Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved

310

Trades

715

lifetime

Volume

$3.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-26

last 10-26 03:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 83% -$22

Other

1% 80% -$4

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 193 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes		+4	$4	96¢	$4	+$0	10-26 03:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 02:15 UTC	11	$107	67	56	+10	Down	-$4	09-28 02:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 02:45 UTC	3	$65	217	167	+51	Down	-$4	09-28 02:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 13:15 UTC	6	$65	74	58	+16	Down	-$5	09-29 13:28
bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 10pm et	2	$55	56	0	+56	Down	+$1	09-28 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	5	$52	29	29	+0	Down	+$2	09-29 02:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 07:30 UTC	4	$52	27	27	+0	Up	+$2	09-29 07:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 09:00 UTC	9	$50	120	78	+41	Down	-$8	09-28 09:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 08:15 UTC	9	$49	51	0	+51	Up	+$2	09-29 08:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 16:00 UTC	9	$47	32	30	+2	Up	+$3	09-28 16:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 12:30 UTC	5	$45	51	0	+51	Up	+$6	09-29 12:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:40 UTC	3	$40	21	21	+0	Down	+$0	09-28 16:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 06:45 UTC	4	$40	41	0	+41	Up	+$1	09-29 06:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 08:15 UTC	4	$40	42	0	+42	Down	+$2	09-28 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	4	$39	21	21	+0	Up	+$2	09-29 05:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 12:00 UTC	9	$38	44	13	+31	Up	-$2	09-28 12:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 09:30 UTC	6	$37	75	0	+75	Down	+$1	09-28 09:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 12:15 UTC	4	$35	38	0	+38	Down	+$3	09-29 12:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 16:30 UTC	10	$33	53	9	+44	Down	+$2	09-28 16:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 11:45 UTC	6	$32	192	192	+0	Up	+$5	09-28 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	11	$32	33	27	+6	Down	+$2	10-01 02:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 01:15 UTC	5	$32	39	15	+24	Down	+$0	09-29 01:27
Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	3	$31	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	09-29 02:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 15:30 UTC	3	$30	16	16	+0	Up	+$0	09-29 15:40
bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 11am et	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	09-28 15:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 02:30 UTC	2	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	09-28 02:41
bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 10pm et	3	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	09-29 02:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:40 UTC	3	$30	32	0	+32	Down	-$30	09-29 14:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 10:15 UTC	3	$30	30	0	+30	Up	+$0	09-28 10:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 11:30 UTC	3	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	09-29 11:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 11:45 UTC	2	$29	31	0	+31	Up	+$2	09-29 11:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 03:53:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x72e85a…
10-23 02:02:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x1aee71…
10-13 16:04:25	will bitcoin reach 86k on october 13 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfcab86…
10-13 02:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x78b620…
10-09 02:26:39	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xbd4f27…
10-09 02:17:29	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf2c81b…
10-09 02:13:42	Counter-Strike: Villainous vs Reign Above (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs	Villainous	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xe0492d…
10-09 02:11:12	Counter-Strike: Villainous vs Reign Above (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs	Villainous	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x55facb…
10-08 17:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x33fa16…
10-08 17:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x1d06bc…
10-08 17:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6648c5…
10-08 17:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa10d87…
10-08 17:24:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 8?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x9a4af3…
10-08 17:02:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x49a82c…
10-06 07:23:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd3649b…
10-06 06:02:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xf215c8…
10-05 08:03:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8f7563…
10-02 11:59:38	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6c85c2…
10-02 05:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5a7246…
10-01 16:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xf32689…
10-01 16:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe43436…
10-01 16:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xb4b235…
10-01 16:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfbee8f…
10-01 16:44:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcb33bf…
10-01 16:43:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x36ff3b…
10-01 16:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x1b121f…
10-01 16:40:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe762c9…
10-01 16:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xda3db6…
10-01 14:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x12124c…
10-01 14:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x11f4ce…
10-01 14:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x10539f…
10-01 13:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x46c62a…
10-01 12:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	72¢	$9	0x6c6548…
10-01 12:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0dcbee…
10-01 12:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd9f374…
10-01 12:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x67726b…
10-01 11:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x73e875…
10-01 09:55:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x73097e…
10-01 05:28:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x043ad9…
10-01 05:27:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1534fd…
10-01 05:19:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0b34a9…
10-01 03:13:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 03:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xdfcd1a…
10-01 03:13:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x97ec55…
10-01 03:12:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 03:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xfec6b7…
10-01 03:12:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x11e23a…
10-01 03:11:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 03:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xab951b…
10-01 03:11:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa534dc…
10-01 03:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0x36ff24…
10-01 03:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x71f136…
10-01 03:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x828f79…
10-01 03:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x87638a…
10-01 03:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x3e777d…
10-01 03:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x27098e…
10-01 02:59:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 02:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb746af…
10-01 02:59:17	solana up or down september 30 2026 10pm et	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf49435…
10-01 02:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x07ecb7…
10-01 02:57:32	Solana Up or Down - September 30, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2d3ed0…
10-01 02:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6c7f60…
10-01 02:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xac37af…
10-01 02:55:06	solana up or down september 30 2026 10pm et	Up	SELL	5	71¢	$3	0x892818…
10-01 02:54:38	solana up or down september 30 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd29d4f…
10-01 02:54:24	solana up or down september 30 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x488fd1…
10-01 02:54:06	solana up or down september 30 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xcdb48d…
10-01 02:52:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 02:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x099d10…
10-01 02:52:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc99da8…
10-01 02:51:12	solana up or down september 30 2026 10pm et	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x393ba5…
10-01 02:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x72b5c9…
10-01 02:47:18	Solana Up or Down - September 30, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc0f76b…
10-01 02:45:26	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xbaac9b…
10-01 02:41:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x2544b7…
10-01 02:40:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 02:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x3a24e4…
10-01 02:39:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xc28b05…
10-01 02:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x1302be…
10-01 02:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6aede2…
10-01 02:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xef39d1…
10-01 02:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6e3a8d…
10-01 02:36:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 02:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xcb910f…
10-01 02:35:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdf66cc…
10-01 02:34:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 02:30 UTC	Down	SELL	14	40¢	$6	0xdc0574…
10-01 02:32:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x568544…
10-01 02:31:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 02:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x774aea…
10-01 02:31:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xec41c0…
10-01 02:29:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 02:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2179a1…
10-01 02:29:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x07761d…
10-01 02:28:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 02:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xedfe57…
10-01 02:26:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xccaf0c…
10-01 02:26:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x4f3138…
10-01 02:24:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x761f78…
10-01 02:23:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x82307e…
10-01 02:22:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x204203…
10-01 02:22:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x2d6e50…
10-01 02:20:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xef68a4…
10-01 02:19:03	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 10pm et	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x49134e…
10-01 02:16:51	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbc2201…
10-01 02:13:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x203731…
10-01 02:11:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa46a33…
10-01 02:10:32	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x5d93c7…
10-01 02:10:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x230388…
10-01 02:09:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4d5b92…
10-01 02:08:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 02:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb93993…