Ill-Nonconformist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,375

lifetime

Volume

$22.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 05-24 21:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 62% +$33

Other

25% 50% +$4

Politics

10% 100% +$1

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	2	$846	502	502	+0	open	—	03-07 19:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	7	$765	440	479	-39	open	—	03-01 07:54
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	7	$402	402	361	+42	open	—	02-09 07:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	30	$246	139	147	-8	open	—	02-06 10:05
eth updown 15m 1776194100	2	$236	148	145	+4	open	—	04-14 19:24
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	58	$142	25,387	22,912	+2,475	open	—	03-15 03:25
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	20	$130	141	0	+141	open	—	02-09 15:41
highest temperature in london on march 9 2026 16c	4	$127	68	68	+0	open	—	03-09 20:57
nvda close above 185 on march 9 2026	2	$123	69	69	+0	open	—	03-08 21:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$117	68	68	+0	open	—	05-23 18:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 10	2	$117	62	62	+0	open	—	03-10 08:18
lw quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt63	6	$111	73	49	+24	open	—	03-30 18:57
aus auc per 2026 03 07 per	2	$109	125	0	+125	open	—	03-07 19:53
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 180 199	2	$106	57	57	+0	open	—	03-08 21:05
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 200 219	2	$106	56	56	+0	open	—	03-08 21:05
solana above 100 on march 10	3	$106	58	58	+0	open	—	03-08 21:05
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 260 279	2	$104	55	55	+0	open	—	03-10 08:19
will plc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	4	$102	57	57	+0	open	—	03-09 08:03
eth updown 5m 1776205200	1	$100	117	0	+117	open	—	04-14 22:22
eth updown 5m 1776195000	1	$100	163	0	+163	open	—	04-14 19:32
eth updown 15m 1776204000	1	$100	127	0	+127	open	—	04-14 22:09
eth updown 15m 1776201300	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	04-14 21:24
eth updown 15m 1776162600	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	04-14 10:39
eth updown 15m 1776178800	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	04-14 15:08
eth updown 15m 1776038400	2	$98	67	66	+1	open	—	04-13 00:08
eth updown 15m 1776042000	2	$98	54	53	+0	open	—	04-13 01:13
eth updown 15m 1776129300	2	$97	63	62	+1	open	—	04-14 01:24
will ethereum dip to 1900 march 2 8	2	$91	58	58	+0	open	—	03-07 03:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$85	68	68	+0	open	—	05-01 06:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 10	2	$84	57	57	+0	open	—	03-09 16:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 21:48:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	45	13¢	$6	0x22ec73…
05-24 21:46:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x367c50…
05-24 19:53:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	73	16¢	$12	0xd941d6…
05-24 19:51:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	73	69¢	$50	0xb74802…
05-24 18:42:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	74	4¢	$3	0xe2816a…
05-24 18:38:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xe2aed4…
05-24 15:12:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	74	67¢	$50	0x43ae40…
05-23 21:38:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	72	8¢	$6	0x6c42fb…
05-23 18:34:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0x09e648…
05-23 18:30:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x60f953…
05-22 13:43:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	39	5¢	$2	0x8d8409…
05-22 13:39:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x75e5ff…
05-22 13:39:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc29cb8…
05-22 13:39:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x9563ab…
05-22 13:39:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	59¢	$7	0x73292c…
05-22 13:39:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0x5e998e…
05-22 01:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xb86360…
05-21 23:36:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x7456d9…
05-21 19:01:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x019e3f…
05-21 19:01:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0xe05dcd…
05-21 19:01:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x7b78fd…
05-21 19:01:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x39ec25…
05-20 19:21:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	36	65¢	$24	0xe02433…
05-20 12:05:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x5a25d5…
05-18 15:33:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	68	6¢	$4	0xafb965…
05-18 15:31:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0xc28458…
05-11 08:15:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xb7b5ed…
05-11 08:15:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x41224b…
05-10 03:36:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	75	66¢	$50	0x69eb51…
05-08 13:39:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	43	9¢	$4	0x0d68dc…
05-08 13:34:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	43	57¢	$25	0x189862…
05-08 07:30:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x7cb90d…
05-07 09:19:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	66	14¢	$9	0xe40a12…
05-07 09:17:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd5215e…
05-07 09:17:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0xc7cc75…
05-07 09:17:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	37	75¢	$28	0xa3fcb6…
05-07 09:17:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x632332…
