Plain-Beard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$642

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

53.2%

Resolved

180

Trades

654

lifetime

Volume

$10.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$29

1 position

First seen

2026-05-19

last 11-03 20:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

48% 37% -$318

Crypto

43% 47% -$222

Sports

5% 42% -$104

Politics

4% 56% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+43	$30	68¢	$29	-$1	11-03 17:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	24	$1.3K	1,515	1,515	+0	Matteo Arnaldi	+$54	06-01 21:31
atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	16	$525	1,549	1,549	+0	Alexander Zverev	-$51	06-07 16:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 13:10 UTC	10	$476	371	371	+0	Up	-$88	06-23 13:14
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe	18	$360	328	328	+0	Frances Tiafoe	+$22	05-28 15:35
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderi	10	$313	403	403	+0	Francisco Comesana	+$16	05-28 19:19
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashima	10	$231	510	399	+111	Brandon Nakashima	-$79	05-28 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 10:45 UTC	3	$218	120	120	+0	Up	+$14	06-23 10:48
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$209	147	147	+0	Yes	+$9	11-03 20:57
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 1pt5	2	$191	128	118	+10	Under	-$9	07-06 11:29
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 28?	10	$180	228	228	+0	No	+$4	05-28 12:55
atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05	10	$178	508	508	+0	Alexander Zverev	+$4	06-05 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 13:15 UTC	2	$162	83	83	+0	Down	+$2	06-23 13:19
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	2	$160	87	87	+0	France	+$0	07-09 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	6	$135	132	132	+0	Up	-$15	05-19 22:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	8	$135	113	73	+40	Down	-$19	05-19 22:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 13:35 UTC	7	$134	134	134	+0	Up	-$26	06-23 13:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:30 UTC	7	$133	120	120	+0	Down	-$27	06-25 22:34
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?	7	$133	174	174	+0	Yes	-$37	05-28 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	9	$125	122	122	+0	Up	+$1	05-19 16:57
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta	6	$123	151	77	+74	Pablo Carreno Busta	-$7	05-29 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	8	$115	111	111	+0	Down	+$7	05-19 22:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 13:00 UTC	6	$109	106	106	+0	Down	-$11	06-23 13:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 14:35 UTC	4	$106	141	46	+95	Down	-$3	06-24 14:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:10 UTC	5	$101	92	92	+0	Down	+$17	06-25 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	6	$101	94	94	+0	Down	-$3	05-19 17:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 19:40 UTC	6	$100	110	110	+0	Down	-$20	06-25 19:41
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$100	329	0	+329	No	-$100	07-09 21:31
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 23?	2	$96	67	67	+0	Yes	+$36	05-23 16:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 13:05 UTC	6	$96	100	73	+26	Down	+$2	06-23 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	6	$95	98	93	+5	Down	-$9	05-19 17:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 20:57:36	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	72¢	$36	0x4142ad…
11-03 20:57:31	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	75¢	$48	0x37475d…
11-03 20:57:27	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	147	74¢	$109	0x92c1e8…
11-03 20:57:21	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	82¢	$11	0xde574b…
11-03 17:35:09	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0xac2200…
11-03 17:23:52	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	21¢	$2	0xc5049f…
10-27 23:04:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xb56b96…
10-27 23:04:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x144dd8…
10-27 17:37:18	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x6b1b09…
10-27 17:36:36	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9311d8…
10-23 21:54:44	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x274f9d…
10-23 21:54:41	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0xa23a52…
10-22 11:28:59	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x0adf6d…
10-22 11:21:36	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xc56689…
10-19 23:17:29	will ali g who iz i score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261026	Yes	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x4591cd…
10-19 23:15:30	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x89a884…
10-19 23:12:23	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x1a70dc…
10-19 23:11:36	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x33d3af…
10-19 23:11:08	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xadb95c…
10-19 23:03:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe1886a…
10-19 23:03:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1fd0e4…
10-19 23:02:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x71d33f…
10-19 23:02:35	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd3ae92…
10-19 23:02:29	LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x4ab157…
10-19 22:01:48	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x0c906e…
10-19 21:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x7f1726…
10-19 21:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x54db8f…
10-19 21:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x862b5a…
10-19 21:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x0cfcf9…
07-17 08:58:36	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	14	41¢	$6	0x7398bf…
07-17 08:58:33	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	72	58¢	$42	0x4453f7…
07-15 21:06:28	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x513526…
