Muddy-Expedition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12.3K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.5%

Resolved

2,179

Trades

38,136

lifetime

Volume

$674.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 10-21 20:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Other

92% 63% +$12,484

Crypto

5% 65% -$563

Sports

4% 58% +$364

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 430 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?	664	$15.4K	26,970	26,970	+0	No	+$301	07-09 22:00
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?	539	$13.8K	20,843	20,842	+0	No	+$596	07-11 22:59
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?	521	$12.9K	14,878	14,869	+9	No	+$143	07-06 03:05
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?	532	$12.8K	21,699	21,654	+45	No	+$301	07-12 03:00
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?	504	$12.3K	9,772	9,750	+22	No	+$19	07-07 01:57
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?	474	$11.1K	22,192	22,149	+43	No	+$174	07-10 20:58
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?	477	$9.5K	16,126	16,126	+0	No	+$408	07-11 23:00
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?	339	$8.3K	8,968	8,968	+0	No	+$75	07-06 01:45
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?	393	$8.2K	33,679	33,678	+0	No	+$349	07-12 02:52
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?	229	$8.0K	17,536	17,536	+0	No	+$153	07-19 20:49
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?	369	$7.3K	9,538	9,538	+0	No	+$533	07-07 17:31
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?	508	$6.3K	9,104	9,103	+1	No	+$137	07-04 23:03
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	209	$6.2K	9,155	9,139	+16	No	+$92	07-19 20:48
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	213	$6.2K	12,578	12,578	+0	Yes	+$1,634	07-15 20:57
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?	293	$6.1K	13,847	13,755	+92	No	+$386	07-14 20:58
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?	385	$5.8K	6,265	6,265	+0	No	+$54	07-04 03:03
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?	349	$5.1K	7,138	7,138	+0	No	+$183	07-05 21:52
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 England?	178	$5.1K	3,498	3,498	+0	No	-$21	07-06 02:32
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?	248	$5.1K	5,761	5,761	+0	Yes	+$508	07-07 17:57
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Morocco?	334	$5.0K	5,419	5,419	+0	No	+$31	07-04 18:30
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?	222	$5.0K	9,566	9,566	+0	No	+$23	07-07 17:31
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Algeria?	360	$5.0K	3,883	3,883	+0	No	+$38	07-03 04:55
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?	351	$4.9K	8,600	8,599	+1	No	+$80	07-04 22:35
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?	383	$4.8K	9,220	9,220	+0	No	+$94	07-05 21:45
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?	224	$4.8K	4,656	4,656	+0	No	+$140	07-07 17:48
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?	246	$4.8K	10,683	10,567	+116	Yes	+$145	07-10 19:43
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?	202	$4.7K	6,412	6,412	+0	No	+$72	07-12 02:15
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Egypt?	91	$4.5K	2,388	2,388	+0	No	+$98	07-07 17:43
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England?	152	$4.4K	4,360	4,360	+0	No	+$48	07-06 01:38
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?	187	$4.2K	11,523	11,410	+113	No	+$103	07-14 20:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 20:46:38	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	165	24¢	$40	0xb02502…
10-21 20:31:29	FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	166	4¢	$7	0x23c8c9…
10-21 20:31:12	FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	66	4¢	$3	0xdd4b8c…
10-21 20:30:26	FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xfb4630…
10-21 20:30:26	FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	47	5¢	$2	0x2b21e9…
10-21 20:30:24	FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	49	5¢	$2	0xbec85d…
10-21 20:28:29	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xb030b8…
10-21 20:26:54	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x5b507a…
10-21 20:23:26	FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	125	3¢	$4	0x40fa49…
10-21 20:22:29	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x8ba79c…
10-21 20:22:06	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x445497…
10-21 20:21:56	FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x0f790f…
10-21 20:21:53	FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xdebec8…
10-21 20:20:15	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xb157f4…
10-21 20:17:39	Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0xb28fc7…
10-21 20:17:09	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xa38d1f…
10-21 20:15:41	Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x48cf05…
10-21 19:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x48cf7a…
10-21 19:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x4c6e2a…
10-21 19:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x92d73f…
10-21 19:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0x4e394c…
10-21 19:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x5bb76b…
10-21 19:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe5c281…
10-21 19:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xbb4e43…
10-21 19:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x49841a…
10-21 19:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xaa8930…
10-21 19:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x98e628…
10-21 19:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x894419…
