Empty-Elicit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$797

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,351

lifetime

Volume

$101.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

$32

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-02 17:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 86% +$535

Other

41% 98% +$253

Politics

2% 100% +$10

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	No		+41	$29	78¢	$32	+$3	06-02 17:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	36	$7.0K	3,698	3,750	-52	open	—	03-24 12:33
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	35	$4.3K	3,574	1,356	+2,218	open	—	03-24 21:53
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	15	$4.1K	4,092	289	+3,803	open	—	03-31 21:54
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	11	$3.3K	2,692	677	+2,015	open	—	04-01 21:53
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?	24	$2.4K	1,306	1,306	+0	open	—	03-06 14:05
OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?	14	$2.3K	2,545	0	+2,545	open	—	04-10 18:51
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	21	$2.3K	2,334	348	+1,986	open	—	04-13 15:30
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?	20	$2.0K	3,120	1,023	+2,096	open	—	02-13 20:42
will man i need olivia dean be the billboard hot 100 2 song for the week of april 25	7	$1.9K	942	941	+0	open	—	04-20 23:42
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?	14	$1.6K	825	827	-2	open	—	02-03 21:22
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	5	$1.5K	738	788	-50	open	—	02-07 19:17
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	14	$1.4K	831	831	+0	open	—	03-06 19:54
OneFootball FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$1.3K	1,371	0	+1,371	No	+$51	04-09 09:33
Over $200K committed to the Foresee public sale?	11	$1.2K	885	455	+430	open	—	02-09 08:55
Superform FDV above $100M one day after launch?	13	$1.0K	1,156	0	+1,156	open	—	02-11 12:55
will babydoll dominic fike be the 1 song on us spotify this week 139	3	$981	496	496	+0	open	—	03-27 16:36
will thrash be the top us netflix movie this week 862	4	$832	856	0	+856	open	—	04-20 21:43
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $296 Week of May 4 2026?	3	$788	400	400	+0	No	+$12	05-08 21:23
will a dozen eggs cost between 2pt002pt25 in march	6	$773	398	398	-0	open	—	04-10 12:30
Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?	10	$765	395	395	+0	open	—	02-04 02:42
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$692	731	0	+731	open	—	04-13 12:02
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?	7	$676	360	390	-30	No	+$40	02-13 18:43
Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$665	293	386	-93	Yes	+$4	05-13 11:00
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	8	$655	1,005	0	+1,005	open	—	04-13 11:57
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	17	$648	395	270	+125	open	—	04-28 03:33
sp 500 breaks its losing streak this week	5	$622	657	0	+657	open	—	04-02 12:12
Rainbow FDV above $100M one day after launch?	7	$608	669	100	+569	open	—	02-06 01:29
Will Hyperliquid reach $56 in April?	2	$607	627	0	+627	open	—	04-22 23:40
will pltr close between 146 and 148 week march 27 2026	3	$603	306	306	+0	open	—	03-27 21:19
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	3	$578	290	290	+0	open	—	04-01 15:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 17:13:08	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	No	BUY	41	71¢	$29	0xb20f1a…
05-14 16:13:59	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	No	BUY	160	81¢	$130	0xebd22c…
05-14 10:39:30	Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0x53f4ec…
05-14 06:25:38	Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	91	97¢	$88	0xd0d629…
05-14 04:59:51	Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	135	97¢	$131	0x72e146…
05-13 20:06:55	Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $2.0B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x6ca44d…
05-13 19:34:50	Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x8aeef6…
05-13 18:38:01	Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x8e0316…
05-13 13:27:20	Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	77	97¢	$74	0x022716…
05-13 11:00:04	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	304	99¢	$300	0x87f5d3…
05-13 11:00:04	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0x085249…
05-13 09:12:51	Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x03a0df…
05-13 05:48:38	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xffd5f7…
05-13 05:05:56	Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x9d19be…
05-13 05:03:27	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0xcf8e38…
05-13 02:39:47	Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	127	98¢	$124	0xf4c563…
05-12 21:42:27	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	67¢	$8	0xfabab7…
05-12 18:47:13	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $8.5B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	80	82¢	$66	0xadf709…
05-12 18:46:31	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $8.0B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x838aaf…
05-12 15:15:37	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $8.0B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	106	92¢	$97	0x0f063b…
05-12 09:28:07	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	72	67¢	$48	0x50ef6d…
05-12 09:27:57	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0x2a9c4c…
05-12 09:26:57	Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $1.0B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	156	97¢	$151	0x4c92ee…
05-12 05:11:54	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x38f327…
05-12 02:29:59	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $7.5B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	261	97¢	$253	0x42666e…
05-11 21:05:04	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	324	96¢	$312	0x46e513…
05-11 14:55:20	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $400 on May 11?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x641c3e…
05-11 14:54:25	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $400 on May 11?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xba2dcf…
05-11 14:34:39	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x45990e…
05-11 14:27:37	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	150	93¢	$140	0x84b8d8…
05-11 14:23:13	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xcdaeb1…
05-11 14:21:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xbf0c75…
