Plain-Change — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$725

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

69.5%

Resolved

449

Trades

876

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$39

1 position

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-27 15:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 35% -$731

Other

1% 50% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes		+210	$46	18¢	$39	-$7	10-27 15:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down march 6 10pm et	4	$442	368	365	+3	Down	+$39	03-07 04:00
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?	11	$310	682	682	+0	No	-$246	10-18 22:36
ethereum up or down march 6 12pm et	2	$307	157	157	+0	Down	+$4	03-06 18:00
ethereum up or down march 6 11am et	2	$300	152	152	+0	Down	+$3	03-06 17:05
bitcoin up or down march 6 9am et	2	$252	127	127	+0	Down	+$1	03-06 14:58
solana up or down march 6 8am et	2	$247	126	126	+0	Down	+$4	03-06 14:00
solana up or down march 6 4pm et	2	$244	124	124	+0	Down	+$4	03-06 21:59
ethereum up or down march 6 7am et	2	$241	123	123	+0	Down	+$3	03-06 13:00
solana up or down march 5 9pm et	2	$234	137	136	+1	Down	+$6	03-06 02:33
bitcoin up or down march 6 5pm et	2	$225	116	116	+0	Up	+$6	03-06 22:59
bitcoin up or down march 6 11pm et	2	$225	115	115	+0	Down	+$4	03-07 05:00
solana up or down march 5 8pm et	2	$224	124	124	+0	Up	+$6	03-06 01:52
xrp up or down march 7 4am et	2	$222	130	129	+0	Up	-$7	03-07 09:58
ethereum up or down march 5 6pm et	2	$217	117	117	+0	Down	+$10	03-05 23:50
bitcoin up or down march 6 6pm et	2	$204	104	104	+0	Down	+$3	03-06 23:58
solana up or down on february 6	4	$197	255	255	+0	Up	+$163	02-06 16:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 13:15 UTC	2	$191	97	97	+0	Down	+$0	03-24 13:20
xrp up or down march 7 7pm et	2	$185	101	101	+0	Down	+$12	03-08 00:58
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 20:45 UTC	2	$185	95	95	+0	Up	+$3	03-07 21:00
ethereum up or down on february 6	6	$179	465	257	+208	Up	+$129	02-06 16:32
ethereum up or down march 7 1pm et	2	$175	91	91	+0	Down	+$6	03-07 18:59
will bitcoin dip to 66500 on march 8	2	$172	103	103	+0	Yes	+$32	03-08 22:05
bitcoin up or down march 6 9pm et	2	$168	86	86	+0	Up	+$5	03-07 03:00
solana up or down march 7 12pm et	2	$164	84	84	+0	Up	+$5	03-07 18:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 01:00 UTC	2	$162	82	82	+0	Down	+$2	03-07 01:15
xrp up or down on march 7	2	$156	80	80	+0	Up	+$4	03-07 17:02
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on September 18?	4	$125	66	66	+0	Yes	+$6	09-18 16:18
ethereum up or down on march 7	3	$117	297	295	+2	Up	-$17	03-07 14:40
will bitcoin reach 72k on march 24	2	$103	380	380	+0	No	-$87	03-24 20:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 11:15 UTC	2	$93	47	47	+0	Down	+$0	06-10 11:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:43:32	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	BUY	210	22¢	$46	0x4180ac…
10-27 15:36:18	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0x854ec4…
10-27 15:34:57	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xba30e8…
10-21 00:44:27	Will XRP reach $1.35 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xa28b0f…
10-21 00:42:09	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	107	8¢	$8	0x9bbe92…
10-21 00:37:44	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	192	6¢	$12	0x0cc44a…
10-19 10:18:57	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	192	15¢	$29	0xff06d4…
10-19 10:17:15	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xa9ddac…
10-19 10:16:57	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xa4320e…
10-18 23:28:27	Will Solana reach $105 on October 18?	Yes	SELL	57	59¢	$34	0xa1096e…
10-18 22:55:44	Will Solana reach $105 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	57	49¢	$28	0x94a0f2…
10-18 22:36:57	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?	Yes	SELL	87	4¢	$4	0x3d0ba9…
10-18 22:36:23	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?	Yes	SELL	595	5¢	$28	0xbc6a06…
10-17 08:54:57	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	278	3¢	$7	0x00a2c7…
10-16 11:27:09	will ethereum dip to 2400 october 12 18 2026 from october 15	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xeada0e…
10-15 14:03:02	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x9fd490…
10-15 14:02:08	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	334	67¢	$224	0xcb6d88…
10-15 14:02:07	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x2cf9c7…
10-15 14:01:56	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x47ad46…
10-15 14:01:47	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x4fe458…
10-15 14:01:40	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x539801…
10-15 14:01:17	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xfce4a6…
10-15 14:01:11	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	33	67¢	$22	0x784be6…
10-14 16:19:25	will bitcoin dip to 81k on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	110	54¢	$59	0x6e22fc…
10-14 16:12:30	will xrp dip to 1pt3 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	110	37¢	$40	0x237d64…
10-14 09:38:56	will solana dip to 105 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x5d3b5c…
10-14 09:38:02	will solana dip to 105 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	131	59¢	$77	0xd6f8fc…
10-14 09:37:22	will solana dip to 105 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xda98be…
10-13 19:36:00	will ethereum reach 2550 on october 13 2026	Yes	BUY	110	10¢	$11	0x046820…
10-13 09:00:58	will bitcoin reach 85k on october 13 2026	Yes	BUY	330	15¢	$50	0x9a5485…
10-12 23:22:14	Will Solana dip to $105 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	63	32¢	$20	0x815bee…
10-12 22:21:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	80	20¢	$16	0x0b4ee0…
10-12 16:06:44	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	107	25¢	$27	0xc09182…
10-10 02:07:56	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	115	6¢	$7	0x9aae98…
10-09 18:04:08	Will Ethereum dip to $2,450 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0xe030dc…
10-08 09:42:21	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x255027…
10-07 18:25:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 5-11?	Yes	SELL	259	1¢	$3	0xba3d47…
10-05 20:11:35	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	259	20¢	$52	0x781501…
09-30 16:09:06	will solana reach 130 september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	103	19¢	$20	0x85c2f8…
