Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.16K

Unrealized P&L

-$35

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

6,291

Trades

52,915

lifetime

Volume

$251.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

9 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 10-30 01:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 140 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 58% -$438

Other

17% 50% +$78

Politics

3% 45% -$581

Sports

1% 52% -$168

Tech

0% 56% -$55

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 3269 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	-10	-$8	70¢	$-7	+$1	09-12 07:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+49	$12	8¢	$4	-$8	10-29 22:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	-4	-$3	97¢	$-4	-$1	10-08 09:01
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	-10	-$1	30¢	$-3	-$2	09-10 13:13
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	+1	$1	85¢	$1	+$0	09-14 01:33
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1	$2	67¢	$1	-$1	08-19 08:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	+21	$17	0¢	$0	-$17	10-07 16:35
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+10	$6	0¢	$0	-$6	09-18 21:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$3	3¢	$0	-$3	10-09 12:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	11	$2.4K	1,211	1,211	+0	Yes	+$7	03-05 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 04:45 UTC	28	$1.2K	231	1,120	-889	Up	+$59	03-14 04:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	48	$1000	501	501	+0	Yes	+$1	03-03 14:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 07:45 UTC	18	$950	398	750	-352	Down	-$227	03-14 07:50
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	4	$900	1,059	1,059	+0	Yes	-$100	03-06 03:51
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 23:15 UTC	40	$857	2,963	0	+2,963	Up	-$857	04-13 23:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:35 UTC	123	$837	887	432	+454	Down	+$22	08-25 14:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 10:20 UTC	12	$795	884	702	+181	Down	-$174	03-15 10:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 09:40 UTC	5	$758	11	760	-750	Up	-$2	03-14 09:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 09:35 UTC	2	$747	8	750	-742	Up	-$12	03-14 09:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 06:50 UTC	188	$691	757	352	+404	Up	+$18	04-12 06:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 04:05 UTC	185	$670	654	345	+310	Down	+$17	08-25 04:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 04:15 UTC	9	$634	539	536	+3	Up	+$431	03-14 04:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 02:50 UTC	49	$627	633	406	+227	Down	+$404	03-14 02:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 09:15 UTC	34	$584	138	645	-507	Down	-$8	03-14 09:20
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	4	$580	394	394	+0	Yes	+$188	07-19 00:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 09:20 UTC	52	$574	0	630	-630	Up	-$57	03-14 09:25
Will CA Paranaense vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?	32	$562	285	284	+1	Yes	+$2	08-30 16:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:05 UTC	113	$558	576	310	+267	Up	+$78	08-25 06:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:10 UTC	140	$542	650	278	+372	Down	+$10	08-25 05:16
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-30?	20	$529	276	276	+0	Yes	+$21	08-30 18:29
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$511	484	484	+0	Yes	+$11	03-06 03:52
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$509	416	416	+0	No	-$6	03-05 22:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 01:05 UTC	141	$506	544	277	+267	Down	+$39	08-25 01:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:50 UTC	109	$496	456	193	+263	Down	+$17	08-25 05:54
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 7am et	106	$483	256	256	+1	Up	+$29	03-25 12:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 07:15 UTC	33	$478	331	293	+38	Up	+$140	04-12 07:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 10:05 UTC	87	$457	480	212	+268	Down	+$95	07-18 10:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:35 UTC	72	$457	390	239	+151	Down	+$19	08-25 07:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 05:50 UTC	33	$443	893	0	+893	Down	-$257	03-16 05:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:12:25	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0x5484ab…
10-30 09:12:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	26	75¢	$20	0xd1edb5…
10-30 01:19:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x760530…
10-29 22:46:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x850eda…
10-29 22:14:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x7a9dbf…
10-29 22:06:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	45	24¢	$11	0xe6c0b8…
10-29 22:06:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xcbf324…
10-29 15:38:58	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xccd798…
10-26 15:33:03	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0xa323b7…
10-25 23:18:26	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x8b598e…
10-25 09:44:11	Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x3539da…
10-23 23:34:48	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xb94194…
10-23 15:24:03	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xc2ad51…
10-23 15:17:09	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x95f8ad…
10-23 14:41:27	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xf78199…
10-23 07:22:17	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xdb0757…
10-23 03:06:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x54fc31…
10-23 02:11:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x95bdff…
10-23 02:01:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x7c87ff…
10-23 01:45:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0xe93d7e…
10-23 01:40:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0xd36054…
10-23 00:53:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	24	2¢	$0	0xf5c76c…
10-23 00:33:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x376ab5…
10-22 22:47:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	26	2¢	$0	0x2f56fb…
10-22 19:52:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	104	2¢	$2	0x294f49…
10-21 22:31:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x53ffc8…
10-21 22:31:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0xcb79e0…
10-21 20:38:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x29d126…
10-21 20:29:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0xf65218…
10-21 19:56:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x5db886…
10-21 16:40:41	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	No	SELL	27	90¢	$25	0x3df1cc…
10-21 15:58:48	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x08baf1…
