Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$72

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

590

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$94

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-12 01:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

85% 100% +$68

Other

15% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No		+100	$93	94¢	$94	+$1	06-12 01:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	115	$4.6K	4,003	4,293	-290	open	—	02-28 21:38
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	56	$2.0K	1,053	1,213	-161	open	—	03-09 14:27
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	26	$887	669	605	+65	open	—	02-28 13:41
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	21	$649	349	349	+0	open	—	01-29 19:53
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	33	$561	517	655	-138	open	—	03-01 20:29
mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	70	$340	1,029	1,400	-371	open	—	03-16 18:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	7	$295	193	303	-110	Yes	+$68	03-04 11:00
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	15	$280	104	264	-160	open	—	03-06 10:20
nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	4	$211	110	110	+0	open	—	02-11 03:06
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	19	$195	174	221	-47	open	—	03-17 10:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$193	120	120	-0	open	—	02-27 19:04
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by january 31	7	$190	73	123	-50	open	—	01-24 17:45
nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	8	$178	106	86	+20	open	—	03-01 17:43
north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	11	$127	100	100	+0	open	—	03-23 23:18
internet access restored in iran by friday 263	15	$107	85	57	+28	open	—	01-27 00:23
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	7	$93	100	0	+100	open	—	06-12 01:17
will russia strike kyiv on february 4 2026	10	$79	50	55	-5	open	—	02-03 20:42
french forces seize another oil tanker by feb 28	8	$77	60	60	+0	open	—	01-28 01:52
iran strike on israel by february 28	10	$71	50	60	-10	open	—	02-28 09:43
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	14	$69	75	55	+20	open	—	03-20 17:59
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	8	$67	120	120	+0	open	—	04-11 13:09
will russia strike kyiv on february 7 2026	3	$55	30	50	-20	open	—	02-03 22:16
us forces seize another oil tanker by january 25 2026	5	$51	43	10	+33	open	—	01-25 23:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$36	50	50	+0	open	—	03-15 22:15
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	03-18 21:01
will ollie win eesti laul 2026	6	$34	24	24	+0	open	—	02-14 18:11
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	76	$27	899	1,064	-164	No	+$4	02-16 05:59
iran strike on us military by february 28	1	$19	0	20	-20	open	—	02-26 13:48
will israel or the us target tehran 812	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	02-26 19:53
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	02-27 18:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 01:17:01	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x722e1a…
06-11 09:36:55	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	BUY	79	93¢	$73	0x9cb1ac…
06-10 10:03:00	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6c7069…
06-10 10:02:58	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf9c81f…
06-10 10:02:58	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x22f4e8…
06-10 10:02:57	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb3a853…
06-10 09:56:43	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf7de0c…
04-11 13:09:37	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xbec5a5…
04-10 17:16:41	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xecfe3f…
04-05 07:53:45	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	22	28¢	$6	0x24a4c4…
04-05 07:51:29	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	78	29¢	$23	0x5de90e…
04-05 03:02:11	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	23	25¢	$6	0x7998f7…
04-04 22:26:57	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xa39ac5…
04-04 22:18:45	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x18ff40…
04-04 22:11:05	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	62	25¢	$16	0x34ccf4…
03-23 23:18:07	north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x30d035…
03-23 22:57:55	north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	No	SELL	28	72¢	$20	0xc418e3…
03-23 22:56:57	north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x1d7ee8…
03-23 20:58:01	north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x94bdfb…
03-23 17:04:49	north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x46b145…
03-20 17:59:11	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0x9ef1a7…
03-20 17:52:33	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x926475…
03-20 17:41:21	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x0db2b4…
03-20 07:53:57	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x5f9658…
03-20 07:07:13	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x5781d5…
03-20 07:05:09	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x1d7b6d…
03-19 20:43:27	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xf53697…
03-19 20:41:07	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9f4342…
03-19 20:38:53	north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	No	SELL	29	61¢	$18	0xb7ac0e…
03-19 20:28:25	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcfec1a…
03-19 20:25:37	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3b3407…
