Weird-Crowd — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,663

lifetime

Volume

$205.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$123

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 05-14 23:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Politics

59% 48% -$7,768

Crypto

30% 38% -$9,199

Other

10% 56% -$6,210

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	37	$25.5K	25,900	0	+25,900	Yes	+$388	04-12 15:20
will iran strike israel on march 4	62	$15.8K	31,603	33,594	-1,991	Yes	-$12,761	03-06 19:22
will iran strike israel on march 10	40	$15.8K	18,031	9,531	+8,500	Yes	-$366	03-12 15:41
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	44	$14.4K	17,636	339	+17,296	No	+$3,431	03-11 14:47
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	56	$12.8K	19,323	0	+19,323	No	+$6,514	03-28 03:54
houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	38	$12.3K	6,327	6,327	+0	No	+$338	03-10 12:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 22:30 UTC	8	$7.8K	7,975	3,767	+4,208	Down	+$51	03-10 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 00:50 UTC	39	$7.4K	4,554	4,359	+195	Down	-$165	03-10 00:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 22:15 UTC	33	$7.0K	6,928	2,765	+4,163	Down	-$33	03-10 22:19
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	14	$6.9K	9,665	9,665	+0	No	-$1,496	03-10 01:06
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	89	$6.3K	26,455	0	+26,455	No	-$6,325	03-29 03:22
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	18	$5.8K	3,106	3,106	+0	No	+$3	05-14 22:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 20:25 UTC	125	$5.2K	5,355	5,338	+16	Down	-$1,958	03-19 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 00:55 UTC	10	$4.8K	4,815	887	+3,928	Up	+$465	03-10 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 22:40 UTC	48	$4.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	Down	-$4,500	03-10 22:44
will iran strike israel on march 6	23	$4.1K	16,000	16,000	+0	No	-$1,323	03-10 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	28	$2.9K	2,032	2,032	+0	Down	-$126	05-14 23:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 20:05 UTC	61	$2.6K	3,064	2,027	+1,037	Up	-$324	03-19 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	72	$2.5K	1,800	1,000	+800	Down	+$166	05-14 23:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 22:55 UTC	55	$2.4K	3,000	2,984	+16	Down	-$576	03-10 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 22:35 UTC	6	$2.3K	2,720	0	+2,720	Up	-$1,244	03-10 22:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 00:40 UTC	20	$2.2K	1,529	1,513	+16	Down	+$214	03-10 00:45
will israel or the us target fordow nuclear facility	33	$2.0K	2,740	2,740	+0	No	-$567	03-19 20:22
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	17	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$4	05-14 21:58
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	8	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$3	05-14 23:25
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	6	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$4	05-14 23:29
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	6	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$1	05-14 23:37
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-14 23:25
Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	6	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$30	05-14 23:37
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	7	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$1	05-14 21:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf6025f…
05-14 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf09bde…
05-14 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe630d9…
05-14 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xe2a986…
05-14 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd8fc25…
05-14 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0xd682b8…
05-14 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xd58ac1…
05-14 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0xc342c9…
05-14 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9c706d…
05-14 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x7ae874…
05-14 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x63c43a…
05-14 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x61ba13…
05-14 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x60ba2e…
05-14 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5e98e6…
05-14 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x46d419…
05-14 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x43ca99…
05-14 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x36c702…
05-14 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x29d616…
05-14 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x2340b4…
05-14 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x21fb0f…
05-14 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1f9416…
05-14 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	472	98¢	$463	0x1e27f9…
05-14 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x028f4e…
05-14 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x01188f…
05-14 23:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x3f44ad…
05-14 23:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1,032	97¢	$1,000	0x2fac2e…
05-14 23:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1,000	37¢	$371	0x072755…
05-14 23:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	51¢	$508	0x03990f…
05-14 23:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x8a374c…
05-14 23:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x605f3f…
05-14 23:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xfb3e58…
05-14 23:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0xf502f1…
05-14 23:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xf482c1…
05-14 23:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xbab762…
05-14 23:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x9f4cf2…
05-14 23:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x8fc6bd…
05-14 23:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x6da017…
05-14 23:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x6cb1c5…
05-14 23:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x6a08ed…
05-14 23:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x5c0ba3…
05-14 23:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x31bfd9…
05-14 23:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x1c74f2…
05-14 23:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xf87d23…
05-14 23:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0xeb397a…
05-14 23:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	105	4¢	$4	0xd0f0d4…
05-14 23:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xcc9402…
05-14 23:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x8b4683…
05-14 23:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x6d307d…
05-14 23:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x4bd963…
05-14 23:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x0be1b8…
05-14 23:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	66	4¢	$3	0xad1b28…
05-14 23:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xe74353…
05-14 23:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	800	98¢	$784	0x13109b…
05-14 23:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xe6b8e0…
05-14 23:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	66	95¢	$63	0xeb6d78…
05-14 23:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0xfceec0…
05-14 23:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x95e94b…
05-14 23:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x8a639a…
05-14 23:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x88ee80…
05-14 23:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14	95¢	$14	0x826d1f…
05-14 23:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	32	95¢	$30	0x74caab…
05-14 23:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xd7d371…
05-14 23:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xcecd46…
05-14 23:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x3b34a2…
05-14 23:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2c5016…
05-14 23:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x0d0dfe…
05-14 23:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x062b31…
05-14 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0xfc8195…
05-14 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xec0f62…
05-14 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0xe937e8…
05-14 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xde6898…
05-14 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xd69ab4…
05-14 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0xcb8397…
05-14 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xca59f0…
05-14 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xca3d78…
05-14 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0xc8baaa…
05-14 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xc51651…
05-14 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xb0d9c2…
05-14 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0xa59869…
05-14 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x94477d…
05-14 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x90bdb4…
05-14 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x8dc880…
05-14 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x790bbc…
05-14 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x64b65d…
05-14 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0x5ab9a8…
05-14 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x5063ab…
05-14 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x4b0673…
05-14 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x3ed6b7…
05-14 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x38352b…
05-14 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x32ccbd…
05-14 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x105d4e…
05-14 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x025b41…
05-14 23:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xf2ab49…
05-14 23:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xef7053…
05-14 23:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0xd3c512…
05-14 23:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	42	95¢	$40	0xc30805…
05-14 23:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa9f3b7…
05-14 23:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x484edc…
05-14 23:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0x40d0df…
05-14 23:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x064917…