10-21 15:03:26	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x705852…
10-21 14:50:17	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x53227e…
10-21 08:39:02	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x0b7612…
10-21 08:38:47	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 37m?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0xe37b5c…
10-20 20:51:35	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xcc4aac…
10-20 14:27:23	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 37m?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xceb13e…
10-20 14:27:17	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 37m?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x65d4a6…
10-20 14:20:11	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 37m?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x90e035…
10-20 12:17:06	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x2662be…
10-20 07:54:22	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x15e2f2…
10-19 19:52:20	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0xa0c23c…
10-19 12:32:50	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?	No	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x5e6cbf…
10-19 11:58:39	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?	No	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xb39ae7…
10-19 09:23:45	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xd42e16…
10-18 12:41:11	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	27	24¢	$6	0xef9e48…
10-18 11:08:12	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	15	23¢	$4	0xb4775d…
10-17 02:28:53	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0x1b4b80…
10-16 19:02:38	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	SELL	16	66¢	$11	0x4c0a92…
10-14 18:12:31	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x0fed61…
10-14 12:22:27	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	29	62¢	$18	0x996dbe…
10-14 09:20:19	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	36	54¢	$20	0x3e6cb7…
10-14 07:22:31	Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x4253b9…
10-14 01:50:20	Will Bad Bunny be featured on GTA VI: The Album?	No	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x2295ea…
10-13 20:11:40	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0x8f41a5…
10-13 17:29:40	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xc2c608…
10-13 13:38:44	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x641ab3…
10-12 16:02:41	Ethereum Up or Down on October 12?	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe02651…
10-12 08:59:33	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	Yes	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x4017f9…
10-12 08:51:19	Ethereum Up or Down on October 12?	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x6f6c18…
10-12 07:44:01	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	Yes	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x4187a7…
10-12 06:24:09	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	26¢	$4	0xcdcc32…
10-12 03:10:59	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 0%-5%?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0x574b0a…
10-11 23:41:27	Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?	No	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x94da43…
10-11 01:08:05	Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m?	Yes	SELL	21	82¢	$17	0xa6f427…
10-10 23:37:34	Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m?	Yes	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x3dfd88…
10-10 23:13:36	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xce5a5d…
10-10 16:17:09	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?	Yes	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0xab0485…
10-10 15:09:28	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x4b90b0…
10-10 11:07:27	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0x630128…
10-10 11:07:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	22	17¢	$4	0xe1c33f…
10-10 10:40:55	Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x806941…
10-10 10:22:46	Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m?	Yes	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0xf6ff4c…
10-10 10:19:27	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x70c372…
10-10 08:52:43	Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	41	10¢	$4	0x874643…
10-10 08:52:16	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x0d59ba…
10-10 07:41:24	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x73c72e…
10-10 06:42:52	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	No	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x809952…
10-10 06:41:16	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0xee06ee…
10-10 06:39:51	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x767961…
10-10 06:39:40	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	No	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x70bbce…
10-10 04:51:30	Will "Mask Off" by Future be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	No	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0x3e1d30…
10-10 01:40:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	47¢	$10	0x80e9dd…
10-09 21:51:59	Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x215c8a…
10-09 21:33:31	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x40cd55…
10-09 21:33:28	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x88b659…
10-09 19:50:59	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	No	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0xc833d4…
10-09 19:50:59	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x3fa737…
10-09 19:50:59	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	No	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x1bf995…
10-09 19:50:58	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x7b02a5…
10-09 19:50:58	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	No	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x529148…
10-09 18:22:50	Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 3m?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x318202…
10-09 16:45:19	Will Chainlink dip to $6 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x36f67b…
10-09 16:45:13	Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0xc7a64f…
10-09 12:23:40	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x60d893…
10-09 12:22:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0xb626d2…
10-09 07:50:28	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m?	Yes	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0x2a81cd…
10-09 02:34:21	Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	11	32¢	$3	0x1a961f…
10-09 02:34:03	Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	No	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x9b28f0…