03-19 09:25:33	north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	No	BUY	29	53¢	$15	0x888385…
03-19 06:54:03	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x4c3263…
03-19 06:53:59	north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x616ffc…
03-18 23:02:27	north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdcbf7d…
03-18 21:40:39	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x268c77…
03-18 21:20:11	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xe4547d…
03-18 21:19:21	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0xf34ce1…
03-18 21:01:33	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	10	86¢	$8	0xc107cd…
03-18 21:00:31	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0xbcd747…
03-18 20:56:31	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x2056ec…
03-18 20:54:35	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x72e78d…
03-18 20:50:25	north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	No	SELL	19	56¢	$11	0x9458b5…
03-18 18:31:23	north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x64396f…
03-17 10:02:07	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	1	51¢	$0	0xfc9aa4…
03-17 10:00:51	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xeedc74…
03-17 05:54:15	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	91	50¢	$45	0xad145f…
03-16 23:32:15	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	124	50¢	$62	0x407485…
03-16 20:20:01	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x129296…
03-16 20:15:59	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa175f9…
03-16 20:11:21	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0xdc8c98…
03-16 20:10:31	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x256bfe…
03-16 20:08:51	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x321e0e…
03-16 20:06:35	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x705999…
03-16 20:05:17	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6c5845…
03-16 20:00:17	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc306ff…
03-16 19:57:57	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x63102f…
03-16 19:57:25	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xb33a0e…
03-16 19:55:33	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd79bb1…
03-16 19:55:33	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1ad688…
03-16 19:06:21	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcf7f61…
03-16 19:03:43	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf4086a…
03-16 19:01:55	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x22ce9f…
03-16 18:37:05	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	42	7¢	$3	0x210c81…
03-16 11:50:25	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	42	8¢	$3	0x63f31b…
03-16 11:45:13	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xcb28c9…
03-16 08:57:39	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xf27b29…
03-16 08:55:05	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xceb885…
03-16 08:13:33	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x7ca4d6…
03-16 07:17:45	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xc9f21f…
03-16 07:02:57	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x064ce9…
03-15 22:15:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0x3f6931…
03-15 21:20:05	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x28f0dd…
03-15 21:18:45	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	44	14¢	$6	0xaea693…
03-15 20:51:21	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	81	15¢	$12	0xc73929…
03-15 20:50:45	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	24	15¢	$3	0x6d502b…
03-15 20:49:53	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x173403…
03-15 20:49:33	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0xfba2ea…
03-15 20:48:43	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	71	15¢	$11	0xf56461…
03-15 20:48:15	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	34	15¢	$5	0x2c6057…
03-15 20:47:15	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	43	13¢	$6	0x3a6ecf…
03-15 20:45:17	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x65a364…
03-15 20:41:49	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x09e409…
03-15 20:40:01	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	36	14¢	$5	0xa558d5…
03-15 20:38:59	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	49	14¢	$7	0xf443cb…
03-15 20:38:03	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xac3724…
03-15 20:37:15	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x6972c2…
03-15 20:33:51	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	81	15¢	$12	0x8cba4e…
03-15 20:32:59	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x3e41ab…
03-15 20:31:15	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	93	12¢	$11	0xd31b91…
03-15 20:30:35	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	71	16¢	$11	0xafdde5…
03-15 20:30:13	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	70	15¢	$11	0xa79854…
03-15 20:29:47	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	34	15¢	$5	0x3d9bb4…
03-15 20:28:19	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	27	15¢	$4	0xf2d124…
03-15 20:28:03	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0xc5c0d4…
03-15 20:25:09	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	54	12¢	$7	0x86412b…
03-15 20:18:45	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	45	16¢	$7	0x7d7444…
03-15 20:10:09	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x34819a…
03-15 19:59:33	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	49	17¢	$8	0x75352f…
03-15 19:55:07	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	21	18¢	$4	0x8615de…