05-07 09:17:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x42b69b…
05-07 09:17:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x08724f…
05-06 10:59:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	41	3¢	$1	0x5543cf…
05-06 10:54:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	41	60¢	$25	0x3ae4b5…
05-06 04:45:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x79150b…
05-05 19:45:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xbf290f…
05-03 22:21:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0xbc2e71…
05-03 04:14:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0xbbe839…
05-03 03:35:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xd32f60…
05-03 02:50:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	81	61¢	$50	0xe5b546…
05-02 13:09:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	77	15¢	$11	0x317b99…
05-02 13:05:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xa3c145…
05-02 03:39:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	79	4¢	$3	0x654828…
05-02 03:35:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x67b8a8…
05-02 03:21:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xa0382e…
05-02 00:48:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	70	5¢	$3	0x911ce6…
05-02 00:45:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x4954ce…
05-01 13:50:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	70	71¢	$49	0x021e43…
05-01 06:54:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	68	54¢	$36	0x8e2c86…
05-01 06:50:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	58	72¢	$42	0x5fef48…
05-01 06:50:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x0cc8e6…
05-01 04:30:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	74	67¢	$50	0xc7265e…
04-28 08:16:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	71	71¢	$50	0xc5bd09…
04-26 18:16:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x39dfe5…
04-24 11:24:48	eth updown 15m 1777029300	Up	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0xeae271…
04-24 08:50:38	eth updown 5m 1777020600	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x50a4c2…
04-24 08:21:00	eth updown 5m 1777018800	Up	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x1c66b0…
04-24 07:58:00	ethereum up or down april 24 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x72d7fa…
04-24 06:46:56	eth updown 5m 1777013100	Down	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x1c6a2a…
04-24 05:50:46	eth updown 5m 1777009800	Up	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x8c04b9…
04-24 05:27:42	eth updown 15m 1777007700	Up	BUY	66	75¢	$50	0x08990b…
04-24 02:48:50	eth updown 5m 1776998700	Up	SELL	70	5¢	$3	0x517931…
04-24 02:45:18	eth updown 5m 1776998700	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xcde254…
04-23 21:00:40	eth updown 5m 1776978000	Up	BUY	43	59¢	$25	0xc4bdfe…
04-23 20:05:28	eth updown 5m 1776974700	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x93c02f…
04-23 19:35:14	eth updown 5m 1776972900	Down	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xeb1c42…
04-22 20:20:20	eth updown 5m 1776889200	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x6c261e…
04-22 16:13:04	eth updown 15m 1776873600	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xee51c4…
04-22 16:11:38	eth updown 15m 1776873600	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xb533e1…
04-22 16:07:12	eth updown 5m 1776873900	Up	SELL	78	19¢	$15	0x435162…
04-22 16:05:46	eth updown 5m 1776873900	Up	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xdd478d…
04-22 15:30:28	eth updown 5m 1776871800	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x7c653c…
04-22 13:52:30	eth updown 5m 1776865800	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x4624df…
04-22 13:41:54	eth updown 15m 1776864600	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xd61d48…
04-22 13:41:54	eth updown 15m 1776864600	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xc4d68b…
04-22 13:41:54	eth updown 15m 1776864600	Up	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xc44370…
04-22 13:41:54	eth updown 15m 1776864600	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x6f1f23…
04-22 13:41:54	eth updown 15m 1776864600	Up	BUY	21	65¢	$13	0x4a321b…
04-22 13:41:54	eth updown 15m 1776864600	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x158177…
04-22 10:03:32	eth updown 5m 1776852000	Up	SELL	64	5¢	$3	0x697618…
04-22 10:01:02	eth updown 5m 1776852000	Up	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xf35584…
04-22 04:23:08	eth updown 5m 1776831600	Down	SELL	62	23¢	$14	0x69a4d7…
04-22 04:20:58	eth updown 5m 1776831600	Down	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xbea605…
04-22 04:15:12	eth updown 5m 1776831300	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x231169…
04-22 03:16:24	eth updown 5m 1776827700	Down	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xaaad96…
04-22 03:05:44	eth updown 5m 1776827100	Up	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0xa40c77…
04-22 02:31:38	eth updown 5m 1776825000	Up	SELL	80	22¢	$18	0x3a65da…
04-22 02:30:52	eth updown 5m 1776825000	Up	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x95f8ff…
04-22 01:23:04	eth updown 5m 1776820800	Down	SELL	42	24¢	$10	0x06a557…
04-22 01:21:58	eth updown 5m 1776820800	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x26b76a…
04-21 19:07:42	eth updown 5m 1776798300	Up	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x8f8ed6…
04-21 19:05:32	eth updown 5m 1776798300	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xdddadf…
04-21 17:55:36	ethereum up or down april 21 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	69	73¢	$50	0xff173b…