Untidy-Poncho — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$201

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

69.5%

Resolved

1,410

Trades

2,142

lifetime

Volume

$22.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-13 13:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 296 days

Categories

Sports

73% 56% +$275

Crypto

26% 53% -$461

Other

1% 41% -$14

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA?	Yes		+3	$1	18¢	$1	$0	11-13 13:09
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes		+3	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	11-05 14:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba phi lal 2026 02 05	4	$1.3K	674	674	+0	Lakers	+$5	02-06 05:34
nba phi gsw 2026 02 03	3	$1.2K	678	678	+0	76ers	+$144	02-04 05:09
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$918	464	464	+0	No	$0	02-14 15:22
nba sas lal 2026 02 10	4	$405	471	0	+471	Spurs	+$66	02-11 03:48
nba phi lac 2026 02 02	3	$375	500	0	+500	76ers	+$125	02-03 04:12
nba ind tor 2026 02 08 total 226pt5	4	$296	384	0	+384	Under	+$88	02-08 20:53
nba den phx 2026 03 24	8	$295	324	324	+0	Nuggets	+$41	03-25 05:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 23:20 UTC	4	$282	149	148	+0	Up	+$10	03-28 23:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 21:45 UTC	2	$259	136	136	+0	Down	+$11	03-28 21:49
nba ind orl 2026 03 23	3	$258	198	198	+0	Pacers	+$138	03-24 01:45
nba orl mem 2026 01 18	5	$238	127	127	+0	Grizzlies	+$2	01-18 19:16
nba was bkn 2026 02 07	3	$214	220	0	+220	Nets	+$6	02-07 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:10 UTC	2	$212	128	127	+1	Up	+$23	03-29 14:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:55 UTC	2	$198	118	118	+1	Up	+$19	03-27 01:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:45 UTC	2	$179	104	103	+1	Up	+$12	03-27 01:49
nba mil phx 2026 03 21	6	$166	166	166	+0	Bucks	+$36	03-22 04:30
Spurs vs. Thunder	16	$153	139	139	+0	Spurs	+$13	05-19 03:40
Thunder vs. Spurs	5	$146	90	90	+0	Spurs	+$30	05-29 02:22
nba nyk bkn 2026 03 20	3	$136	614	183	+431	Knicks	+$16	03-21 01:53
nba por min 2026 03 20 spread home 3pt5	2	$133	68	68	+0	Trail Blazers	+$2	03-21 02:33
nba lac ind 2026 03 27	2	$128	104	104	+0	Clippers	+$28	03-28 01:32
nba orl cha 2026 03 19	3	$119	222	110	+112	Hornets	-$46	03-19 23:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:15 UTC	1	$117	188	0	+188	Down	-$117	03-29 14:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 13:15 UTC	6	$116	93	92	+1	Down	+$37	03-28 13:20
nba min lac 2026 03 11 spread home 2pt5	2	$113	213	0	+213	Clippers	-$113	03-11 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	7	$111	90	90	+0	Up	+$11	10-02 15:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 12:15 UTC	4	$109	189	73	+117	Up	-$2	03-28 12:18
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	7	$108	97	86	+11	Knicks	+$9	06-06 03:00
nba min bos 2026 03 22	3	$106	82	82	+0	Timberwolves	+$58	03-23 02:33
nba mia cle 2026 03 27	3	$105	62	62	+0	Cavaliers	+$9	03-28 00:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 13:09:15	Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0708aa…
11-12 11:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd980d4…
11-12 11:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	56	6¢	$3	0xa02556…
11-12 11:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x492a2a…
11-12 11:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	63	9¢	$6	0x4231e7…
11-12 11:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	63	52¢	$33	0xdfde59…
11-12 11:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x84dde4…
11-12 11:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x7d0af6…
11-12 11:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	36	18¢	$6	0x8e8b7f…
11-12 11:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x38d6f8…
11-12 11:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	30	52¢	$16	0x6e5544…
11-12 11:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x79f374…
11-12 11:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	39	18¢	$7	0xa03292…
11-12 11:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xe16312…
11-12 11:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x51e8d0…
11-12 11:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x68a4dd…
11-12 11:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xe15cad…
11-12 11:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf32688…
11-11 14:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xd20cb5…
11-11 14:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6b128e…
11-10 13:48:03	Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xdac8a4…
11-09 13:05:33	Spread: Lakers (-8.5)	Hawks	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xcd1142…
11-08 13:32:55	76ers vs. Bulls	76ers	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x14f4cc…
11-08 13:32:43	Lakers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x475bb3…
11-07 11:47:10	Spread: Thunder (-19.5)	Wizards	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6875e1…
11-07 11:46:33	Spread: Knicks (-13.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5bb694…
11-07 11:46:19	Nuggets vs. Pacers	Nuggets	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe70256…
11-06 15:27:42	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x551729…
11-05 15:11:21	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x180fe9…
11-05 15:01:01	Spread: Warriors (-16.5)	Heat	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb693b7…
11-05 14:59:28	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfdb425…
11-03 16:55:19	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6756bc…
11-03 11:00:10	Spread: Spurs (-17.5)	Mavericks	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe0edc3…
11-03 10:59:07	Spread: Rockets (-13.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xcb3898…
11-03 10:58:19	76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5	Over	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb22c08…
10-29 13:18:50	Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x8b75ff…
10-29 13:16:38	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf5faad…
10-28 14:15:02	Spread: Spurs (-19.5)	Jazz	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x19f883…
10-28 14:14:37	Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)	Pelicans	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb418e8…