10-21 19:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x800571…
10-21 19:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x5d446b…
10-21 19:37:05	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x875a56…
10-21 19:25:30	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x6b6a3e…
10-21 19:00:08	El Ahly SC vs. El Qanah Club: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0x636989…
10-21 18:34:44	Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xbd7a28…
10-21 18:19:20	Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0x2e75f5…
10-21 17:24:18	Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x1aa9fb…
10-20 20:54:18	SSC Napoli vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	77	2¢	$2	0xb797a7…
10-20 20:45:45	Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0xdb54be…
10-20 20:41:45	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	51	3¢	$2	0xe87199…
10-20 20:34:47	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0x4b3f7a…
10-20 19:47:54	Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	63	6¢	$4	0xdcead6…
10-20 19:44:02	SSC Napoli vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	77	2¢	$2	0xdb5191…
10-20 17:24:03	Sabah FK vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xf507b7…
10-19 20:55:06	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xa5e450…
10-19 19:50:11	Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x57e7a8…
10-19 19:38:59	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x63382d…
10-19 19:10:32	Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Torino FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x83ba0c…
10-19 17:55:12	AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x0f6d95…
10-19 17:11:18	AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x38406c…
10-19 17:11:02	AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	75	2¢	$2	0x77753c…
10-19 00:52:59	CA Belgrano vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd35bb1…
10-19 00:06:27	CA Belgrano vs. CA River Plate: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	SELL	27	59¢	$16	0xd39fff…
10-19 00:04:42	CA Belgrano vs. CA River Plate: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xeb7e11…
10-19 00:03:32	CA Belgrano vs. CA River Plate: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x90c196…
10-18 23:10:23	EC Bahia vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0xd2da4f…
10-18 23:05:24	EC Bahia vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x057618…
10-18 20:32:32	Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x435692…
10-18 19:41:00	Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0xdabc58…
10-18 18:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xe01eb0…
10-18 18:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x4b5317…
10-18 18:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x22de22…
10-18 18:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x58d4af…
10-18 18:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x76a298…
10-18 18:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x05fece…
10-18 18:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x768ea6…
10-18 18:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xa728f5…
10-18 18:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	87¢	$22	0x57c86a…
10-18 18:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4613fb…
10-18 18:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0e100c…
10-18 18:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x4f16f8…
10-18 18:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x3cdc78…
10-18 18:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x6aec7c…
10-18 18:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3f0231…
10-18 18:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0xef2f66…
10-18 18:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xd6c952…
10-18 18:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x90c4a5…
10-18 18:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x1ce940…
10-18 18:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x909053…
10-18 18:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9b95f4…
10-18 18:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc2eb48…
10-18 18:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x1c4ed3…
10-18 18:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0xf51c37…
10-18 18:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc8923f…
10-18 18:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6a8015…
10-18 18:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x70787d…
10-18 18:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x99c029…
10-18 18:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x2fb273…
10-18 18:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xe662cc…
10-18 18:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0xe625cd…
10-18 18:01:50	Málaga CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0xc830f2…
10-18 18:01:48	Málaga CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x7d0204…
10-18 18:01:47	Málaga CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0xd8f3b4…
10-18 18:01:45	Málaga CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x23e1db…
10-18 18:01:44	Málaga CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x3135ab…
10-18 18:01:44	Málaga CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x299ad5…
10-18 18:01:41	Málaga CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xa6440e…
10-18 18:01:39	Málaga CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x8da5b4…
10-18 18:01:38	Málaga CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x17c435…
10-18 18:01:36	Málaga CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xd784d3…
10-18 18:01:21	Málaga CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x4cf40e…