Shallow-Stamen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

85.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$172

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-09 20:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 100% +$1

Other

36% 58% -$8

Politics

2% 100% +$0

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No		+9	$9	99¢	$9	+$0	07-21 17:59
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?	No		+3	$3	26¢	$1	-$2	11-09 20:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	4	$17	18	0	+18	No	+$0	02-24 22:12
will solana reach 150 february 9 15	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	02-12 02:13
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-20 21:28
will ethereum reach 2800 february 2 8	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	02-08 04:37
will hyperliquid hit 42 in january	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	01-29 20:17
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	07-21 17:59
will solana reach 170 in january 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	01-29 20:55
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	2	$8	9	0	+9	No	+$1	05-31 22:36
will xrp reach 3 in january 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	01-29 22:21
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$1	11-04 02:05
will xrp reach 3pt2 in january 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	01-29 22:37
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?	2	$4	6	0	+6	No	-$4	08-22 06:02
will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	07-27 20:03
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-31?	2	$4	8	0	+8	Yes	+$4	10-31 05:12
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?	1	$4	7	0	+7	No	-$4	05-15 17:51
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	03-13 18:59
lal ala ovi 2026 01 04 ala	1	$3	7	0	+7	No	-$3	01-04 02:21
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-31 22:15
will solana reach 150 in january 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	01-30 15:54
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	07-27 22:35
will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	07-15 18:03
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?	1	$3	7	0	+7	No	-$3	05-23 16:00
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	11-09 20:24
lal sev lev 2026 01 04 sev	1	$3	5	0	+5	No	-$3	01-04 02:09
Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	03-29 12:14
will solana reach 120 in march 2026	2	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	03-28 08:33
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?	1	$3	6	0	+6	No	-$3	10-12 05:40
Will Denmark win on 2026-10-04?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	10-03 22:38
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-07?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	05-07 00:01
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	05-23 16:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 20:24:31	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x7af292…
11-04 02:05:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$5	0x7ceaae…
10-31 05:12:55	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0xd92760…
10-31 04:52:34	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd58e68…
10-12 05:40:42	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x0d4a94…
10-03 23:49:37	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x41e816…
10-03 22:38:02	Will Denmark win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9158a3…
09-19 05:07:12	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x361d5b…
09-07 21:10:43	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xc747bc…
08-22 11:16:06	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xd18bd5…
08-22 06:02:24	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x96de34…
08-22 04:51:43	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xbdef2b…
07-27 22:35:40	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3cb6fa…
07-27 20:03:43	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xfe005c…
07-21 17:59:46	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x5e0da7…
07-21 16:44:54	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0xd14931…
07-15 18:03:11	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x31fda5…
05-31 22:36:53	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0x4f371e…
05-31 22:15:15	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8c3519…
05-31 18:10:11	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x873703…
05-23 16:37:30	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb03d8c…
05-23 16:00:22	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xb63e59…
05-15 17:51:20	Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x878ea4…
05-07 00:01:15	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-07?	Yes	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x5a1954…
04-13 17:02:01	cs2 b8 navi 2026 04 13	B8	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd90bc7…
03-29 12:14:50	Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xecce2b…
03-29 11:50:34	Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0x48ac79…
03-28 08:33:13	will solana reach 120 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1fbe2d…
03-28 02:56:51	will solana reach 110 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x345b4d…
03-27 19:51:15	will solana reach 120 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x68d70b…
03-13 18:59:45	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0e9169…
03-04 20:37:43	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xaad7f4…
02-24 22:12:12	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8458d8…
02-24 20:13:52	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xedeea9…
02-24 11:59:48	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x671e4e…
02-20 21:28:50	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x3e5fe1…
02-20 20:18:26	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xae5bf3…
02-20 14:44:10	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x192842…
02-12 02:13:29	will solana reach 150 february 9 15	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x03bbb2…
02-08 04:37:55	will ethereum reach 2800 february 2 8	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x38c0ed…
01-30 15:54:48	will solana reach 150 in january 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0c3e42…
01-29 22:37:26	will xrp reach 3pt2 in january 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xcde469…
01-29 22:21:40	will xrp reach 3 in january 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x438732…
01-29 20:55:12	will solana reach 170 in january 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeed0c1…
01-29 20:17:48	will hyperliquid hit 42 in january	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x815c37…
01-04 02:21:37	lal ala ovi 2026 01 04 ala	Yes	BUY	7	52¢	$3	0xddd43c…
01-04 02:09:11	lal sev lev 2026 01 04 sev	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x97caa2…