09-30 14:33:05	will ethereum reach 3000 september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	170	3¢	$5	0xe4a06e…
09-22 18:21:06	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0xed681e…
09-22 18:19:48	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x4d9615…
09-22 09:22:22	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	28	5¢	$2	0xe6b0e1…
09-21 20:11:16	will solana reach 120 on september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0x057011…
09-21 20:10:31	will solana reach 120 on september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0x63401d…
09-21 14:42:36	will xrp reach 1pt5 on september 21 2026	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xf6693b…
09-21 09:34:36	will xrp reach 1pt5 on september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	11	77¢	$9	0xea1bf7…
09-21 09:33:35	will xrp reach 1pt5 on september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xd09628…
09-21 01:23:25	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 20?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x7c9438…
09-21 01:19:47	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	24	70¢	$17	0x209d51…
09-21 00:03:17	Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on September 20?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xf7f75f…
09-20 23:55:49	Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xbfa3b7…
09-20 23:27:22	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 14-20?	Yes	SELL	281	6¢	$16	0x26f695…
09-18 17:23:24	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 14-20?	Yes	BUY	23	17¢	$4	0x8440ea…
09-18 16:37:37	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 14-20?	Yes	BUY	257	24¢	$62	0xcc1046…
09-18 16:18:31	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on September 18?	Yes	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xb0a452…
09-18 16:12:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xc229f0…
09-18 16:12:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x4ca223…
09-18 16:12:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xdc4a3c…
09-18 13:54:06	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 18?	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x6b5ff3…
09-18 08:41:01	will bitcoin reach 80k on september 18 2026	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x422136…
09-17 20:23:58	will ethereum reach 2500 on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xab164d…
09-17 14:04:04	will ethereum reach 2550 on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	110	5¢	$6	0x7fa0af…
09-16 18:21:40	will ethereum dip to 2350 on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x9cb442…
09-16 18:20:45	will ethereum dip to 2350 on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0xa39df8…
09-15 18:28:04	XRP Up or Down - September 15, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe0a656…
09-15 18:13:37	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x1573eb…
09-15 18:08:09	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x68d567…
09-15 01:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc59c58…
09-14 23:35:18	will solana reach 105 on september 14 2026	Yes	SELL	28	7¢	$2	0xb72d96…
09-14 20:18:06	will solana reach 105 on september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	28	77¢	$21	0x818924…
09-14 20:16:12	will ethereum reach 2550 on september 14 2026	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x226f38…
09-14 18:51:03	will ethereum reach 2550 on september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	22	81¢	$18	0xc2a453…
09-14 17:49:52	will bitcoin reach 79k on september 14 2026	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xf6df2b…
09-14 15:04:12	will bitcoin reach 79k on september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x6f4091…
09-14 15:03:45	will bitcoin reach 79k on september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xaebe6c…
09-11 18:27:15	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13?	Yes	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0xa831e0…
09-11 18:26:04	will bitcoin reach 80k on september 11 2026	Yes	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0x5d1d00…
09-11 15:36:51	will bitcoin reach 80k on september 11 2026	Yes	BUY	41	25¢	$10	0xd0b33c…
09-11 15:29:30	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 7-13?	Yes	BUY	105	12¢	$13	0x34946c…
09-09 04:38:49	will ethereum reach 2600 on september 9 2026	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x2deb54…
09-09 02:56:58	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 8?	Yes	SELL	42	14¢	$6	0x525be9…
09-08 14:52:01	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 8?	Yes	BUY	42	65¢	$27	0xef1e0f…
09-02 00:11:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 August 31-September 6?	Yes	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x40f91c…
09-02 00:10:48	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 1?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x12761b…
09-01 11:21:37	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x953289…
09-01 11:21:37	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0x4e4e55…
08-31 20:27:45	xrp up or down august 31 2026 4pm et	Down	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xd92b7f…
08-31 20:25:03	xrp up or down august 31 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0xf02a10…
08-31 20:24:43	xrp up or down august 31 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x4c5145…
08-31 20:17:52	solana up or down august 31 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x008385…
08-31 19:15:37	ethereum up or down august 31 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x3900bb…
08-31 17:39:00	will bitcoin dip to 77k on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0x31705a…
08-31 17:10:45	will solana dip to 100 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0x3ad93f…
06-17 14:57:16	will solana dip to 70 on june 17	Yes	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0xb98ebd…
06-17 14:43:52	will solana dip to 70 on june 17	Yes	BUY	32	21¢	$7	0x53d88d…
06-10 21:21:55	will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 10	Yes	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x189600…
06-10 21:10:30	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 10	Yes	SELL	275	1¢	$3	0xa1c09e…
06-10 14:13:12	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 10	Yes	BUY	275	13¢	$36	0xf2844a…
06-10 12:11:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x13a7e7…