Hoarse-Foal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$83

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

95.9%

Resolved

758

Trades

1,728

lifetime

Volume

$120.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

$222

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 11-12 13:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 174 days

Categories

Other

98% 90% -$64

Crypto

2% 72% -$3

Politics

0% 62% -$15

Tech

0% 75% $0

Sports

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on November 12?	No		+112	$111	100¢	$112	+$0	11-12 13:09
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 12?	Yes		+111	$111	100¢	$111	+$0	11-12 13:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	5	$876	465	465	+0	No	-$4	09-15 14:16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 27?	2	$783	399	399	+0	No	-$13	08-27 10:41
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 26?	8	$639	642	0	+642	Yes	+$3	10-26 08:42
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 25?	2	$639	639	0	+639	Yes	+$1	10-25 17:07
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 25?	1	$638	639	0	+639	Yes	+$1	10-26 00:15
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 24?	19	$635	637	0	+637	Yes	+$2	10-24 23:24
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 29?	15	$612	472	322	+149	Yes	-$167	10-30 01:54
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 16?	2	$605	606	0	+606	Yes	+$1	10-16 22:07
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 13?	2	$567	284	284	+0	No	-$1	08-13 11:49
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	6	$552	379	379	+0	Yes	+$20	05-12 16:29
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 7?	3	$551	554	0	+554	No	+$2	10-07 06:59
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 6?	3	$549	551	0	+551	Yes	+$1	10-06 21:13
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 4?	9	$539	544	0	+544	Yes	+$4	10-04 20:57
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 10?	3	$531	532	0	+532	Yes	+$1	10-10 21:50
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on October 3?	1	$526	527	0	+527	Yes	+$1	10-03 12:27
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 5?	7	$525	527	0	+527	No	+$2	10-05 20:01
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 9?	5	$524	528	0	+528	Yes	+$4	10-09 21:06
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 27?	2	$508	509	0	+509	Yes	+$1	09-27 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 26?	8	$508	508	0	+508	Yes	+$1	09-26 20:31
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 23?	1	$497	498	0	+498	Yes	+$1	09-23 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 28?	3	$496	498	0	+498	Yes	+$2	10-28 07:54
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 12?	4	$481	482	0	+482	Yes	+$1	10-12 19:26
Will White House post 200+ posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	8	$478	495	0	+495	Yes	+$16	09-22 13:53
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 28?	3	$477	479	0	+479	Yes	+$2	09-28 20:12
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 28?	2	$476	477	0	+477	Yes	+$1	09-28 09:04
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 25?	2	$475	475	0	+475	No	+$0	09-25 19:46
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 20?	17	$471	473	0	+473	Yes	+$2	10-20 22:22
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	1	$466	467	0	+467	No	+$0	10-23 15:46
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 2?	1	$463	464	0	+464	Yes	+$1	10-02 20:03
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 20?	1	$459	459	0	+459	Yes	+$0	09-20 09:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 13:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xfd2952…
11-12 13:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on November 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xae641d…
11-12 13:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on November 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8891f4…
11-12 13:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on November 12?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7f6f50…
11-11 21:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on November 11?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x80a1af…
11-11 21:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on November 11?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x078656…
11-11 21:54:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on November 11?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x7db689…
11-11 21:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 11?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1e96b6…
11-11 21:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 11?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$183	0x204d32…
11-11 21:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 11?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x6b49bc…
11-11 21:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 11?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x19b389…
11-11 09:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on November 11?	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0xf3ebcc…
11-11 09:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on November 11?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x5c3d37…
11-11 09:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$64	0x74ba4d…
11-11 09:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5f8c88…
11-11 07:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xde6e0b…
11-11 07:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb25314…
11-10 21:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	139	100¢	$138	0x10b43d…
11-10 20:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	53	99¢	$53	0xd5ea18…
11-10 20:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x242050…
11-10 20:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x09a216…
11-10 20:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf55358…
11-10 20:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x0900d9…
11-10 20:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	160	99¢	$158	0xde7c31…
11-10 16:50:37	Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x34684e…
11-10 16:49:54	Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfc995d…
11-10 16:49:45	Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8d23ab…
11-10 16:49:40	Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x35e102…
11-10 16:45:51	Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	99¢	$92	0xdc0153…
11-10 16:21:36	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x025a5d…
11-10 16:21:30	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xd92da2…
11-10 16:21:25	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xa87da8…
11-10 16:21:07	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xe6d47b…
11-10 15:49:13	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8704d0…
11-09 21:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on November 9?	No	BUY	217	100¢	$216	0xdacc17…
11-09 20:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on November 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc7d91e…
11-09 20:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on November 9?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd1349b…
11-09 20:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on November 9?	No	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0x91bd45…
11-09 16:58:10	Will White House post 120-139 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x838e2c…
11-09 16:57:45	Will White House post 120-139 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	257	100¢	$256	0xc74958…
11-09 16:22:31	Will White House post 40-59 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x9f0688…
11-09 08:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2845f3…
11-09 08:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	248	100¢	$248	0xfef340…
11-09 08:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x3d97de…
11-09 08:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x0369dc…
11-09 08:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa380bc…
11-08 21:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on November 8?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x172734…
11-08 21:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on November 8?	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x67ec16…
11-08 21:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on November 8?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe8d87b…
11-08 21:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on November 8?	Yes	BUY	202	100¢	$201	0x631b9c…
11-08 21:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on November 8?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x066a4a…
11-08 21:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on November 8?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x29ee01…
11-08 21:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on November 8?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbcd40a…
11-08 10:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	423	100¢	$423	0xb4b5bd…
11-08 10:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7f7c6b…
11-08 00:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 7?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb9d743…
11-08 00:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 7?	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x31a6ff…
11-08 00:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 7?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb9d311…
11-08 00:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 7?	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xcd7ea7…
11-08 00:15:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on November 7?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x0b23f1…
11-08 00:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on November 7?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x74ef6e…
11-07 10:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x429462…
11-07 10:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xc16092…
11-07 10:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x526ed3…
11-07 10:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xab6555…
11-07 10:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xb46b11…
11-07 10:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9d6a7c…
11-07 10:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x439183…
11-06 23:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on November 6?	No	BUY	423	100¢	$422	0xb5583b…
11-06 11:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	422	100¢	$422	0x80228c…
11-05 23:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbf5545…
11-05 23:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xdf44a9…
11-05 23:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xc74725…
11-05 23:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xac16b5…
11-05 23:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x58d10a…
11-05 23:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on November 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6a8b0c…
11-05 23:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on November 5?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1da6d5…
11-05 23:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x561bf2…
11-05 23:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbc146a…
11-05 23:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on November 5?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x36fe34…
11-05 16:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	393	100¢	$393	0x217d8f…
11-05 16:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x702bf6…
11-05 16:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc4cfab…
11-05 16:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0b5512…
11-05 08:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc9a51f…
11-05 08:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	414	100¢	$413	0x8fb509…
11-04 20:43:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	420	100¢	$420	0xaeb047…
11-04 11:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xd12843…
11-04 11:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on November 4?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xbab056…
11-04 11:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x624adc…
11-04 11:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on November 4?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x721ced…
11-03 22:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	415	100¢	$415	0x579c4e…
11-03 22:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa175f2…
11-03 16:49:37	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xd0ccd3…
11-03 16:43:55	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0x2a54ea…
11-03 16:43:46	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0x25e411…
11-03 08:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb93516…
11-03 08:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x144b73…
11-03 08:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x01ff86…
11-03 08:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$86	0xf1edb3…