Dangerous-Pamphlet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$959

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

820

Trades

7,551

lifetime

Volume

$35.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-25

last 08-15 08:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% -$959

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	45	$317	351	88	+263	Down	-$115	05-25 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	7	$308	200	200	+0	Up	+$72	05-27 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	14	$287	515	21	+494	Up	-$228	05-25 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	23	$285	232	194	+38	Up	+$91	05-27 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	24	$278	414	33	+381	Down	+$117	05-25 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	33	$261	371	72	+299	Down	-$120	05-25 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	37	$258	338	21	+317	Down	+$59	05-25 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	29	$251	305	128	+177	Down	-$53	05-25 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	14	$234	161	102	+60	Up	+$18	05-25 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	20	$222	292	83	+209	Up	-$36	05-26 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	34	$210	345	77	+268	Up	-$46	05-25 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	17	$204	248	0	+248	Down	+$38	05-25 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	29	$199	232	59	+172	Down	+$14	05-25 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	15	$197	217	11	+207	Up	+$7	05-25 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	28	$193	297	58	+239	Up	-$103	05-25 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	20	$183	189	41	+149	Up	+$11	05-26 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	20	$182	163	97	+66	Up	-$11	05-25 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	25	$181	311	96	+215	Up	-$55	05-26 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	25	$180	263	7	+256	Down	+$54	05-25 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	36	$178	210	90	+120	Down	+$1	05-25 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	31	$176	258	50	+208	Up	+$3	05-25 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	36	$176	214	46	+168	Down	-$103	05-25 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	28	$175	269	20	+249	Up	+$37	05-25 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	29	$174	292	40	+252	Up	+$7	05-25 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	38	$173	222	116	+106	Down	+$23	05-27 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	17	$165	245	32	+212	Up	-$124	05-25 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	5	$165	174	0	+174	Down	+$3	05-27 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	12	$164	176	6	+170	Down	+$18	05-26 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	28	$163	184	59	+124	Down	+$8	05-25 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	18	$162	225	5	+220	Up	+$1	05-25 16:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 08:50:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x06d6de…
08-15 08:45:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xe17fee…
08-15 08:45:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x813eb6…
08-15 08:45:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x526e76…
08-15 08:45:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x2f7e2b…
08-15 08:40:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x7dc26c…
08-15 08:35:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	34	28¢	$10	0x35dfed…
08-15 03:40:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x975442…
08-15 03:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x2f9e6b…
06-01 02:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe67f34…
06-01 02:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x6035ae…
06-01 02:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x5af3e2…
06-01 02:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	45¢	$3	0x546184…
06-01 02:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x0f53f8…
06-01 02:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0xc2aaa3…
06-01 02:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x26ce8c…
06-01 02:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x654fda…
06-01 02:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x118619…
06-01 02:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x00f734…
06-01 02:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x3b27e1…
06-01 02:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0x2434b5…
06-01 02:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xb77498…
06-01 02:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0x1df674…
06-01 02:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xd9f5bd…
06-01 02:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	14	40¢	$6	0x8019ad…
06-01 02:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x7eb7c3…
06-01 02:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x61244f…
06-01 02:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xd173b6…
06-01 02:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x68e4e0…
06-01 02:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x276e05…
06-01 02:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x001d96…
06-01 02:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x3486b4…
06-01 02:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x443bde…
06-01 02:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x1a44b8…
06-01 02:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x4ffb33…
06-01 02:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xdf5e69…
06-01 02:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x37a621…
06-01 01:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0xfe5d3f…
06-01 01:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x00ca24…
06-01 01:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xcd5529…
06-01 01:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x1a1029…
06-01 01:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x89f442…
06-01 01:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xb513c9…
06-01 01:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0xa0e67e…
06-01 01:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0xb4979d…
06-01 01:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xcaf5f3…
06-01 01:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x5d6b67…
06-01 01:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x838f3e…
06-01 01:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x5f1781…
06-01 01:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x89d208…
06-01 01:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x69f96f…
06-01 01:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xdb6164…
06-01 01:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x60830b…
05-31 14:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xbb5826…
05-31 14:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	54¢	$8	0x073e93…
05-31 14:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x353978…
05-31 14:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x4fffee…
05-31 14:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xcedbdf…
05-31 14:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x644e55…
05-31 14:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xa356b6…
05-31 14:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xd5f491…
05-31 14:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x69b0dc…
05-31 14:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x0b9eb4…
05-31 14:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xa3975f…
05-31 13:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x21a90b…
05-31 13:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x6ed170…
05-31 13:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xbe4b0c…
05-31 13:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xa39c57…
05-31 13:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xec5b66…
05-31 13:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xacf0c1…
05-31 13:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x713ee2…
05-31 13:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x6f578e…
05-31 13:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xbc2e54…
05-31 13:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x26fe38…
05-31 13:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xfee7f8…
05-31 13:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xd7f6c0…
05-31 13:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x5be5b4…
05-31 13:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x353d88…
05-31 13:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xab1650…
05-31 13:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0xd53190…
05-31 13:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xc2e37d…
05-31 13:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xb59271…
05-31 13:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x74a634…
05-31 13:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x56810f…
05-31 13:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xc8bed2…
05-31 13:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x2c09ae…
05-31 13:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xc9cd12…
05-31 13:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x191706…
05-31 13:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x251ead…
05-31 13:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x5678bc…
05-31 13:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0xb01596…
05-31 13:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x6b57df…
05-31 13:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x9fe17c…
05-31 13:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe8a705…
05-31 13:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x1ce7af…
05-31 13:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x7e339d…
05-31 13:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x5392db…
05-31 13:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x66c27e…
05-31 13:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xdbb7c9…
05-31 13:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0x0286a3…