Empty-Elicit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.26K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.2%

Resolved

495

Trades

1,653

lifetime

Volume

$124.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 07-22 05:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Other

47% 91% -$44

Crypto

43% 74% -$1,463

Politics

5% 93% +$117

Tech

2% 100% +$103

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$12

Sports

1% 83% +$14

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	36	$7.0K	3,698	3,750	-52	No	+$272	03-24 12:33
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	35	$4.3K	3,574	1,356	+2,218	No	+$643	03-24 21:53
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	15	$4.1K	4,092	289	+3,803	No	+$270	03-31 21:54
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	11	$3.3K	2,692	677	+2,015	No	+$29	04-01 21:53
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?	24	$2.4K	1,306	1,306	+0	No	+$231	03-06 14:05
OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?	14	$2.3K	2,545	0	+2,545	No	+$240	04-10 18:51
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	21	$2.3K	2,334	348	+1,986	Yes	-$1,711	04-13 15:30
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?	20	$2.0K	3,120	1,023	+2,096	No	-$1,149	02-13 20:42
will man i need olivia dean be the billboard hot 100 2 song for the week of april 25	7	$1.9K	942	941	+0	Yes	+$9	04-20 23:42
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?	14	$1.6K	825	827	-2	No	+$82	02-03 21:22
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	5	$1.5K	738	788	-50	No	+$10	02-07 19:17
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	10	$1.5K	734	734	+0	No	+$15	05-12 17:26
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	14	$1.4K	831	831	+0	No	+$140	03-06 19:54
Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	5	$1.4K	718	718	+0	Yes	+$9	07-22 05:48
OneFootball FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$1.3K	1,371	0	+1,371	No	+$51	04-09 09:33
Over $200K committed to the Foresee public sale?	11	$1.2K	885	455	+430	Yes	+$17	02-09 08:55
Superform FDV above $100M one day after launch?	13	$1.0K	1,156	0	+1,156	No	+$120	02-11 12:55
will babydoll dominic fike be the 1 song on us spotify this week 139	3	$981	496	496	+0	Yes	+$10	03-27 16:36
Will "Michael" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	16	$854	880	0	+880	No	+$26	05-09 20:46
will thrash be the top us netflix movie this week 862	4	$832	856	0	+856	Yes	+$23	04-20 21:43
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $296 Week of May 4 2026?	3	$788	400	400	+0	No	+$12	05-08 21:23
will a dozen eggs cost between 2pt002pt25 in march	6	$773	398	398	-0	No	+$1	04-10 12:30
Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?	10	$765	395	395	+0	No	+$4	02-04 02:42
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	5	$747	537	230	+307	Yes	+$8	05-06 16:55
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$692	731	0	+731	Yes	-$692	04-13 12:02
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?	7	$676	360	390	-30	No	+$40	02-13 18:43
Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$665	293	386	-93	Yes	+$4	05-13 11:00
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	8	$655	1,005	0	+1,005	Yes	-$655	04-13 11:57
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	17	$648	395	270	+125	No	+$4	04-28 03:33
sp 500 breaks its losing streak this week	5	$622	657	0	+657	Yes	+$36	04-02 12:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 05:48:28	Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xf32605…
07-22 05:48:28	Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	Yes	SELL	479	100¢	$477	0x2718fc…
07-22 05:36:54	Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	Yes	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0xed8d24…
06-15 15:34:48	Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	Yes	SELL	46	100¢	$45	0xa1fc9d…
06-02 21:58:58	Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x69d3f9…
06-02 17:13:08	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	No	BUY	41	71¢	$29	0xb20f1a…
06-02 17:10:52	Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	204	98¢	$199	0xb34b10…
06-02 17:10:31	Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	87	97¢	$85	0x05849e…
05-31 23:02:10	Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	Yes	BUY	718	98¢	$706	0xbfd47a…
05-29 21:30:14	Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xb692be…
05-29 21:28:52	Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x47e90b…
05-29 19:21:21	Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0xa7fcca…
05-29 14:36:41	Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	No	BUY	145	99¢	$144	0x5958d4…
05-27 00:21:50	Will Rayo Vallecano score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xa92445…
05-25 23:30:04	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	No	BUY	440	99¢	$435	0x5f0b3a…
05-14 16:13:59	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	No	BUY	160	81¢	$130	0xebd22c…
05-14 10:39:30	Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0x53f4ec…
05-14 06:25:38	Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	91	97¢	$88	0xd0d629…
05-14 04:59:51	Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	135	97¢	$131	0x72e146…
05-14 04:58:24	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	476	97¢	$461	0xf3ec44…
05-13 20:06:55	Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $2.0B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x6ca44d…
05-13 19:34:50	Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x8aeef6…
05-13 18:38:01	Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x8e0316…
05-13 13:27:20	Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	77	97¢	$74	0x022716…
05-13 11:00:04	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	304	99¢	$300	0x87f5d3…
05-13 11:00:04	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0x085249…
05-13 09:12:51	Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x03a0df…
05-13 05:48:38	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xffd5f7…
05-13 05:05:56	Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x9d19be…
05-13 05:03:27	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0xcf8e38…
05-13 02:39:47	Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	127	98¢	$124	0xf4c563…
05-12 21:42:27	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	67¢	$8	0xfabab7…
05-12 19:50:43	Will GMR Solutions' market cap be between $5.0B and $5.5B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	180	98¢	$176	0x72bbfc…
05-12 19:48:18	Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $5.5B and $7.0B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x32b650…
05-12 19:48:11	Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $5.5B and $7.0B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	150	97¢	$146	0x41767a…
