Bare-Description — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.16K

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved

2,616

Trades

8,256

lifetime

Volume

$29.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$16

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 10-30 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 155 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 48% -$377

Other

20% 29% -$493

Politics

9% 31% -$209

Sports

3% 29% -$52

Tech

1% 27% -$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 172 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	-23	-$5	42¢	$-10	-$5	10-29 12:00
Epic Games IPO before 2027?	Yes	+300	$7	2¢	$5	-$1	10-30 18:54
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+100	$1	1¢	$1	$0	10-23 22:06
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	+140	$2	0¢	$1	-$2	10-26 20:43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+45	$8	0¢	$0	-$8	10-23 14:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	6	$321	400	423	-23	open	—	10-29 12:00
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	24	$262	2,122	2,122	+0	open	—	10-29 20:27
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$195	313	313	+0	No	+$4	07-09 19:47
Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	15	$164	271	271	+0	open	—	10-28 14:44
Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	7	$155	240	240	+0	open	—	10-28 19:30
iran closes its airspace by june 15	4	$151	131	131	+0	Yes	$0	06-07 20:29
bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	6	$150	180	180	+0	No	+$82	06-04 02:42
will bitcoin reach 62k on june 10	15	$149	101	101	+0	Yes	+$27	06-10 13:40
bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	18	$143	1,808	1,808	+0	Yes	+$28	06-04 12:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 14:30 UTC	50	$143	144	139	+5	Down	-$1	04-03 14:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	11	$142	125	125	+0	No	+$7	04-22 16:21
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$136	494	494	+0	No	+$2	07-02 11:25
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?	10	$130	114	114	+0	No	-$2	06-22 20:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 15:45 UTC	37	$130	122	119	+4	Down	-$9	04-03 15:59
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	11	$127	135	135	+0	No	+$44	06-07 20:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 17:25 UTC	12	$126	83	82	+2	Down	+$6	04-03 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 22:00 UTC	12	$122	148	102	+46	Up	-$4	04-02 22:05
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	4	$117	68	67	+1	Yes	+$18	04-14 23:20
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 64°F or higher on May 24?	26	$116	75	75	+0	Yes	-$3	05-24 15:40
bitcoin above 66k on july 21 2026	4	$115	170	100	+70	Yes	+$17	07-21 14:36
Will there be no Likud party primary by the next Knesset Election?	34	$113	458	458	+0	No	+$9	08-04 16:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 14:15 UTC	39	$110	105	102	+4	Up	-$1	04-03 14:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 01:00 UTC	24	$106	75	73	+2	Down	-$1	04-04 01:14
iran closes its airspace by june 8	8	$106	215	215	+0	Yes	-$74	06-07 20:54
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	2	$102	229	229	+0	Yes	-$17	07-16 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	10	$102	69	69	+0	Down	+$32	10-29 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 17:10 UTC	12	$96	79	76	+2	Down	+$1	04-03 17:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 02:45 UTC	28	$96	98	75	+23	Down	+$1	04-06 03:00
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	5	$95	170	170	+0	open	—	10-27 22:59
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	6	$95	172	130	+43	No	+$5	07-11 22:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 18:54:10	Epic Games IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$7	0x95ef16…
10-30 16:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0xfdf033…
10-30 16:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xecc06e…
10-30 16:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	22¢	$6	0x436d23…
10-30 16:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x1d775d…
10-30 16:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xa8242e…
10-30 16:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x3d2a54…
10-30 16:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf530bd…
10-30 16:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x7a5f5e…
10-30 16:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x75d5d6…
10-30 16:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6406b5…
10-30 11:56:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa74369…
10-30 05:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf21d9b…
10-29 22:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x661e48…
10-29 22:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x7abffd…
10-29 22:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x77387a…
10-29 22:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xcf415f…
10-29 22:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf80796…
10-29 22:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc7364a…
10-29 22:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x41996c…
10-29 22:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x6036b7…
10-29 22:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7c8f0a…
10-29 22:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3c0955…
10-29 22:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0xbd3a6a…
10-29 22:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0xb9d192…
10-29 22:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	21	97¢	$21	0x523f44…
10-29 22:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb81a95…
10-29 22:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe8dcc2…
10-29 22:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7063b2…
10-29 22:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xcc551f…
10-29 22:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5a30cc…
10-29 22:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8ab9e8…
10-29 22:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x45bf3a…
10-29 20:27:55	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x8e9005…
10-29 20:27:51	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	136	0¢	$1	0x0ed49c…
10-29 20:24:31	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf0f2fc…
10-29 20:24:18	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xd1df06…
10-29 20:24:15	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x57ea84…
10-29 20:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x2ea0e9…
10-29 20:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xfdd9b4…
10-29 15:16:16	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x1d82a6…
10-29 15:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0xaa81bd…
10-29 15:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe84a9e…
10-29 13:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x37a45d…
10-29 13:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4fc085…
10-29 13:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x95b044…
10-29 13:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x702dab…
10-29 13:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe804ae…
10-29 13:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0xf6d360…
10-29 13:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x7d4df7…
10-29 13:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x55053f…
10-29 13:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x4f574b…
10-29 13:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x25eeaf…
10-29 13:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x0c1d8c…
10-29 13:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xfbc453…
10-29 13:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x83d6ed…
10-29 13:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x517ecb…
10-29 13:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x83fd96…
10-29 13:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0xace652…
10-29 12:00:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	44¢	$88	0xf4e152…
10-28 21:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0xc4a45d…
10-28 19:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd7a17e…
10-28 19:30:11	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	240	24¢	$58	0x419330…
10-28 18:34:46	Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)	Fulham FC	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x4879aa…
10-28 18:34:19	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	41	27¢	$11	0xcde620…
10-28 18:31:02	AC Milan leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x9e8182…
10-28 16:18:49	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	80	39¢	$31	0x5369c1…
10-28 16:18:47	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x9d43bf…
10-28 16:18:47	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	75	39¢	$29	0x3859ab…
10-28 16:16:58	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xdb347b…
10-28 16:16:53	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x07d2b4…
10-28 16:16:47	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x9188dd…
10-28 16:16:46	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x1805c9…
10-28 16:16:29	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xa33a0a…
10-28 16:13:10	1st Half Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)	AC Milan	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xb2d351…
10-28 16:12:44	AC Milan leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xec5c91…
10-28 16:12:04	Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)	AC Milan	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xc38079…
10-28 15:28:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xad506d…
10-28 15:23:11	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	60	46¢	$28	0x392d88…
10-28 14:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x9db171…
10-28 14:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb813b0…
10-28 14:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x24068f…
10-28 14:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x01f55b…
10-28 14:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf60f38…
10-28 14:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x886934…
10-28 14:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x23c651…
10-28 14:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x11fc39…
10-28 14:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x310b25…
10-28 14:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe4a1af…
10-28 14:44:34	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	212	42¢	$89	0x0a957b…
10-28 14:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	37	94¢	$35	0x1c391a…
10-28 14:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x56ca9e…
10-28 14:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x5236b6…
10-28 14:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9868d8…
10-28 14:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5b684b…
10-28 14:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5e76db…
10-28 14:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x264813…
10-28 14:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x443990…
10-28 14:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x54878c…
10-28 14:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x9c8e55…