Our-Keyboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$86

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.3%

Resolved

Trades

189

lifetime

Volume

$674

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 09-30 14:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

70% 31% -$54

Politics

10% 0% -$7

Tech

10% 0% -$6

Crypto

9% 30% -$15

Sports

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$57	478	0	+478	No	-$57	09-16 16:33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	13	$50	45	45	+0	No	-$1	05-28 15:48
will ng dip to 2 60 in august 2026	4	$44	40	40	+0	No	-$2	08-13 17:28
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	7	$34	33	33	+0	No	+$0	08-18 06:15
Will Dire Win More Games at Dota The International 2026?	2	$32	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-14 20:20
Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?	2	$28	20	20	+0	No	-$1	08-27 02:59
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	2	$26	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	08-14 18:28
next openai gpt image model 2pt1 released by september 30 2026	3	$26	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	08-15 14:48
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	8	$25	63	63	+0	No	$0	08-11 14:45
will xagusd reach 70 in august 2026	4	$24	46	6	+40	Yes	$0	08-14 09:15
Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?	2	$23	20	20	+0	No	-$1	08-26 17:27
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	6	$23	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	08-06 21:07
next google gemini flash model 3pt8 released by august 31 2026	2	$19	39	0	+39	No	+$0	08-15 23:19
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	5	$18	40	40	+0	No	+$2	08-06 15:38
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	2	$18	50	50	+0	Yes	+$11	07-08 09:24
Will Alex Cora be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?	3	$16	20	20	+0	No	-$2	08-31 10:44
another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	4	$15	15	15	+0	No	+$7	08-12 15:04
Will 220 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 24-August 30?	2	$12	20	20	+0	No	-$4	08-22 09:19
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	2	$11	20	20	+0	No	-$2	09-02 17:54
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	4	$10	20	20	+0	No	-$2	08-06 13:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 08:30 UTC	3	$10	13	8	+5	Up	-$1	06-28 08:31
Will Darline Graham Nordone win Lexington County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?	2	$9	20	20	+0	Yes	-$7	08-22 05:17
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	07-29 19:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 08:25 UTC	3	$8	13	6	+7	Up	-$1	06-28 08:27
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	2	$8	10	10	+0	No	$0	08-12 19:16
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	2	$8	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-30 14:37
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	6	$8	45	45	+0	No	-$1	08-10 14:36
Will it snow in Detroit, MI by November 30?	3	$7	19	19	+0	open	—	09-30 14:15
Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by November 30?	3	$6	20	20	+0	open	—	09-04 21:39
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	3	$5	130	130	+0	No	-$1	06-30 21:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 14:15:14	Will it snow in Detroit, MI by November 30?	No	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0xa787cd…
09-22 14:39:24	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xf0ef49…
09-16 16:33:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	478	12¢	$57	0x87554e…
09-06 21:54:25	Will it snow in Detroit, MI by November 30?	No	SELL	19	18¢	$3	0xf78d4a…
09-04 21:39:55	Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by November 30?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xbcf9cd…
09-04 14:16:22	Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by November 30?	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xa7cf45…
09-04 14:13:13	Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by November 30?	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x3f278a…
09-03 16:32:12	Will it snow in Detroit, MI by November 30?	No	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0xff8e0f…
09-02 17:54:15	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x309ad2…
09-02 10:49:49	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xcf65ba…
08-31 10:44:03	Will Alex Cora be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x830197…
08-30 13:54:55	Will Alex Cora be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8eb9ba…
08-30 13:54:43	Will Alex Cora be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x99dc81…
08-27 02:59:27	Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x82100f…
08-26 17:50:42	Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x8a3ca7…
08-26 17:27:25	Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x85bbd4…
08-26 16:26:19	Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x33cb90…
08-22 09:19:27	Will 220 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 24-August 30?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xb64f09…
08-22 09:18:36	Will 220 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 24-August 30?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x269098…
08-22 05:17:31	Will Darline Graham Nordone win Lexington County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xc3c61e…
08-21 20:53:49	Will Darline Graham Nordone win Lexington County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xef34fd…
08-18 06:15:28	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	Yes	SELL	13	43¢	$6	0x516154…
08-15 23:19:49	next google gemini flash model 3pt8 released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x962c41…
08-15 23:19:18	next google gemini flash model 3pt8 released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	19	82¢	$16	0xbde71d…
08-15 16:15:58	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x6794c3…
08-15 16:15:58	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x6794c3…
08-15 16:15:58	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x32e62c…
