Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$24
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
476
lifetime
Volume
$146.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$308
Open exposure
$2.72K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 06-17 14:14
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
81%
Other
12%
Crypto
7%
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -1,640 $-1,610 100¢ $-1636 $-26 06-10 23:25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +420 $405 99¢ $416 +$11 06-02 08:07
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +320 $304 99¢ $317 +$13 06-01 13:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +254 $201 88¢ $222 +$22 06-12 16:01
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +70 $52 94¢ $65 +$14 05-31 12:34
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +58 $51 93¢ $54 +$3 06-17 09:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +120 $22 $9 $-13 06-12 09:17