e0e…
07-04 13:15:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on July 4?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x69e919…
07-04 08:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 4?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x93a188…
07-03 10:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 3?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaebd70…
07-02 12:15:35	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on July 2?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x87af90…
07-01 16:27:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 1?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x3d53ad…
06-30 18:57:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 1?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x8277bf…
06-29 21:27:02	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on June 30?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x75f6e0…
06-28 21:33:47	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on June 29?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x568b50…
06-28 08:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xef8a15…
06-27 19:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x78d9f9…
06-27 00:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on June 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x89596f…
06-26 08:42:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 26?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x94e307…
06-25 21:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 25?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xe5d9c6…
06-25 07:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 25?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa34f50…
06-24 18:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 24?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3dd756…
06-24 11:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xccc008…
06-23 15:57:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 23?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1d14d4…
06-23 01:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 23?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcdb8f4…
06-22 18:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 22?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd8f1ad…
06-22 07:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 22?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x14990c…
06-21 19:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x73dd5c…
06-21 04:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 21?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x2f94a6…
06-20 18:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbdb66c…
06-20 18:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3bdf2a…
06-20 17:55:20	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xea7517…