Cloudy-Crumb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$596

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

1,042

Trades

11,591

lifetime

Volume

$9.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 10-25 06:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 162 days

Categories

Other

100% 18% +$595

Politics

0% 83% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	12	$445	450	450	+0	Yes	+$431	07-07 15:49
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	42	$432	900	720	+180	No	+$252	06-02 13:51
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	14	$410	1,200	500	+700	No	+$150	07-07 15:50
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	18	$332	610	610	+0	Yes	+$121	07-17 13:51
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	43	$283	1,540	490	+1,050	Yes	+$10	07-24 15:12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	39	$282	2,450	250	+2,200	Yes	-$9	07-10 15:31
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	12	$239	210	210	+0	No	+$134	07-21 15:43
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	22	$205	818	225	+593	Yes	+$86	06-26 15:15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	10	$166	200	200	+0	Yes	+$60	06-09 15:26
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	27	$154	1,400	350	+1,050	Yes	-$105	08-07 14:30
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	17	$149	350	130	+220	Yes	-$30	07-21 04:58
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	13	$140	200	175	+25	Yes	+$34	06-12 14:41
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	15	$140	375	150	+225	No	+$40	06-09 15:37
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	5	$137	150	150	+0	No	+$72	06-30 15:48
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	6	$133	203	203	+0	Yes	+$86	07-28 15:32
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	13	$132	1,175	100	+1,075	No	+$62	06-23 15:15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	31	$126	905	170	+735	No	+$43	05-29 13:35
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	10	$96	490	70	+420	Yes	-$78	07-31 15:22
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	9	$94	325	100	+225	No	+$26	06-16 14:26
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	5	$90	100	100	+0	Yes	+$86	07-03 13:32
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	17	$89	170	120	+50	No	+$67	05-22 13:40
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	5	$84	300	0	+300	Yes	-$84	07-14 08:11
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	35	$84	2,030	420	+1,610	Yes	-$60	08-04 14:45
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	12	$82	100	100	+0	Yes	+$31	05-26 15:55
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	33	$80	1,740	90	+1,650	Yes	-$63	08-25 15:16
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	10	$78	90	100	-10	No	-$11	04-17 04:05
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	25	$78	440	100	+340	Yes	-$27	05-01 15:28
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	23	$69	230	130	+100	Yes	+$51	05-19 14:59
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	24	$67	930	690	+240	No	+$58	08-20 21:29
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	31	$64	365	171	+194	Yes	+$53	05-22 14:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 06:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x4b2b42…
10-25 06:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x2e230f…
10-25 06:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd6bc8c…
10-25 05:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x8893c3…
10-25 05:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xb132c2…
10-25 05:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x3dddc6…
10-25 05:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x17a747…
10-25 03:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x062f90…
10-25 03:45:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x391ed4…
10-25 03:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd77ae9…
10-25 03:41:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xa35a9d…
10-25 03:41:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x47a62a…
10-25 03:39:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xf8f54e…
10-25 03:39:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x57c75c…
10-25 03:39:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x6a379d…
10-25 03:38:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5b5129…
10-25 03:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x3ff18e…
10-01 19:29:14	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xc04ce7…
10-01 04:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x28ea6e…
10-01 04:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x998a8d…
10-01 04:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x122422…
10-01 04:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x832599…
10-01 04:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0xf10c73…
10-01 04:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xb82777…
10-01 04:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x0830e8…
09-30 07:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x21051d…
09-30 07:57:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x6677f7…
09-30 07:56:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x49a149…
09-30 07:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xe4a2c6…
09-30 07:18:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc6c287…
09-30 07:18:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x9b534a…
09-30 07:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xcd705b…
09-30 07:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x8de4a6…
09-30 07:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0xb204b8…
09-30 07:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x789c4e…
09-30 07:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc46632…
09-30 07:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5fd382…
09-30 00:15:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x7d4501…
09-29 23:11:59	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x5ac1dd…
09-29 08:20:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x2793d3…
09-29 06:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xff7b67…
09-29 05:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4f55ab…
09-29 05:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xe2d6a6…
09-29 05:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x9bd289…
09-29 05:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x3ec733…
09-29 03:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x8898b7…
09-29 03:21:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x238a98…
09-29 03:12:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xddd2bc…
09-29 02:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xdfe52c…
09-29 02:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd3dd4e…
09-29 00:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf7eae2…
09-29 00:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe418db…
09-29 00:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xc8e13d…
09-29 00:02:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x5e477b…
09-29 00:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x4f02dd…
09-28 05:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xc49473…
09-28 05:52:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x0c6df7…
09-28 05:50:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xb00b62…
09-28 05:50:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x91b1d7…
09-28 05:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x6d9aaa…
09-28 05:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x563f2a…
09-28 05:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xaa7b15…
09-28 04:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xc2f631…
09-28 04:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb19278…
09-28 04:39:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5a3092…
09-28 04:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb001f4…
09-28 04:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x66f78d…
09-28 04:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf09ad1…
09-28 04:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf7929b…
09-28 04:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdd536f…
09-28 04:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xb06321…
09-28 03:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0x640dee…
09-28 03:29:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xe31c40…
09-28 03:29:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x629b67…
09-28 03:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xf8adcd…
09-28 03:18:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1f43d7…
09-28 03:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xc52e61…
09-28 03:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xaf2148…
09-28 03:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x22e80b…
09-28 03:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xaa0cc7…
09-27 06:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xac2ad9…
09-27 05:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x4beac4…
09-27 05:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x76e7bf…
09-27 05:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x482127…
09-27 05:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x9ab2b7…
09-27 05:12:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xec37fd…
09-27 05:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xc8b100…
09-27 05:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x99ef2b…
09-27 04:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x39ad33…
09-27 04:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x849b6f…
09-27 04:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x397969…
09-27 04:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x0839b2…
09-27 04:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xb082ef…
09-27 04:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xf320bd…
09-26 18:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x53a0bf…
09-26 18:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xcd9d4d…
09-26 18:32:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc6ab81…
09-26 18:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe8fea1…
09-26 18:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa28bfd…
09-26 06:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x5a31d1…