Mellow-Mound — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved

183

Trades

616

lifetime

Volume

$1.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 05-11 06:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 51% +$19

Other

1% 67% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 237 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET	7	$29	46	46	+0	Up	+$7	05-09 18:46
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2PM ET	8	$29	33	30	+3	Up	+$10	05-07 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	9	$27	36	36	+0	Down	+$5	05-09 19:27
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1PM ET	4	$23	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	05-07 17:50
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12PM ET	8	$21	16	16	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 17:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	4	$19	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	10	$19	122	22	+100	Up	+$5	05-10 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$19	25	25	+0	Down	+$10	05-05 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4PM ET	4	$17	25	25	+0	Down	$-1	05-09 20:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	6	$17	11	11	+0	Up	$-1	05-10 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	7	$15	21	17	+4	Down	+$1	05-05 16:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	5	$15	13	9	+4	Up	$-3	05-10 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	6	$15	12	12	+0	Up	$-1	05-10 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$14	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$14	14	14	+0	Down	+$10	05-05 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	5	$13	11	11	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 20:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	4	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 01:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	4	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	10	$12	22	21	+1	Down	+$2	05-10 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	11	$12	73	62	+11	Up	+$0	05-10 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	5	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 23:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	8	$12	17	16	+2	Up	+$3	05-10 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11AM ET	7	$12	40	7	+32	Up	$-4	05-09 15:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	11	$12	41	28	+12	Up	$-0	05-10 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	8	$11	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	5	$11	30	9	+22	Down	$-1	05-05 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	5	$11	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	4	$11	11	11	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 15:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	4	$10	9	9	+0	Down	$-2	05-10 02:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 06:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x0c184a…
05-11 06:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4d50b1…
05-11 06:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xe2cec8…
05-11 06:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xce9707…
05-11 06:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x0224eb…
05-11 06:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xef7c72…
05-11 06:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x6d3025…
05-11 06:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf681ee…
05-11 05:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x87dc03…
05-11 05:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf67a1a…
05-11 05:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x22ecbb…
05-11 05:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x77105b…
05-11 05:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x134c37…
05-11 05:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4f704e…
05-11 05:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x64fa3e…
05-11 05:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x116d04…
05-11 05:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x73d8a8…
05-11 05:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x001239…
05-11 05:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x938526…
05-11 04:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x79e419…
05-11 04:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe6cbdb…
05-11 04:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xda3055…
05-11 04:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd03d66…
05-11 04:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	37¢	$2	0xee773e…
05-11 04:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x966520…
05-11 04:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x741400…
05-11 04:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd49bb5…
05-11 04:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xb1ea23…
05-11 04:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4a3e91…
05-11 04:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x812b54…
05-11 04:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe2f6bd…
05-11 04:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe28118…
05-11 04:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x30a580…
05-11 04:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc4a22d…
05-11 04:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xb47199…
05-11 04:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x84d21c…
05-11 04:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x706f37…
05-11 04:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7a266c…
05-11 04:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x8487de…
05-11 04:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x690141…
05-10 18:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9d1ce5…
05-10 18:45:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x840ca7…
05-10 18:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x997a50…
05-10 18:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x70b3ac…
05-10 18:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xac9edf…
05-10 18:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x67a9ef…
05-10 18:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6e453d…
05-10 18:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xafceb7…
05-10 18:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x73c566…
05-10 18:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x66e080…
05-10 18:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0xe69fa2…
05-10 18:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6298d5…
05-10 18:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x78d9c2…
05-10 18:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x28e7f8…
05-10 18:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x622ede…
05-10 18:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x08f421…
05-10 18:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xee211e…
05-10 18:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x54d7ba…
05-10 18:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9c2b20…
05-10 18:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xacff78…
05-10 18:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc9ae00…
05-10 18:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0xe5aed7…
05-10 18:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4514f9…
05-10 17:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x30e444…
05-10 17:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4b328c…
05-10 17:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x63dbac…
05-10 17:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd5e9ca…
05-10 17:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	17	9¢	$1	0xf21563…
05-10 17:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3e2ef9…
05-10 17:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x4982c3…
05-10 17:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd74969…
05-10 17:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6d46c2…
05-10 17:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6385c2…
05-10 17:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x60f477…
05-10 17:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xe0a62c…
05-10 17:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd76f26…
05-10 17:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcaf4a6…
05-10 17:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x346f7c…
05-10 17:07:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5085e3…
05-10 16:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x5b0566…
05-10 16:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xae71f9…
05-10 16:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2f088f…
05-10 16:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xb1ba63…
05-10 16:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xeafef6…
05-10 16:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x98ff55…
05-10 16:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xf4e8d6…
05-10 16:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc2bdcc…
05-10 15:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb74c65…
05-10 15:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x73ae72…
05-10 15:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x4f7fb5…
05-10 15:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdf9faf…
05-10 15:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd0fd1c…
05-10 15:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcbddec…
05-10 15:10:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xc79530…
05-10 15:08:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0xe711e9…
05-10 15:06:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xab255c…
05-10 15:04:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xdc9736…
05-10 15:03:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x382ed6…
05-10 15:02:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x00e964…
05-10 15:02:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcd31c3…