Deficient-Larva — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$547

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-23 09:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

81% 0% $-21

Other

19% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	3	$103	240	0	+240	open	—	02-28 16:45
iran strike on israel by march 31	1	$80	129	0	+129	open	—	02-28 06:16
Will the US strike Yemen next?	3	$50	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	03-02 01:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	01-24 10:11
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$40	62	62	+0	open	—	01-11 16:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$35	62	0	+62	open	—	05-04 21:18
Netanyahu out by April 30?	1	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	03-19 08:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$30	40	23	+17	open	—	02-28 16:47
Will Khamenei visit Russia by June 30?	2	$21	58	58	+0	open	—	02-28 22:48
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	1	$20	75	0	+75	open	—	01-10 12:38
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	2	$20	159	0	+159	Yes	$-20	05-08 06:18
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	1	$15	25	0	+25	open	—	03-02 07:42
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	1	$15	19	0	+19	open	—	03-02 07:42
will iran strike israel on march 6	1	$10	42	0	+42	open	—	03-08 20:13
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$10	56	0	+56	open	—	05-08 06:15
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	01-15 07:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	02-28 16:43
Will the US strike Syria next?	1	$3	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	03-02 01:45
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-23 09:28
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$1	30	0	+30	No	$-1	05-08 06:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 09:28:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x920149…
05-08 06:18:26	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	BUY	146	7¢	$10	0x2dde30…
05-08 06:16:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xf47058…
05-08 06:15:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x8d4dd0…
05-04 21:18:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	62	57¢	$35	0x2a84ee…
03-19 08:51:53	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x7f388d…
03-08 20:13:09	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x6cc76b…
03-02 07:42:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xc9cad8…
03-02 07:42:33	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0xe39859…
03-02 01:45:45	Will the US strike Syria next?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x1af7f9…
03-02 01:33:53	Will the US strike Yemen next?	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0xb95fb4…
03-02 01:29:33	Will the US strike Yemen next?	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0x55b941…
03-02 01:28:45	Will the US strike Yemen next?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x603bd7…
03-02 01:26:05	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x785a65…
02-28 22:48:15	Will Khamenei visit Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	58	2¢	$1	0xa0557f…
02-28 16:47:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x9f16df…
02-28 16:47:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	23	43¢	$10	0x4a2242…
02-28 16:45:15	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	81¢	$14	0x1a4d42…
02-28 16:44:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x9adbc8…
02-28 16:43:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x4e5c06…
02-28 06:16:31	iran strike on israel by march 31	Yes	BUY	129	62¢	$80	0xd1bd5d…
01-24 10:35:28	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	168	40¢	$67	0x2a961c…
01-24 10:13:24	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	55	40¢	$22	0x70b7b3…
01-24 10:11:56	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0x4e5912…
01-15 07:33:06	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x7d262d…
01-11 16:31:58	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	SELL	62	32¢	$20	0xc21c96…
01-10 12:39:04	Will Khamenei visit Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	58	35¢	$20	0xcbd17f…
01-10 12:38:50	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	Yes	BUY	75	27¢	$20	0xe65787…
01-08 08:47:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x4aacd4…
01-06 15:19:49	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x3a1415…