Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$81

Unrealized P&L

-$36

Hit rate

51.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$57

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 07-18 16:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

62% 57% -$81

Crypto

38% 65% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+275	$94	21¢	$57	-$36	07-18 16:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	19	$1.4K	1,736	1,611	+125	No	-$87	01-31 12:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 02:30 UTC	2	$233	120	120	+0	Down	+$4	03-29 02:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 02:25 UTC	3	$226	116	116	+0	Down	+$3	03-29 02:31
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	3	$226	309	309	+0	No	+$2	01-14 23:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 01:05 UTC	6	$209	118	109	+9	Up	+$4	03-13 01:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 01:10 UTC	6	$208	107	107	+0	Down	+$5	03-13 01:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$175	89	89	+0	Yes	+$3	03-01 13:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 02:20 UTC	1	$106	112	0	+112	Up	+$6	03-29 02:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$94	275	0	+275	open	—	07-18 16:10
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	5	$91	167	190	-23	No	+$8	01-15 01:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 15:20 UTC	4	$70	41	40	+0	Up	+$10	03-09 15:25
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	2	$67	113	17	+96	Yes	+$50	01-31 12:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 02:40 UTC	3	$64	35	35	+0	Up	+$4	03-29 02:45
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	1	$56	137	0	+137	No	-$56	01-23 07:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:00 UTC	7	$45	31	31	+0	Up	-$5	06-05 21:05
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$39	36	36	+0	No	-$1	01-14 15:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 15:45 UTC	1	$25	357	0	+357	Down	-$25	06-11 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 15:25 UTC	1	$20	25	0	+25	Down	+$5	03-09 15:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 15:50 UTC	3	$19	42	36	+6	Up	-$1	06-11 15:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 16:10 UTC	3	$16	14	5	+9	Up	-$5	02-28 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 11:50 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	02-28 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	3	$11	12	0	+12	Down	+$1	04-25 21:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 14:50 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	06-11 14:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 20:00 UTC	1	$10	13	0	+13	Up	+$3	04-22 20:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 10:10 UTC	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	-$10	03-11 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	3	$7	9	0	+9	Down	+$2	04-25 21:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 20:10 UTC	2	$6	7	0	+7	Down	+$1	04-22 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 20:05 UTC	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	04-22 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 16:05 UTC	3	$3	11	0	+11	Up	-$3	07-18 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	-$1	07-18 16:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 16:10:58	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	275	34¢	$94	0x3ebf29…
07-18 16:08:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x47726e…
07-18 16:07:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x034aa7…
07-18 16:05:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb9b91f…
07-18 16:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7ee0c0…
06-11 15:54:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xdf994b…
06-11 15:53:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 15:50 UTC	Up	SELL	36	25¢	$9	0x19b954…
06-11 15:53:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x491762…
06-11 15:49:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	357	7¢	$25	0x4bd638…
06-11 14:53:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 14:50 UTC	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0xa4a062…
06-11 14:51:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xdcee98…
06-05 21:05:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:00 UTC	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x90db0b…
06-05 21:03:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa62437…
06-05 21:03:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7558e9…
06-05 21:03:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd3419b…
06-05 21:03:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x71479d…
06-05 21:01:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xbc3864…
06-05 21:01:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x83cf91…
04-25 21:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xee377b…
04-25 21:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x00460f…
04-25 21:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x94a96e…
04-25 21:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfd2d86…
04-25 21:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x081cc0…
04-25 21:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x030cac…
04-22 20:14:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x032297…
04-22 20:13:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x785ed8…
04-22 20:09:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6cdbc9…
04-22 20:03:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x18d783…
03-29 02:45:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 02:40 UTC	Up	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0xead109…
03-29 02:43:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x4b26b4…
03-29 02:41:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x6fe482…
03-29 02:35:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 02:30 UTC	Down	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x39d987…
03-29 02:34:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	120	95¢	$115	0x699f70…
03-29 02:31:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 02:25 UTC	Down	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0x51b948…
03-29 02:30:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0x959c54…
03-29 02:27:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc85f8a…
03-29 02:23:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	112	95¢	$106	0x49b61a…
03-13 01:15:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 01:10 UTC	Down	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0xaa9c71…
03-13 01:14:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0xd2fe7e…
03-13 01:14:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x646da3…
03-13 01:14:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xd932ef…
03-13 01:13:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0af5a0…
03-13 01:12:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5cd75d…
03-13 01:12:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 01:05 UTC	Up	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0x6e27bf…
03-13 01:09:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	94	96¢	$90	0xe7cc23…
03-13 01:09:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x45603e…
03-13 01:08:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3e60d6…
03-13 01:07:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 01:05 UTC	Up	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xf4cead…
03-13 01:05:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x8e358b…
03-11 10:13:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xa916b4…
03-09 15:28:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x81bddc…
03-09 15:25:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 15:20 UTC	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x0cffef…
03-09 15:24:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7222e4…
03-09 15:22:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xc31f4e…
03-09 15:21:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x633e71…
03-02 20:03:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa890c9…
03-01 13:42:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x46872b…
02-28 19:55:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	89	96¢	$86	0xb8b834…
02-28 16:14:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 16:10 UTC	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x8e7945…
02-28 16:14:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb5c9e3…
02-28 16:13:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x8af833…
02-28 11:56:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 11:50 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf353d2…
02-28 11:52:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x974ad2…
01-31 12:49:28	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x662075…
01-31 12:49:02	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	61¢	$10	0x696a3d…
01-23 07:25:56	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	50¢	$57	0x2c818c…
01-23 07:23:36	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	247	23¢	$57	0xa78e2b…
01-23 07:20:54	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	137	41¢	$56	0xd42660…
01-23 07:20:20	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	245	23¢	$56	0xe35375…
01-23 01:13:02	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	492	24¢	$118	0xc3f0ae…
01-17 20:48:16	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	SELL	169	70¢	$118	0x8d7077…
01-17 11:02:02	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	BUY	169	78¢	$131	0xd3a5cd…
01-17 11:01:18	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x93beba…
01-16 23:55:40	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	SELL	175	72¢	$126	0x7d779a…
01-16 23:52:02	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x85560a…
01-16 23:45:04	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x314b2b…
01-16 23:44:44	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xc0f127…
01-16 17:51:30	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	BUY	183	70¢	$128	0xe45aa5…
01-16 17:51:04	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	425	30¢	$128	0x931570…
01-16 17:45:06	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	425	34¢	$145	0x9f0a17…
01-15 08:58:00	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	282	51¢	$145	0x7403fa…
01-15 01:03:06	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	282	65¢	$183	0x1d5583…
01-15 01:01:58	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xa23759…
01-15 00:15:20	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xa2a23c…
01-15 00:01:38	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	No	SELL	23	90¢	$21	0xb39481…
01-14 23:40:22	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	62¢	$38	0x1ff567…
01-14 23:35:46	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	Yes	SELL	156	19¢	$30	0xc18959…
01-14 23:34:18	us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	Yes	SELL	309	37¢	$114	0x93bb0d…
01-14 23:07:00	us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	Yes	BUY	236	39¢	$92	0x79e02e…
01-14 15:38:46	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	73¢	$19	0x9f5a84…
01-14 15:38:32	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	SELL	36	53¢	$19	0x12682c…
01-14 14:09:26	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x79cbb8…
01-14 14:08:28	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xda455d…
01-14 14:07:16	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	Yes	BUY	156	13¢	$20	0x86910e…
01-14 14:06:58	us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	Yes	BUY	73	27¢	$20	0x44b01d…