Coarse-Pollution — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.6%

Resolved (90d)

2,055

Trades (90d)

2,396

9,190 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.62K

$9.07K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-22

last 10-29 23:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% -$14

Sports

0% 0% -$6

Other

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Asia (AFC) score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$6	52	0	+52	No	-$6	06-16 22:56
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	09-11 22:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:40 UTC	3	$5	5	3	+2	Up	+$3	10-05 04:44
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$5	21	21	+0	open	—	06-17 02:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 04:20 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	06-06 04:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:05 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	07-18 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	09-03 07:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 20:50 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	07-19 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	09-25 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	06-05 02:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 00:30 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	06-06 00:32
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 03:35 UTC	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	07-23 03:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 04:25 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	07-22 04:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:35 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	07-21 20:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 00:20 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	08-20 00:23
Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	07-21 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	09-03 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 22:30 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	06-04 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 12:20 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	07-22 12:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 04:05 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	06-13 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	09-11 22:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-04 23:19
Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	09-02 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	06-03 03:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 00:30 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	06-06 00:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:05 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	07-17 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 04:40 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	07-17 04:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:50 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	07-17 07:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 21:10 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	07-20 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	09-03 01:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 23:30:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd97bdb…
10-29 20:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xdbaf84…
10-29 20:45:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x83fa78…
10-29 20:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x907346…
10-29 20:40:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5b2a53…
10-29 20:10:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x496f3a…
10-29 20:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x44165b…
10-29 17:50:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x53e4a4…
10-29 17:45:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x41c8ce…
10-29 17:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9d0019…
10-29 16:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3d9115…
10-28 23:50:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xc8fd26…
10-28 16:45:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5fbfb6…
10-28 16:25:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd419eb…
10-27 23:50:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x52ae92…
10-27 20:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5ee0f9…
10-27 19:40:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xb4a70e…
10-27 19:12:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x875d70…
10-27 19:10:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbbc8c1…
10-27 18:40:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0a77e6…
10-27 17:30:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7541c0…
10-27 17:25:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5454d2…
10-27 17:10:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6c254e…
10-27 16:42:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0x646d54…
10-27 16:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x15e707…
10-27 16:40:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x00df60…
10-27 16:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2008e5…
10-27 16:35:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xce620a…
10-26 19:15:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4db94f…
10-26 19:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbd0b90…
10-26 19:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x231c68…
10-26 18:55:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xaea811…
10-26 17:20:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x072523…
10-26 16:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd96118…
10-26 16:40:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf43ad1…
10-26 16:35:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe03822…
10-26 16:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8876e6…
10-26 16:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcbc3e4…
10-25 23:50:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe85fd2…
10-25 23:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2df64e…
10-25 23:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x85e615…
10-25 23:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9b9994…
10-25 23:30:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x75bdda…
10-25 22:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x34fd28…
10-25 22:00:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8a44f6…
10-25 21:50:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x19359b…
10-25 21:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x36dc22…
10-25 21:45:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x81d148…
10-25 21:30:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9e82b4…
10-25 21:15:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xdcff45…
10-25 20:55:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xee29be…
10-25 20:45:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xac825d…
10-25 20:40:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4f8d84…
10-25 19:38:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x064863…
10-25 18:40:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x96ccd6…
10-25 17:20:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6c595c…
10-25 17:00:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x72185d…
10-24 05:48:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xeb5987…
10-24 02:10:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcb96f6…
10-24 01:55:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x890559…
10-24 01:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe0a941…
10-24 01:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1ecc59…
10-24 01:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa575ad…
10-24 00:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdb12b1…
10-24 00:40:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x35d48b…
10-24 00:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7ad80c…
10-24 00:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5d308a…
10-24 00:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7bfcc1…
10-24 00:20:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4bf1e9…
10-24 00:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x0af5c7…
10-24 00:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbb7b26…
10-23 23:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x579592…
10-23 23:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x05e5c5…
10-23 23:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb8f6d3…
10-23 23:00:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3d1d9c…
10-23 22:46:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8fe4e4…
10-23 22:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd35ff7…
10-23 22:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x220636…
10-23 22:30:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x0eb931…
10-23 21:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3e67fc…
10-23 21:10:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1281c8…
10-23 20:20:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf70f4d…
10-23 19:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbde36e…
10-23 19:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x045109…
10-23 19:20:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x481522…
10-23 19:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xe4b962…
10-23 19:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd2300a…
10-23 19:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x656be3…
10-23 19:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc9a6e2…
10-23 17:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xea2c88…
10-23 02:55:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xcedc90…
10-23 02:45:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x6d613d…
10-23 02:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xaceb57…
10-23 02:40:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x376136…
10-23 02:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7471c5…
10-23 02:30:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x43c8c2…
10-23 02:26:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc2b1a7…
10-23 01:50:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5eff13…
10-23 00:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7a0b3f…
10-23 00:55:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7955f4…