Cumbersome-Clover — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

140

lifetime

Volume

$3.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 05-19 09:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

56% 100% +$24

Other

21% — —

Crypto

16% 100% +$10

Tech

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	10	$692	600	600	+0	open	—	04-24 07:08
will trump visit china by march 31	6	$308	216	216	+0	open	—	03-17 14:16
will google have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	6	$295	706	0	+706	open	—	03-10 09:22
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	2	$222	328	328	+0	Yes	+$22	03-07 06:06
eth updown 5m 1773996000	2	$116	100	99	+1	open	—	03-20 08:44
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	1	$98	100	0	+100	No	+$2	04-16 14:00
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	3	$96	56	56	+0	open	—	03-25 13:11
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	5	$91	606	0	+606	open	—	03-09 12:54
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	1	$86	100	0	+100	open	—	04-25 13:16
will trump post ceasefire on truth social this week	4	$79	58	58	+0	open	—	04-01 13:22
iran leadership change by march 31	1	$70	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-23 11:59
us strike on somalia by march 7 324	1	$64	100	0	+100	open	—	03-06 08:54
btc updown 5m 1773996000	2	$56	100	99	+1	open	—	03-20 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	7	$54	29	29	+0	open	—	05-17 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$50	83	0	+83	open	—	05-02 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$50	58	0	+58	open	—	05-19 09:04
will starmer say trump during the next prime ministers questions event 642	3	$49	100	0	+100	open	—	03-20 11:39
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$41	100	100	+0	open	—	04-24 07:07
will google have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	9	$40	200	0	+200	open	—	03-14 19:24
will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	5	$39	100	70	+30	open	—	03-30 16:16
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	1	$36	100	0	+100	open	—	06-11 13:12
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	1	$33	100	0	+100	open	—	04-02 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$30	106	0	+106	open	—	05-19 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$30	53	0	+53	Down	+$10	05-12 00:05
will khamenei tweet again by march 14 429	4	$29	100	0	+100	open	—	03-06 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	05-19 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	05-19 08:49
will anthropic have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	2	$24	56	0	+56	open	—	03-06 15:16
will trump say president xi this week march 22	1	$23	32	0	+32	open	—	03-17 13:09
eth updown 5m 1773996300	4	$22	100	0	+100	open	—	03-20 08:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 13:12:48	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x19a878…
05-19 09:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x22b7fc…
05-19 09:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x5352be…
05-19 09:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x13cac5…
05-19 08:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0xc608a3…
05-19 08:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x77a710…
05-19 08:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x03d08e…
05-19 08:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xb407e7…
05-17 13:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xc6a23c…
05-17 13:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa40e1b…
05-17 13:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x845003…
05-17 13:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6dc8dd…
05-17 13:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x54b6e1…
05-17 13:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x107c5d…
05-17 13:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xa72d7f…
05-12 00:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x13d38c…
05-12 00:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x1a11c2…
05-09 06:52:00	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xadc504…
05-09 06:51:25	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xee7869…
05-09 06:50:55	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xa13daa…
05-09 06:50:50	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x257b73…
05-09 06:50:40	Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xdcbf89…
05-09 06:50:15	Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x2626f8…
05-09 06:49:35	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x46aa81…
05-09 06:16:32	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xea9872…
05-07 11:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x06a2d3…
05-02 06:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xa39a3e…
05-02 02:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x838cb8…
05-02 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x3cef79…
04-30 13:53:50	Will JD Vance say "Iran" on the Will Cain Show?	Yes	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0xb954c3…
04-25 13:16:58	Will Trump say "Ceasefire" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x707ab6…
04-25 02:52:20	Will Trump post "Transgender" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7e825f…
04-25 02:51:48	Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x59212d…
04-25 02:51:24	Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xab601f…
04-25 02:48:04	Will Trump post "Blockade" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xb896dd…
04-25 02:46:16	Will Trump say "Love Trump" or "Loves Trump" in April?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xd83e68…
04-25 02:44:16	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	35	30¢	$10	0x8073b2…
04-25 02:43:50	Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xdf3e9b…
04-25 02:43:16	Will Trump say "Pope" or "Christian" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x519df7…
