Average-Swan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$306

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

5,450

Trades

6,055

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-30

last 07-12 09:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 64% +$306

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 10:45 UTC	16	$48	84	+84	Down	+$36	06-06 10:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$13	22	+22	Down	-$13	05-31 14:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$13	20	+20	Down	+$1	05-31 20:29
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$13	18	+18	Down	-$6	06-01 00:49
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$13	19	+19	Up	+$6	05-31 14:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$13	18	+18	Up	-$5	05-31 17:14
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$13	17	+17	Down	+$4	06-01 00:54
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$13	19	+19	Up	-$13	05-31 23:19
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$13	19	+19	Up	+$6	05-31 20:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$13	21	+21	Up	-$6	05-31 22:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$13	21	+21	Down	+$1	05-31 15:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$13	19	+19	Up	+$6	05-31 19:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$13	16	+16	Down	-$13	05-31 17:59
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$13	20	+20	Up	+$7	05-31 19:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$13	22	+22	Down	-$13	06-01 01:14
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$13	16	+16	Up	+$3	05-31 14:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$13	18	+18	Up	+$5	05-31 14:29
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$13	20	+20	Down	+$7	05-31 18:24
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$13	15	+15	Up	+$2	05-31 22:19
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$13	19	+19	Down	+$6	05-31 18:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$12	17	+17	Up	+$5	05-31 21:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$10	14	+14	Down	-$2	06-01 02:59
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$10	13	+13	Down	-$3	06-01 03:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$10	15	+15	Down	-$10	06-01 02:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$10	13	+13	Up	-$3	06-01 02:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$10	14	+14	Down	-$10	06-01 03:29
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$10	12	+12	Down	+$2	06-01 02:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$10	16	+16	Down	-$10	06-01 01:24
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$8	12	+12	Down	+$4	05-31 17:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$8	13	+13	Up	-$8	05-31 22:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 09:54:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4d5728…
07-12 08:59:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe25be6…
07-12 08:39:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf9867c…
07-12 08:23:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9f15f7…
07-12 08:14:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa6f276…
07-12 07:59:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xefae5f…
07-12 05:59:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xbd7014…
07-12 05:58:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc733ea…
07-12 05:49:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd31e56…
07-12 04:59:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0xbb3c84…
07-12 04:59:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x938247…
07-12 04:06:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xee969a…
07-12 04:04:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8bf29e…
07-12 03:24:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x59d7f7…
07-12 03:24:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x931d1e…
07-12 02:59:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x58f4e1…
07-12 02:59:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x65a47c…
07-12 02:19:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfcf892…
07-12 02:18:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5066aa…
07-12 02:09:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd4846b…
07-12 02:09:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf69569…
07-12 01:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3cb434…
07-12 01:09:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x419619…
07-12 01:02:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4f499d…
07-12 00:59:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4b2e84…
07-12 00:54:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3d1293…
07-12 00:54:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x70c6bc…
07-12 00:46:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xfeba33…
07-12 00:44:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc07b21…
07-12 00:43:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x409b26…
07-12 00:29:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x94f5b1…
07-12 00:28:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xdf97b2…
07-12 00:24:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9e57a4…
07-12 00:19:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc3df05…
07-12 00:14:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x783663…
07-12 00:12:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa55bd4…
07-12 00:04:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xee8cdf…
07-11 23:49:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x29bb05…
07-11 23:49:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4c3ae1…
07-11 23:42:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x26a662…
07-11 23:39:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb93083…
07-11 23:35:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	57¢	$0	0x02314a…
07-11 23:34:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x645a91…
07-11 22:49:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x34a3d6…
07-11 22:44:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdf8fc5…
07-11 22:44:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x584daa…
07-11 22:25:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xbe400c…
07-11 22:19:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3be9eb…
07-11 22:14:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x60b5c7…
07-11 20:59:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4b2906…
07-11 20:34:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x368f43…
07-11 20:14:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa74d57…
07-11 19:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x424583…
07-11 19:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7ec16c…
07-11 19:09:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbec2cb…
07-11 18:14:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x03c161…
07-11 17:59:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcb022b…
07-11 17:44:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7956a5…
07-11 16:29:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x250dd6…
07-11 15:49:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6c716b…
07-11 15:40:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9b499b…
07-11 14:54:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6c6bce…
07-11 14:24:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa4d337…
07-11 14:24:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9ac625…
07-11 14:14:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8c6797…
07-11 13:29:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xac15c4…
07-11 12:39:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6cd66e…
07-11 12:09:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x9da35b…
07-11 12:04:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x0b9270…
07-11 11:44:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3725fa…
07-11 11:39:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd69308…
07-11 11:29:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcccce6…
07-11 11:24:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd09692…
07-11 10:04:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6123ff…
07-11 09:59:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x69ed39…
07-11 08:19:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2b9f39…
07-11 07:34:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x377789…
07-11 07:32:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x99b35d…
07-11 07:29:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x8e2775…
07-11 07:27:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x00ffde…
07-11 07:09:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x342028…
07-11 07:04:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x725411…
07-11 06:54:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbaf2e4…
07-11 06:34:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2d9674…
07-11 06:34:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x562964…
07-11 06:14:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x1f2800…
07-11 06:13:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7a3fc1…
07-11 06:09:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe9cc51…
07-11 06:09:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd74ce3…
07-11 05:59:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbe3cbb…
07-11 05:29:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf0a3b9…
07-11 05:14:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xafc9cb…
07-11 02:54:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6ecc1a…
07-11 02:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8004e8…
07-11 02:39:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x06880d…
07-11 01:54:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9c6b7a…
07-11 01:54:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1cb457…
07-11 01:34:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x74e1e5…
07-11 01:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x42c5fc…
07-11 01:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4e794e…