Gargantuan-Shopper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

120

Trades

159

lifetime

Volume

$1.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-25 22:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

43% 97% +$0

Politics

34% 100% +$6

Crypto

22% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$126	76	76	+0	No	+$0	10-18 01:37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	5	$114	58	58	+0	No	+$1	09-01 03:51
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	3	$86	43	43	+0	No	+$0	10-08 05:39
LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	3	$81	41	41	+0	Yes	+$0	09-10 19:36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$68	48	48	+0	open	—	10-25 22:45
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	2	$64	32	32	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 02:28
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	4	$53	28	26	+1	No	+$1	10-01 06:05
Will XRP reach $2.80 in September?	2	$46	23	23	+0	No	+$0	09-29 02:34
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	09-21 19:44
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	09-04 06:17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	09-07 01:40
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$32	33	0	+33	No	+$0	08-15 10:49
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$1	08-13 14:21
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$32	33	0	+33	No	+$1	08-21 02:01
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$27	28	0	+28	No	+$0	08-04 19:34
will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-31 13:36
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	10-03 04:41
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	07-30 18:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	05-29 01:39
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$13	14	0	+14	Yes	+$0	05-26 01:53
Will Poland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-13 00:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$0	08-31 19:30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	05-30 11:07
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	10-16 16:52
Will Solana reach $190 in September?	4	$9	5	4	+2	No	+$0	09-29 06:52
will ethereum reach 3200 in february 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	02-24 16:59
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	06-28 12:07
will solana dip to 40 in february 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	02-28 00:28
will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	06-30 03:54
will coin reach 190 in june 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	06-28 13:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 22:46:24	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	35	12¢	$4	0x6ed9f5…
10-25 22:45:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	48	73¢	$35	0x5b8635…
10-23 01:52:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x5dc119…
10-20 10:37:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	48	70¢	$33	0xe108f4…
10-18 01:37:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	37	81¢	$30	0xd362f0…
10-16 16:52:37	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x22d6d3…
10-15 10:14:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x887af5…
10-09 19:06:02	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x0020f3…
10-08 05:39:40	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xaa96a9…
10-08 05:38:53	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x9149e8…
10-06 07:45:03	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xadcb3e…
10-05 12:35:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	39	85¢	$33	0x77cda0…
10-05 03:15:22	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	39	84¢	$32	0x19606f…
10-03 04:41:23	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbdbbeb…
10-01 06:05:47	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xca88c7…
09-30 18:56:09	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe1e6cd…
09-29 19:23:56	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xb97179…
09-29 19:23:56	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x6e2101…
09-29 06:52:21	Will Solana reach $190 in September?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x546d2d…
09-29 05:49:06	Will Solana reach $190 in September?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7b4f12…
09-29 04:58:47	Will Solana reach $190 in September?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf8e086…
09-29 02:34:38	Will XRP reach $2.80 in September?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xbf1071…
09-29 00:46:53	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x27e936…
09-27 16:57:03	Will XRP reach $2.80 in September?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc2b328…
09-27 07:42:42	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x163298…
09-26 22:37:59	Will Solana reach $190 in September?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbb748d…
09-21 19:44:13	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x592499…
09-10 19:36:45	LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x10c08d…
09-10 00:24:51	LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x9e3d5a…
09-10 00:22:21	LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x5ffc3e…
09-07 01:40:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xbcb39d…
09-04 06:17:03	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x891479…
09-01 03:51:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x8dddf2…
08-31 19:30:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7a095a…
08-30 05:41:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8991c4…
08-27 11:51:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x656506…
08-27 09:28:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x88a4e1…
08-26 16:38:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0x71f971…
08-26 08:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C or higher on August 27?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x9d153a…
08-26 08:58:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C or higher on August 27?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0x42d200…
08-26 08:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C or higher on August 27?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x7c9e14…
08-25 21:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C or higher on August 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe93e60…
08-25 21:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C or higher on August 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5c695b…
08-25 19:45:57	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xee3f5b…
08-25 19:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C or higher on August 27?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xd53a14…
08-25 19:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C or higher on August 27?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x2cb1cf…
08-25 19:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C or higher on August 27?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x45af6a…
08-25 19:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C or higher on August 27?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x8cba47…
08-25 19:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C or higher on August 27?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x364b36…
08-25 19:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C or higher on August 27?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x919e1a…
08-23 21:41:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x6c89c9…
08-21 02:01:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x812cd9…
08-19 18:34:55	will nvda dip to 152 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xee675c…
08-15 10:49:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	33	99¢	$32	0xda32be…
08-13 14:21:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x367aef…
08-13 02:28:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x938372…
08-10 06:47:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x5a13e8…
08-08 09:31:57	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3a3b1f…
08-06 13:25:15	will ethereum dip to 1100 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd76788…
08-06 02:26:35	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3d4db1…
08-04 19:34:29	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xe67fcd…
08-03 15:10:47	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc78856…
07-31 21:27:20	will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x987c1c…
07-30 18:27:54	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x305306…
07-30 06:00:32	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd58df0…
07-29 16:04:00	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe5d8b6…
07-28 15:53:17	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x747b1b…
07-28 12:29:47	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x68fbb2…
07-27 15:09:39	will xauusd dip to 3600 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc93e3d…
07-25 15:32:57	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdd927d…
07-25 03:03:06	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x76ffc3…
07-23 15:57:34	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026 444	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x03ec1b…
07-22 08:46:22	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x99f057…
07-21 22:20:31	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xd42749…
07-21 05:49:30	will ethereum dip to 1100 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3cb09f…
07-21 00:34:33	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4d4838…
07-21 00:15:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4b2e5d…
07-20 22:53:22	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8688a0…
07-20 14:57:19	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1cef6b…
06-30 03:54:32	will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc550e2…
06-29 09:02:31	will googl reach 390 in june 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x272cd5…
06-28 13:21:37	will coin reach 190 in june 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x971105…
06-28 12:07:56	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f7343…
06-28 09:01:55	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x035334…
06-27 21:03:35	will ng dip to 2 80 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcda403…
06-27 10:56:07	will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x66b68e…
06-27 00:21:29	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xea86a3…
05-30 11:07:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x79f890…
05-29 01:39:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x885b1f…
05-26 01:53:16	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	97¢	$13	0xb6315d…
05-13 00:29:31	Will Poland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x79b4ae…
05-11 13:13:06	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xad35f4…
05-10 03:13:42	Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x68c042…
05-10 02:40:52	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbecdbd…
05-09 22:22:09	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbd7639…
05-09 01:10:19	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x44ea05…
05-07 19:35:39	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x17fc93…
05-06 00:13:54	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe89b60…
05-05 19:11:16	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x58e1dd…
05-05 17:18:46	Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7250d1…