05-12 18:47:13	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $8.5B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	80	82¢	$66	0xadf709…
05-12 18:46:31	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $8.0B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x838aaf…
05-12 17:26:01	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	SELL	734	100¢	$734	0x20b2a9…
05-12 15:15:37	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $8.0B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	106	92¢	$97	0x0f063b…
05-12 10:45:20	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	89	98¢	$87	0x0c28d0…
05-12 10:29:31	Will Fervo Energy's market cap be at least $10.0B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x754ecf…
05-12 10:22:36	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	131	99¢	$129	0xc0b86a…
05-12 10:22:28	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	280	99¢	$276	0x6dd2f2…
05-12 09:28:07	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	72	67¢	$48	0x50ef6d…
05-12 09:27:57	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0x2a9c4c…
05-12 09:26:57	Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $1.0B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	156	97¢	$151	0x4c92ee…
05-12 08:53:41	Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x680882…
05-12 07:32:36	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0xf524db…
05-12 07:32:36	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x05da5a…
05-12 07:31:38	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xaa79e3…
05-12 06:21:54	Will Fervo Energy's market cap be at least $10.0B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	120	93¢	$112	0x10993c…
05-12 05:53:59	Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x97398f…
05-12 05:35:49	Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x7b27e1…
05-12 05:24:44	Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8e8b2d…
05-12 05:11:54	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x38f327…
05-12 05:07:05	Will Fervo Energy's market cap be at least $10.0B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	93	96¢	$89	0x4524a1…
05-12 02:32:11	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0xfbb0b5…
05-12 02:29:59	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $7.5B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	261	97¢	$253	0x42666e…
05-12 02:08:05	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x41119f…
05-12 02:08:02	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	184	98¢	$180	0x41daa4…
05-11 21:05:04	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	324	96¢	$312	0x46e513…
05-11 14:55:20	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $400 on May 11?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x641c3e…
05-11 14:54:25	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $400 on May 11?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xba2dcf…
05-11 14:34:39	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x45990e…
05-11 14:27:37	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	150	93¢	$140	0x84b8d8…
05-11 14:23:13	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xcdaeb1…
05-11 14:21:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xbf0c75…
05-11 14:21:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	85	93¢	$79	0x2ebd83…
05-11 14:20:51	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0x08530d…
05-11 14:20:20	Will the Conservative Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	186	100¢	$185	0xa12aae…
05-11 14:08:55	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xce54d4…
05-11 14:08:08	Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?	No	BUY	408	96¢	$393	0x6674da…
05-11 14:07:35	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 11?	No	BUY	108	97¢	$105	0x0113ab…
05-11 13:56:12	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x053aa3…
05-11 13:55:44	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9b3b86…
05-11 13:55:43	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	65	95¢	$62	0x8df585…
05-11 10:10:41	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0xa13919…
05-11 09:08:27	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?	Yes	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xcef84a…
05-11 08:27:44	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?	Yes	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0x53decd…
05-11 07:40:52	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x9bca7f…
05-11 04:29:33	Will "Man on Fire" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x1b3c82…
05-11 04:19:14	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?	Yes	BUY	86	97¢	$83	0xff7ceb…
05-11 03:40:32	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xd64cf2…
05-11 03:39:48	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?	Yes	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x578bcd…
05-11 03:36:58	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	93	95¢	$88	0x2c21aa…
05-10 21:17:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	380	99¢	$376	0xeaea9f…
05-10 19:25:53	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0xa3e2a8…
05-10 18:14:22	Will Solana reach $100 May 4-10?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0xc43a50…
05-10 18:07:08	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the second highest grossing movie of this weekend?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xd531e8…
05-09 23:59:24	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	No	BUY	94	98¢	$92	0xb1808e…
05-09 22:13:56	Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 Truist Championship?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x37480b…
05-09 22:12:25	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x2747e9…
05-09 20:46:59	Will "Michael" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	No	BUY	89	94¢	$84	0x37070e…
05-09 20:38:00	Will "Michael" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa765aa…
05-09 20:18:33	Will "Michael" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	No	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x5d9720…
05-09 19:54:57	Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Truist Championship?	No	BUY	140	94¢	$132	0x984675…
05-09 19:52:39	Will "Michael" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	No	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0x605718…
05-09 19:51:06	Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Truist Championship?	No	BUY	125	96¢	$120	0x61d7c4…
05-09 19:27:13	Will "Michael" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x040f4b…
05-09 19:23:18	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	No	BUY	107	98¢	$105	0xdb5cb4…