Cavernous-Arrangement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

289

Trades

290

lifetime

Volume

$3.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-31 15:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 233 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 13:15
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 09:48
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 09:15
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 8?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 10:47
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C or below on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 16:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 08:57
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 11:38
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:43
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-04 09:29
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C or higher on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 14:51
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 08:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:27
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:22
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 07:00
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 13c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:07
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 24c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 15:55
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 22corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 04:38
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 14:51
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:38
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:54
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:44
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:27
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 78 79f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:39
highest temperature in lucknow on march 30 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-30 14:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 15:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61c0da…
10-30 14:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd515e5…
10-29 17:44:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa858d6…
10-29 09:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd04cc…
10-28 07:42:35	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50442f…
10-27 08:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6915cf…
10-26 09:20:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5646f9…
10-24 11:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd389b…
10-22 10:17:45	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b8050…
10-20 07:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd2b3f…
10-19 09:14:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x012891…
10-18 09:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26434b…
10-17 15:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61e091…
10-16 09:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b9786…
10-15 09:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ef0c5…
10-14 09:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdfb654…
10-13 14:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x960792…
10-13 09:15:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcfc953…
10-12 09:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x331ce7…
10-11 08:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84df69…
10-08 09:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ce29c…
10-07 15:22:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa75651…
10-06 08:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdfe7e9…
10-05 01:57:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88b435…
10-03 08:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50a8b1…
10-02 11:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0170fe…
10-01 08:26:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe99f0b…
09-30 12:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb3b78…
09-29 14:48:32	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbae600…
09-28 09:49:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x137389…
09-27 08:49:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e82f8…
09-25 12:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf5d42…
09-24 08:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcafbbb…
09-23 07:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc8884…
09-22 08:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x118eb7…
09-21 09:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe38522…
09-20 05:48:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x523f4f…
09-19 08:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb183ab…
09-18 06:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x366340…
09-17 04:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a2e61…
09-16 08:23:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3cb443…
09-15 09:12:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90da09…
09-14 08:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3fe39…
09-12 16:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8589e…
09-11 07:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa36d61…
09-10 08:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf40772…
09-09 09:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03cd30…
09-08 15:39:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18690d…
09-08 06:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb1a0a…
09-07 08:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ce02a…
09-06 17:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4752d…
09-06 09:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c82d7…
09-05 01:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5de7c…
09-03 15:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x65f84c…
09-02 07:43:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f8288…
08-30 09:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7b871…
08-29 09:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x561cc5…
08-28 08:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb98a5e…
08-27 08:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5af50f…
08-26 08:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x091a35…
08-25 09:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1c585…
08-24 10:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40029b…
08-23 14:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd13967…
08-22 08:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x136131…
08-21 07:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa512c3…
08-20 08:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd80266…
08-19 11:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6ec63…
08-18 08:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9940a…
08-17 07:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3521d…
08-16 11:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1724eb…
08-15 09:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2df38a…
08-14 06:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b4b14…
08-13 08:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61db4e…
08-12 07:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7265a7…
08-11 06:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6e280…
08-10 07:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6bff1…
08-09 01:25:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe0d796…
08-08 07:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92cb14…
08-07 01:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9ec53…
08-06 06:44:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1eb630…
08-05 07:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b1187…
08-04 08:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1eef3…
08-03 07:37:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5228ea…
08-02 01:42:29	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa16349…
08-01 07:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x783da4…
07-31 13:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fb573…
07-30 06:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36781b…
07-29 07:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ad048…
07-28 06:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1bb57c…
07-27 08:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0bb099…
07-26 07:14:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C or higher on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01e6e7…
07-25 08:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14bf67…
07-24 10:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4f6fe…
07-23 08:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71fda2…
07-22 02:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe51384…
07-21 09:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25fcae…
07-21 00:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3efbaf…
07-20 07:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd6099…
07-18 23:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf76cc0…
07-18 00:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x257215…