05-11 14:21:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	85	93¢	$79	0x2ebd83…
05-11 14:20:51	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0x08530d…
05-11 14:20:20	Will the Conservative Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	186	100¢	$185	0xa12aae…
05-11 14:07:35	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 11?	No	BUY	108	97¢	$105	0x0113ab…
05-11 13:56:12	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x053aa3…
05-11 13:55:44	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9b3b86…
05-11 13:55:43	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	65	95¢	$62	0x8df585…
05-11 10:10:41	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0xa13919…
05-11 07:40:52	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x9bca7f…
05-11 03:36:58	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	93	95¢	$88	0x2c21aa…
05-10 21:17:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	380	99¢	$376	0xeaea9f…
05-10 19:25:53	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0xa3e2a8…
05-10 18:14:22	Will Solana reach $100 May 4-10?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0xc43a50…
05-09 04:28:30	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xacd98f…
05-09 02:50:30	Will Solana reach $95 on May 8?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0x286e8e…
05-09 02:02:35	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 8?	No	SELL	46	97¢	$45	0x69bd4c…
05-09 02:01:04	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 8?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x792325…
05-09 01:36:53	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x8fad93…
05-09 01:36:53	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x428e1e…
05-09 01:36:51	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0xec5a4b…
05-09 01:25:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc33214…
05-09 01:25:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xcc1895…
05-09 01:25:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x642532…
05-09 01:25:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5466ef…
05-09 01:25:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x47d6ea…
05-09 01:25:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x09c3db…
05-09 01:12:07	Will Solana reach $95 on May 8?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xde6bcd…
05-09 01:03:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x90ba66…
05-08 22:33:10	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x0ad1ac…
05-08 21:37:17	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	130	97¢	$126	0x1feaef…
05-08 21:23:52	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $296 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0xbf6b99…
05-08 21:22:09	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	99	97¢	$96	0x09f06d…
05-08 19:57:41	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $296 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x041e29…
05-08 19:48:01	Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of May 4 above $136?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x1dbd3e…
05-08 18:55:30	Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of May 4 above $135?	Yes	BUY	140	93¢	$130	0xb41ca0…
05-08 18:54:37	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $296 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0xb15386…
05-08 18:50:27	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $72.50 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	230	98¢	$225	0x14fb31…
05-08 16:21:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xc27439…
05-08 16:08:56	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	210	98¢	$205	0xce82a6…
05-08 13:28:56	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xc8136b…
05-08 11:56:32	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x43de7b…
05-08 11:45:53	Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of May 4 above $295?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x17e823…
05-08 06:46:05	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x2fb1ec…
05-08 06:19:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x2bc86a…
05-07 21:37:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	77	97¢	$75	0x1ed376…
05-07 20:11:19	Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x147c6b…
05-07 19:43:56	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 7?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xe2ceab…
05-07 19:15:46	Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xe1666b…
05-07 18:12:40	Will Expedia (EXPE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7c8228…
05-07 16:44:42	Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xb7b46f…
05-07 16:11:15	Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	31	94¢	$30	0xb2a948…
05-07 15:08:13	Will Trump say "Clown" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xcd5e01…
05-07 15:07:12	Will Yelp (YELP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x1de070…
05-07 13:45:34	Will Akamai Technologies (AKAM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0x2b9aa7…
05-07 13:43:02	Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	242	97¢	$235	0xcf5d1c…
05-07 07:12:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	79	92¢	$73	0x198678…
05-07 06:30:52	Will the Conservative Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x850058…
05-07 05:38:08	Will Yelp (YELP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xe60e97…
05-07 05:27:24	Will Charles River Laboratories (CRL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xb11054…
05-07 03:27:23	Will the Conservative Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x59c394…
05-07 03:01:57	Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0x3b9bf4…
05-07 03:01:32	Will the Conservative Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	130	98¢	$127	0xbc885e…
05-06 22:11:56	Will Trump say "Clown" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xd0681e…
05-06 22:09:21	Will Charles River Laboratories (CRL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	117	97¢	$113	0xdef2c5…
05-06 22:08:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	145	97¢	$141	0x5b4e7b…
05-06 22:08:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	105	97¢	$102	0xf42392…
05-06 18:43:34	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 6?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x281a80…
05-06 18:35:12	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 6?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x544c53…