07-15 20:17:04	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x957f28…
07-15 20:16:26	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	303	9¢	$29	0xcd1fd0…
07-09 21:34:07	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9f8eaf…
07-09 21:31:08	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	177	39¢	$70	0x521467…
07-09 21:26:05	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	SELL	87	92¢	$80	0x3a50c6…
07-09 21:25:38	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	87	91¢	$80	0x8a78dd…
07-07 10:06:13	atp dedurap tabur 2026 07 07	Diego Dedura-Palomero	SELL	25	23¢	$6	0xad5380…
07-07 10:02:31	atp dedurap tabur 2026 07 07	Diego Dedura-Palomero	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xaddfa3…
07-07 10:00:50	atp dedurap tabur 2026 07 07	Diego Dedura-Palomero	SELL	21	16¢	$3	0x01339e…
07-07 09:50:53	atp dedurap tabur 2026 07 07	Diego Dedura-Palomero	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xf7b959…
07-06 11:29:52	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	118	77¢	$91	0x6601b4…
07-06 11:29:07	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x4acb18…
06-25 22:43:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:40 UTC	Up	SELL	39	41¢	$16	0xe07a43…
06-25 22:36:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x162db5…
06-25 22:35:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:35 UTC	Down	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x5b8c92…
06-25 22:35:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x8c1dfc…
06-25 22:34:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:30 UTC	Down	SELL	52	45¢	$24	0xb874a3…
06-25 22:33:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xd37947…
06-25 22:32:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xb53659…
06-25 22:31:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:30 UTC	Up	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0xac72d8…
06-25 22:31:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:30 UTC	Down	SELL	40	24¢	$10	0x857d52…
06-25 22:31:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xad6cb2…
06-25 22:29:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x1e4203…
06-25 22:28:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x824db5…
06-25 22:27:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x521a60…
06-25 22:27:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x932e5a…
06-25 22:26:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:25 UTC	Down	SELL	4	69¢	$2	0x646753…
06-25 22:25:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xce6f8d…
06-25 22:25:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:25 UTC	Up	SELL	38	40¢	$15	0x7cd8a6…
06-25 22:24:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x7c4f00…
06-25 22:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xd05697…
06-25 22:23:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x58a639…
06-25 22:21:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:20 UTC	Down	SELL	40	67¢	$27	0xd3149c…
06-25 22:18:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xc572d0…
06-25 22:18:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0x9effbb…
06-25 22:15:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	39	39¢	$15	0x91e160…
06-25 22:15:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x868586…
06-25 22:15:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf666ab…
06-25 22:15:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	40	44¢	$18	0x7accd1…
06-25 22:12:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x02a938…
06-25 22:11:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:10 UTC	Up	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0xa1dc4c…
06-25 22:11:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x5a50be…
06-25 22:11:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:10 UTC	Down	SELL	84	68¢	$57	0x676e51…
06-25 22:10:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x98b79f…
06-25 22:08:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x90e8ea…
06-25 22:08:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:05 UTC	Down	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0xbda493…
06-25 22:06:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x2c64ef…
06-25 22:06:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:05 UTC	Down	SELL	37	63¢	$23	0x43cb4a…
06-25 22:05:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xa6a106…
06-25 22:02:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x69adfd…
06-25 22:01:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0x8f56f6…
06-25 21:59:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x53af23…
06-25 21:57:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 21:55 UTC	Up	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x705b1a…
06-25 21:57:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x349592…
06-25 21:57:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 21:55 UTC	Down	SELL	32	60¢	$19	0xa01797…
06-25 21:55:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xb214cb…
06-25 21:51:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 21:50 UTC	Down	SELL	38	23¢	$9	0xdd0f67…
06-25 21:49:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xdaf12e…
06-25 21:49:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 21:45 UTC	Down	SELL	26	97¢	$26	0x1475ac…
06-25 21:48:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xeb42af…
06-25 21:39:14	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0x0ea0bf…
06-25 21:38:47	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	49	19¢	$9	0x98d004…
06-25 21:38:43	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xf02266…
06-25 21:15:05	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	49	35¢	$17	0x7e29dc…
06-25 20:19:02	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	35	92¢	$32	0x81abd8…
06-25 20:02:58	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xd4c651…
06-25 19:41:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 19:40 UTC	Down	SELL	38	39¢	$15	0xae6bc9…
06-25 19:41:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 19:40 UTC	Up	SELL	32	37¢	$12	0x43d251…