08-15 16:15:57	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xd86645…
08-15 16:15:57	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	No	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x394050…
08-15 16:11:28	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xfb55b5…
08-15 14:48:03	next openai gpt image model 2pt1 released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	19	64¢	$12	0x89fd30…
08-15 14:46:57	next openai gpt image model 2pt1 released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x0409aa…
08-15 13:25:57	next openai gpt image model 2pt1 released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x4625f1…
08-14 20:20:52	Will Dire Win More Games at Dota The International 2026?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x437b94…
08-14 20:02:28	Will Dire Win More Games at Dota The International 2026?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xef6c99…
08-14 18:28:45	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x7e7204…
08-14 13:26:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x30a963…
08-14 09:15:57	will xagusd reach 70 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x3dc889…
08-14 02:06:33	will xagusd reach 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x414b10…
08-14 00:30:34	will xagusd reach 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x611a26…
08-13 21:57:57	will xagusd reach 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x509c3b…
08-13 17:28:19	will ng dip to 2 60 in august 2026	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x1519f2…
08-13 13:32:28	will ng dip to 2 60 in august 2026	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x848ee3…
08-13 13:20:40	will ng dip to 2 60 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xea362b…
08-13 11:54:22	will ng dip to 2 60 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x315334…
08-12 19:16:04	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x5ef6b7…
08-12 18:59:12	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xb1b4d4…
08-12 15:04:52	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x30dd32…
08-12 15:04:52	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x210c04…
08-11 14:45:22	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x11621a…
08-11 14:43:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x2f5de0…
08-11 14:39:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0x8dd2a5…
08-11 13:18:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0xde5c36…
08-11 12:40:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xe74b53…
08-11 12:28:19	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x821597…
08-10 20:32:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xcd7e75…
08-10 20:25:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x998216…
08-10 19:58:03	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc17ede…
08-10 18:55:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd6fc9f…
08-10 14:36:49	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x261255…
08-09 21:00:12	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x3eec6b…
08-09 04:45:49	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xe1e84a…
08-08 16:00:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0x8dfe0a…
08-08 12:23:25	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xa03348…
08-07 20:25:22	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xeb60a7…
08-06 21:07:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x6c3c35…
08-06 15:38:18	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x07b55b…
08-06 15:11:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x2f721e…
08-06 13:22:59	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xe4edca…
08-06 12:50:14	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x4e7904…
08-06 09:18:53	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x88bab6…
08-06 09:14:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0xdabc72…
08-06 09:11:23	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x9867f4…
08-06 09:02:20	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x5a6fa7…
08-06 09:00:29	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xe2b42d…
08-06 08:10:27	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x91498d…
08-06 08:10:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xf682f4…
08-06 06:28:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xae552d…
08-05 21:29:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0x41daf1…
08-05 21:19:56	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x0ad867…
08-03 15:33:56	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	Yes	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0xa28997…
07-29 19:28:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xd8e58b…
07-29 19:27:51	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x2870fd…
07-08 09:24:40	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xd8ffa4…
07-06 21:26:23	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xbb955e…
07-05 15:59:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x23e358…
07-01 08:46:29	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x86421a…
07-01 07:54:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xc3b0f9…
06-30 21:26:22	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x789ea6…
06-30 21:25:58	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x09cc82…
06-30 14:57:22	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x30ace5…
06-30 14:45:23	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	3¢	$3	0x58fecb…
06-30 14:37:22	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0x904d1e…
06-30 14:34:56	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0xd00412…
06-30 10:46:11	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x84b4b7…
06-30 09:47:56	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x952c7b…
06-30 08:04:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4c268a…
06-29 21:23:44	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x4972f2…
06-29 06:10:52	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x80853f…
06-28 08:40:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6bd55c…