Foolhardy-Chief — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.2%

Resolved

17,172

Trades

57,728

lifetime

Volume

$1.24M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-27 07:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 260 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 88% +$3,401

Other

1% 92% -$3,361

Sports

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 236 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?	5	$6.1K	5,119	5,119	+0	Yes	-$3,651	05-27 09:52
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 14:15 UTC	30	$1.9K	1,440	703	+737	Down	-$148	02-10 14:26
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 10:45 UTC	20	$1.6K	972	969	+3	Up	-$244	02-13 10:59
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 14:30 UTC	20	$1.6K	949	942	+7	Up	-$209	02-13 14:40
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 10:15 UTC	20	$1.4K	829	822	+6	Down	-$252	02-12 10:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 09:15 UTC	20	$1.3K	772	764	+8	Up	-$128	02-10 09:26
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 05:15 UTC	19	$1.3K	806	720	+86	Up	-$194	02-13 05:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 03:15 UTC	20	$1.3K	766	758	+8	Up	-$167	02-11 03:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:00 UTC	19	$1.3K	778	705	+73	Up	-$149	02-09 23:12
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 22:30 UTC	20	$1.3K	802	798	+3	Up	-$270	02-10 22:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 23:15 UTC	18	$1.2K	782	603	+179	Up	-$96	02-12 23:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 17:00 UTC	20	$1.2K	918	915	+3	Up	-$541	02-13 17:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 08:00 UTC	20	$1.2K	704	698	+6	Down	-$142	02-16 08:11
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 02:30 UTC	19	$1.2K	748	671	+77	Down	-$164	02-11 02:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 00:00 UTC	19	$1.2K	719	633	+85	Up	-$192	02-10 00:11
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 22:30 UTC	20	$1.2K	785	785	+0	Up	-$344	02-10 22:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 21:30 UTC	17	$1.2K	1,020	182	+838	Down	+$42	02-09 21:42
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 10:00 UTC	19	$1.1K	687	591	+96	Down	-$96	02-13 10:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 08:00 UTC	18	$1.1K	649	645	+4	Down	-$121	02-11 08:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 10:30 UTC	32	$1.1K	848	342	+507	Down	+$18	02-09 10:41
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 08:00 UTC	19	$1.1K	709	627	+82	Down	-$135	02-11 08:11
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 21:45 UTC	20	$1.1K	661	656	+4	Down	-$180	02-10 21:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 03:15 UTC	20	$1.1K	639	638	+1	Down	-$140	02-12 03:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 13:45 UTC	17	$1.1K	944	180	+764	Down	+$37	02-09 13:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 12:45 UTC	18	$1.1K	670	652	+18	Down	-$159	02-09 12:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 10:00 UTC	20	$1.0K	617	613	+4	Down	-$142	02-13 10:11
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 08:00 UTC	19	$1.0K	616	550	+66	Down	-$118	02-11 08:11
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 11:00 UTC	16	$1.0K	705	440	+265	Up	-$77	02-09 11:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 10:00 UTC	19	$993	600	525	+74	Down	-$95	02-11 10:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 14:15 UTC	20	$992	769	759	+10	Down	-$464	02-16 14:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:51:00	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0xa1fe3e…
10-27 07:50:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0x48dc87…
10-27 07:50:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xe1b20b…
10-27 07:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x5079b9…
10-27 07:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x1bf0c3…
10-27 07:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xbbe5d8…
10-27 07:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x83c084…
10-27 07:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$39	0x35b742…
10-27 07:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x19fe15…
10-27 04:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0xf2dec7…
10-27 04:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$39	0x8ca4ec…
10-27 04:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x6c3e60…
10-27 04:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x24b0f7…
10-27 01:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x284bf1…
10-27 01:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x82edee…
10-27 01:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x0cf465…
10-27 01:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0x6dc9d8…
10-26 23:35:47	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xc2afa4…
10-26 23:07:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0xbb2cae…
10-26 23:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0xaf3b2b…
10-26 23:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x76e512…
10-26 23:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x255e47…
10-26 23:05:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xd01f20…
10-26 23:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x1b0403…
10-26 21:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0x955928…
10-26 21:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x91ba52…
10-26 21:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x7bcbaa…
10-26 21:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x48c61d…
10-26 21:37:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0xe81c92…
10-26 21:37:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xde6718…
10-26 21:37:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x6a0a09…
10-26 21:37:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x0b53c2…
10-26 13:35:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$31	0x386685…
10-26 13:35:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xeb4dfa…
10-26 13:35:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x4383d4…
10-26 13:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xe891af…
10-26 13:35:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x3705d9…
10-26 13:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$31	0x602a63…
10-26 13:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x0c527c…
10-26 13:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0xa89613…
10-26 13:35:33	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0xb9abca…
10-26 13:35:33	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$31	0x79c908…
10-26 13:35:24	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x76c705…
10-26 13:35:24	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x64f049…
10-26 13:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x676960…
10-26 13:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	96¢	$31	0xe86a45…
10-26 13:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	41	96¢	$40	0x8b0229…
10-26 13:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x434c77…
10-26 11:53:50	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0xa2fddb…
10-26 10:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0xdbc6b6…
10-26 10:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xbd75d2…
10-26 10:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x6f3781…
10-26 10:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xfdb8c9…
10-26 08:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$40	0x5a0a8c…
10-26 08:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xc65742…
10-26 08:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x5d8d8a…
10-26 08:07:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x3e3881…
10-26 08:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0xf9cdb7…
10-26 08:05:08	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x9f9aab…
10-26 07:37:20	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xd131da…
10-26 01:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x8ccb80…
10-25 22:06:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0xb1e474…
10-25 22:05:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x8b7792…
10-25 22:05:36	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x5e6a53…
10-25 22:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xf0b518…
10-25 22:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x7c50b9…
10-25 22:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	98¢	$40	0x02e2c1…
10-25 21:27:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x0c99a8…
10-25 21:25:11	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x14e974…
10-25 21:25:11	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x13913f…
10-25 21:25:08	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$40	0xd797ea…
10-25 21:25:08	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x8946d9…
10-25 19:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x60e378…
10-25 19:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xdb7e1d…
10-25 19:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x273421…
10-25 19:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x0a12b6…
10-25 19:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xf41125…
10-25 19:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x5c62d2…
10-25 19:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x94f03b…
10-25 19:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x246428…
10-25 19:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x9e5ded…
10-25 19:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x831b9d…
10-25 19:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$39	0x4a5bf9…
10-25 17:23:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x010793…
10-25 17:22:17	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xfa83e3…
10-25 17:22:12	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x9360df…
10-25 17:22:12	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x215493…
10-25 17:22:12	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x0c716b…
10-25 14:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x3a9927…
10-25 08:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	96¢	$30	0xa68cc0…
10-25 08:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0xf1a748…
10-25 08:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x76aee5…
10-25 07:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x23ec76…
10-25 07:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0xd1fee1…
10-25 07:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x45552b…
10-25 07:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x110c16…
10-25 07:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x2dfd51…
10-25 07:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0xc4d8c9…
10-25 07:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	98¢	$39	0xc13def…
10-25 07:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x86a58a…