Cumbersome-Doctrine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.88K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.2%

Resolved

562

Trades

703

lifetime

Volume

$325.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$463

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 07-29 18:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 97% +$1,878

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$2.0K	2,094	+2,094	Up	+$94	05-09 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$1.8K	1,870	+1,870	Down	-$1,800	05-01 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$1.6K	1,616	+1,616	Up	+$16	05-13 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$1.6K	1,673	+1,673	Up	+$73	05-07 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$1.6K	1,698	+1,698	Up	+$98	05-09 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$1.6K	1,651	+1,651	Up	+$51	05-01 05:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 12:40 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,586	+1,586	Up	+$32	06-15 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	3	$1.5K	1,520	+1,520	Up	+$20	05-07 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$1.5K	1,527	+1,527	Up	+$27	05-08 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	3	$1.5K	1,531	+1,531	Up	+$31	05-13 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$1.5K	1,528	+1,528	Down	+$28	05-06 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	3	$1.5K	1,515	+1,515	Up	+$15	05-08 10:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$1.5K	1,513	+1,513	Down	+$19	04-30 05:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$1.4K	1,466	+1,466	Up	+$23	06-14 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$1.4K	1,440	+1,440	Down	+$40	04-29 14:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 10:55 UTC	2	$1.3K	1,525	+1,525	Up	+$193	06-15 10:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$1.3K	1,805	+1,805	Up	-$1,300	05-31 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$1.3K	1,327	+1,327	Up	+$27	05-31 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$1.3K	1,394	+1,394	Up	+$94	05-06 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$1.3K	1,313	+1,313	Down	+$13	05-31 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$1.3K	1,313	+1,313	Down	+$13	04-29 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$1.3K	1,313	+1,313	Up	+$13	04-29 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$1.3K	1,334	+1,334	Up	+$34	05-07 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	3	$1.3K	1,367	+1,367	Up	+$67	05-12 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$1.3K	1,322	+1,322	Up	+$22	05-31 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$1.3K	1,334	+1,334	Up	+$34	05-04 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$1.3K	1,322	+1,322	Down	+$22	04-29 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$1.3K	1,322	+1,322	Up	+$23	04-29 11:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 13:40 UTC	2	$1.3K	1,293	+1,293	Up	+$13	06-14 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 17:40 UTC	2	$1.3K	1,310	+1,310	Up	+$40	06-14 17:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 18:41:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	256	91¢	$233	0xf252cc…
07-29 18:19:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	327	99¢	$324	0x81287c…
07-29 17:13:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	325	99¢	$322	0x78a045…
07-29 17:09:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	322	99¢	$319	0x35eafc…
07-29 16:39:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	318	99¢	$315	0x93b277…
07-29 15:39:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	315	99¢	$312	0xf08a73…
07-29 15:03:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	312	96¢	$300	0x94cd4d…
07-29 13:56:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	504	93¢	$469	0x3ccc45…
07-29 10:52:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	474	99¢	$469	0xdf3552…
07-29 08:46:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	425	95¢	$404	0xbf8b1f…
07-29 07:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	449	98¢	$440	0x55b519…
07-29 07:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	440	99¢	$436	0x4ab617…
07-29 06:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	211	97¢	$205	0x008ca5…
07-29 06:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	225	92¢	$207	0xfe452a…
07-29 06:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	414	99¢	$410	0x8ccfdf…
07-29 05:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	204	99¢	$202	0x3a9d40…
07-29 05:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	206	98¢	$202	0x67d386…
07-29 04:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	404	99¢	$400	0xb8f69b…
07-29 03:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	361	92¢	$332	0xab1ab6…
07-29 03:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	335	99¢	$332	0x2c7b8a…
07-29 03:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	342	97¢	$332	0xc187c5…
07-29 03:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	355	93¢	$332	0x436fee…
07-28 21:03:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x1a0d5d…
07-28 21:03:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	112	98¢	$110	0xc9c94a…
07-28 21:03:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	113	97¢	$110	0x95a34b…
07-28 21:03:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x8e9566…
07-18 07:03:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x739be8…
07-18 06:32:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0xc4be1e…
07-18 05:13:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	49	85¢	$42	0x8aa94e…
07-17 19:38:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0xc61afb…
07-17 19:03:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xd2da93…
07-17 18:24:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x7139bf…
07-17 14:38:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x6bf552…
07-16 19:51:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	39	92¢	$36	0x1cb6d6…
07-16 19:43:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xc8d60f…
07-16 19:07:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xddbc8e…
07-16 18:23:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0xd70c8c…
07-16 17:57:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x5b0dff…
07-16 17:52:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0x1580f5…
07-16 17:43:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xde4e0e…
07-16 16:27:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0xf59eca…
07-16 16:12:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x1e7269…
07-16 16:02:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xffcba2…
07-16 09:24:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x382614…
07-15 19:43:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xa6bb67…
07-15 19:33:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x575ce4…
07-15 18:53:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xebc90e…
07-15 17:23:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x429a64…
07-15 14:29:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0xb019a4…
07-15 14:23:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0x59e073…
07-15 14:12:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0xb9e291…
07-15 14:08:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0x4c43e3…
07-15 06:07:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xfef2f5…
07-15 06:03:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x73b4d8…
07-15 05:57:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x2062a4…
07-15 05:48:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0x2a16aa…
07-14 21:08:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x29853f…
07-14 15:51:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x8d6412…
07-14 07:19:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x668ffa…
07-13 13:58:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x2f484f…
07-13 13:41:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x9180d1…
07-13 11:06:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x415062…
07-13 08:29:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x062498…
07-13 04:13:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf4b3fd…
07-12 19:24:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x94a708…
07-12 19:24:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xf62605…
07-12 19:23:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xa3069f…
07-12 19:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc27aa4…
07-12 19:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xd430a8…
07-12 11:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xb82cb2…
07-12 09:59:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x3812ee…
07-12 09:23:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xe392c5…
07-12 09:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xe7ef4f…
07-12 08:53:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xd4c5d0…
07-12 04:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xa3ccd1…
07-11 20:49:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x59de00…
07-11 20:42:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7dffc0…
07-11 20:29:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0294c6…
07-11 19:39:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5b5f3a…
07-11 19:27:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8e2ee9…
07-11 07:44:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x995cb9…
06-16 13:33:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0x86e43f…
06-16 13:28:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x98da24…
06-16 12:16:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	35	91¢	$32	0x1a90ae…
06-16 12:07:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	34	93¢	$32	0x604fb4…
06-16 11:07:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0xf69796…
06-16 10:12:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0xeab086…
06-16 10:07:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xca53b4…
06-15 19:27:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	279	94¢	$261	0xc6f452…
06-15 19:22:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	267	96¢	$256	0xe0e622…
06-15 19:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	262	99¢	$259	0xd76181…
06-15 17:33:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	259	99¢	$256	0xaa1465…
06-15 16:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	808	96¢	$777	0xa8c901…
06-15 16:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	835	93¢	$777	0xb5c49c…
06-15 15:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	793	98¢	$777	0x1b440a…
06-15 15:37:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	801	97¢	$777	0x65160b…
06-15 14:47:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	339	98¢	$333	0x3c130f…
06-15 14:47:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	793	98¢	$777	0xb8d371…
06-15 14:27:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	340	98¢	$333	0x4d1ff0…
06-15 14:27:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	793	98¢	$777	0x327652…