04-24 07:08:00	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x3f59be…
04-24 07:07:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xd5980e…
04-24 07:07:18	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 24c	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x6ba379…
04-23 12:54:44	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x1acdf9…
04-18 01:38:46	highest temperature in hong kong on april 18 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x21396a…
04-16 14:00:30	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xae5471…
04-16 14:00:10	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x1eb6b3…
04-06 13:39:35	btc updown 5m 1775482800	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x2190e0…
04-05 05:23:39	nba uta okc 2026 04 05	Jazz	BUY	300	3¢	$10	0x0fcc47…
04-05 05:22:15	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0x4ce9cc…
04-05 00:37:21	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0xbf2120…
04-02 08:50:49	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x0f26c4…
04-01 13:22:07	will trump post ceasefire on truth social this week	Yes	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x6a3230…
03-31 09:50:53	will trump post ceasefire on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x3e4c1b…
03-31 09:50:23	will trump post ceasefire on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	18	36¢	$6	0x74c893…
03-31 09:49:19	will trump post ceasefire on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x5259c5…
03-31 09:45:27	Will Trump name "Kushner" in April?	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x80094c…
03-30 16:16:03	will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	Yes	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x1afc4e…
03-30 13:21:26	will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x8e446f…
03-30 12:46:06	will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xa11cc6…
03-25 23:03:43	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xa5da0f…
03-25 23:02:23	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	86	98¢	$84	0x7b72da…
03-25 13:19:19	will there be 5 or fewer us strikes on somalia in march 2026	Yes	BUY	90	13¢	$12	0x173403…
03-25 13:18:49	will there be 5 or fewer us strikes on somalia in march 2026	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x6c1422…
03-25 13:12:33	will there be 5 or fewer us strikes on somalia in march 2026	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x7b259e…
03-25 13:11:31	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x13830f…
03-23 12:04:45	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x31d066…
03-23 12:03:15	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$18	0xc0942b…
03-23 11:59:11	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0x327ace…
03-23 02:30:27	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	66	86¢	$56	0x4c500a…
03-22 13:13:39	highest temperature in shenzhen on march 23 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	34	19¢	$6	0xc3a611…
03-22 13:12:07	highest temperature in shenzhen on march 23 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xe85176…
03-22 13:12:07	highest temperature in shenzhen on march 23 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x8c3d33…
03-22 13:12:07	highest temperature in shenzhen on march 23 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x61a002…
03-21 00:32:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x717726…
03-21 00:14:35	highest temperature in shenzhen on march 21 2026 25c	Yes	SELL	32	34¢	$11	0x500aa0…
03-20 14:42:41	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	88	75¢	$66	0x2195a4…
03-20 13:13:25	highest temperature in shenzhen on march 21 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	32	12¢	$4	0x84b422…
03-20 11:39:21	will starmer say trump during the next prime ministers questions event 642	Yes	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xf8ff1b…
03-20 10:50:05	will starmer say trump during the next prime ministers questions event 642	Yes	BUY	87	49¢	$43	0x08e04b…
03-20 08:46:47	eth updown 5m 1773996300	Up	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xaff1f2…
03-20 08:46:47	eth updown 5m 1773996300	Up	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x632b57…
03-20 08:46:47	eth updown 5m 1773996300	Up	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x0ab38a…
03-20 08:46:45	eth updown 5m 1773996300	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe3d4e8…
03-20 08:44:27	eth updown 5m 1773996000	Down	SELL	99	78¢	$77	0x47b9f1…
03-20 08:43:25	btc updown 5m 1773996000	Up	SELL	99	23¢	$23	0xd71fef…
03-20 08:42:11	eth updown 5m 1773996000	Down	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xdf58d7…
03-20 08:40:31	btc updown 5m 1773996000	Up	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x64a843…
03-20 08:33:13	will starmer say trump during the next prime ministers questions event 642	Yes	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x440bee…
03-17 14:16:25	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	22	96¢	$22	0xac210b…
03-17 13:09:23	will trump say president xi this week march 22	Yes	BUY	32	73¢	$23	0x80e880…
03-17 12:16:19	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	150	75¢	$112	0xd16626…
03-17 12:00:13	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x15e6d6…
03-17 11:59:15	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x28a8ff…
03-17 11:09:07	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x53ef71…
03-17 09:08:27	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	29	95¢	$28	0x5a1fca…
03-14 19:24:55	will google have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xa7ae9c…
03-14 19:13:55	will google have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x1a9b01…
03-14 19:06:55	will google have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0xaa0ccf…
03-14 19:04:11	will google have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xeff17d…
03-14 18:59:23	will google have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xc2ec95…