Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

110

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$210

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-23

last 10-10 17:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

80% 58% +$13

Politics

16% 56% -$1

Tech

4% 0% -$6

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-08 10:44
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-08 19:35
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	-$2	08-21 19:52
will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-16 11:20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-16 02:58
will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt10 in september	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-23 23:48
will trump say economy during xi jinpings state arrival	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-24 07:48
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-10 13:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-10 04:41
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-16 19:24
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$5	09-11 17:23
Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-04 01:35
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-17 03:26
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-19 02:33
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-23 15:47
spy up or down on september 23 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	09-23 07:42
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-10 21:08
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-13 04:00
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	-$2	09-13 14:00
will nvda reach 232 by august 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-17 22:05
will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-12 23:31
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-08 11:34
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$4	08-27 15:20
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-10 14:16
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-19 10:33
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-02 06:50
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-07 10:43
Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on August 31?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-22 04:48
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-08 18:50
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-23 15:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 17:14:03	Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.65?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa1aa53…
10-10 07:04:33	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x688995…
10-09 18:58:40	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc3f651…
10-09 10:37:33	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe9cbcd…
10-09 02:37:20	spx up or down on october 9 2026	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0c6fa5…
10-08 06:27:58	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x888f3e…
10-07 22:27:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa894dd…
10-07 02:26:44	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9b01ef…
10-05 18:17:29	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8db3c9…
10-03 07:47:56	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1a2774…
10-02 23:09:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x880afa…
10-01 09:14:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd618ac…
10-01 01:14:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe553ef…
10-01 01:12:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0459a5…
09-25 12:47:39	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf2e8cb…
09-25 03:55:21	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb5141a…
09-24 07:48:18	will trump say economy during xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb00f26…
09-23 23:48:08	will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt10 in september	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x0304da…
09-23 15:47:58	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x548c4f…
09-23 07:42:41	spy up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x487caf…
09-22 23:35:35	Will Costco say "Expansion" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xf1c019…
09-19 10:33:47	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x19762f…
09-19 02:33:24	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x7bc8ec…
09-17 03:26:30	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0afa2c…
09-16 19:24:55	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x8a9982…
09-16 11:20:12	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xb21bbe…
09-16 03:20:07	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x4891aa…
09-15 19:20:01	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x0864fc…
09-14 22:12:58	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xb98e44…
09-13 14:00:07	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xbbfedd…
09-13 04:00:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xf3be70…
09-11 17:23:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x9d4c9e…
09-10 21:08:13	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x9104e0…
09-10 13:06:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xd2bab1…
09-10 04:41:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb4f779…
09-08 18:50:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x2d3ceb…
09-08 10:44:21	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xab9128…
09-08 02:32:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xd6b3ec…
09-07 17:42:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xcd6a4a…
09-07 16:44:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x1a1a26…
09-07 07:34:07	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xcae5f7…
08-27 15:20:45	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xa42276…
08-23 15:58:52	Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x421f68…
08-23 07:13:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x85cc68…
08-22 15:39:10	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xcb9cdc…
08-22 04:48:12	Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x63fb00…
08-21 19:52:31	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x8aeb76…
08-21 11:51:57	Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xeaa688…
08-21 03:39:49	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xb4cb18…
08-20 19:37:51	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x29c4d3…
08-19 23:10:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd21160…
08-19 14:52:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2ba365…
08-19 06:09:03	Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x53d98a…
08-17 22:05:24	will nvda reach 232 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xf51fc2…
08-17 12:48:22	will nvda dip to 216 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xea28f5…
08-17 04:38:13	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x87ce74…
08-16 20:35:54	Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x34fc40…
08-16 12:28:43	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xeee4ac…
08-16 02:58:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x85b0b0…
08-15 12:19:37	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x227d4a…
08-15 02:03:30	Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 3%-4.5%?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x9fe70e…
08-14 16:02:57	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x3ac9f8…
08-14 07:37:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x116281…
08-13 23:35:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x943b72…
08-13 15:32:30	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5eb8ee…
08-13 07:32:09	will trump say police officer during remarks in new york 20260811183234685	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x5b5314…
08-12 23:31:13	will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xaf80fa…
08-12 14:52:40	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xdbe4e4…
08-12 06:51:45	will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x93a28e…
08-11 22:50:36	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xeb455e…
08-10 14:16:16	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc33b6b…
08-10 06:14:57	will nvda dip to 220 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xd33285…
08-09 22:14:22	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xd5987d…
08-09 12:13:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xc21573…
08-09 04:05:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x3803f9…
08-08 19:35:00	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x02280a…
08-08 11:34:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xdca7f3…
08-08 02:45:37	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x7a4360…
08-07 18:44:45	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe8b081…
08-07 10:43:21	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xc42057…
08-07 02:43:09	Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x3670ec…
08-06 18:39:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x5f6c17…
08-06 10:39:08	will open dip to 3 50 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xd713ba…
08-06 01:40:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x3302c0…
08-05 17:40:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x262521…
08-05 09:39:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc1d098…
08-05 01:36:50	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x618cbe…
08-04 17:36:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x68e24f…
08-04 09:35:38	will trump say warren buffett during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421453	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc3f3a2…
08-04 01:35:14	Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x22ae03…
08-03 17:35:00	will ng dip to 2 70 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xee75d0…
08-03 09:34:32	will abnb dip to 140 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xf1b1ae…
08-03 00:36:03	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x5ec1f9…
08-02 16:35:14	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2d6d6b…
08-02 06:50:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa1e638…
08-01 22:44:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x6ac7d7…
08-01 13:57:05	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xfb87c1…
08-01 03:13:02	another pandemic before gta vi	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8e9011…
07-31 19:12:33	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xcf81e6…
07-31 11:11:23	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xe0ee13…