10-27 14:44:27	Spread: Lakers (-9.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x4b3ceb…
10-27 14:42:35	Spread: Spurs (-27.5)	Kings	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa750f7…
10-26 14:13:24	Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 249.5	Under	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1df3ed…
10-26 14:12:56	Spread: Nuggets (-15.5)	Warriors	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4e9872…
10-26 14:11:24	Spread: Rockets (-10.5)	Hawks	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb55b83…
10-26 14:06:39	Spread: Jazz (-9.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xdb45e4…
10-26 14:03:44	Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	Suns	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4bcc87…
10-25 13:50:02	Magic vs. Knicks: O/U 238.5	Under	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x57eed4…
10-25 13:48:18	Spread: Knicks (-15.5)	Magic	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x180c4a…
10-25 13:47:50	Pistons vs. 76ers	Pistons	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x672240…
10-25 13:47:08	Spread: Pistons (-10.5)	76ers	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x11a9be…
10-25 13:45:18	Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)	Kings	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xefe10d…
10-24 13:29:41	Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 207.5	Over	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe42cb9…
10-24 13:28:39	Spread: Hawks (-12.5)	Rockets	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x43f083…
10-24 13:28:09	Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 250.5	Under	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8c0036…
10-24 13:27:54	Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)	Pelicans	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x316db4…
10-24 13:27:14	Spread: Suns (-21.5)	Warriors	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4f3c21…
10-23 13:28:35	Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)	Magic	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf346e2…
10-23 13:28:06	Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 243.5	Under	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9ea74d…
10-23 13:26:42	Spread: Jazz (-8.5)	Pelicans	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x008d56…
10-23 13:25:32	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Rockets	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x633db9…
10-22 13:39:18	Spread: 76ers (-11.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7fa36b…
10-22 13:37:24	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Nuggets	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x514ff3…
10-21 13:16:30	Kings vs. Clippers	Clippers	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x779744…
10-21 13:16:09	Suns vs. Trail Blazers	Suns	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2f79ee…
10-20 11:41:11	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x02f603…
10-19 13:51:59	Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)	Coventry City FC	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9ad45a…
10-19 13:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xc287d9…
10-19 13:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x406be2…
10-18 12:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x18ca06…
10-18 12:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfd90ab…
10-17 15:51:32	Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	Ipswich Town FC	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1153a1…
10-17 15:12:20	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf636dd…
10-17 15:09:53	Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	Ipswich Town FC	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2e62eb…
10-17 15:06:15	Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x313289…
10-17 15:04:44	Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfbe9b4…
10-17 15:03:21	Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa25e54…
10-17 14:46:35	Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x974177…
10-17 03:03:48	Nuggets vs. Lakers	Nuggets	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x8d7cc1…
10-17 02:58:57	Nuggets vs. Lakers	Nuggets	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x6c5005…
10-16 13:36:54	nba was nop 2026 10 16 spread away 2pt5	Pelicans	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3610ad…
10-16 13:33:27	nba was nop 2026 10 16 spread away 2pt5	Pelicans	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe5b904…
10-15 13:02:04	Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x38ae15…
10-14 12:58:45	nba det min 2026 10 14	Timberwolves	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4fcc4b…
10-13 14:21:19	Al Sadd SC vs. Al Hilal SFC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4f8ea4…
10-13 14:14:04	Austria vs. Kosovo: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x04dc36…
10-12 13:23:39	Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5	Under	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb83dd4…
10-12 13:23:23	Thunder vs. Hawks: O/U 224.5	Under	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xae247c…
10-12 13:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x1079e8…
10-12 13:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xc156f3…
10-12 13:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x9f68ff…
10-12 13:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x7f1162…
10-11 13:42:58	Bulls vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xd2eb90…
10-10 12:43:06	Kings vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x58ff73…
10-09 14:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x672579…
10-09 14:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9b27aa…
10-08 13:23:32	Hawks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x93f10a…
10-07 13:00:04	Timberwolves vs. Pacers	Timberwolves	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe024ad…
10-06 13:33:01	Pelicans vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb5a945…
10-05 13:42:02	Suns vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x78ce73…
10-04 14:05:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x0e1ae6…