Ill-Trapezoid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$179

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

468

lifetime

Volume

$483.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.03K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 05-08 12:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

91% 100% +$137

Politics

6% — —

Crypto

3% 100% +$43

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 240 259	2	$9.3K	4,679	4,679	+0	open	—	02-19 19:30
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 0 39	2	$9.1K	4,561	4,561	+0	open	—	02-14 18:19
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 200 219	2	$8.2K	4,252	4,252	+0	open	—	02-16 17:13
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 260 279	2	$8.2K	4,210	4,210	+0	open	—	02-22 00:03
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$8.1K	4,088	4,088	+0	open	—	02-18 19:41
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 0 39	2	$8.0K	4,036	4,036	+0	open	—	02-20 16:39
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 40 64	2	$7.9K	4,003	4,003	+0	open	—	02-23 09:50
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 0 39	3	$7.0K	3,539	3,535	+4	open	—	04-07 08:43
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 40 64	2	$6.4K	3,285	3,285	+0	open	—	02-03 23:25
spx up or down on february 2 2026	2	$5.8K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	02-02 22:06
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 320 339	2	$5.4K	2,700	2,700	+0	open	—	01-25 23:26
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 280 299	2	$5.3K	2,668	2,668	+0	open	—	01-29 17:48
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 115 139	2	$5.2K	2,662	2,662	+0	open	—	01-24 17:03
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 65 89	2	$5.0K	2,539	2,539	+0	open	—	01-23 09:36
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	4	$4.9K	2,491	2,491	+0	open	—	03-26 10:16
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	2	$4.9K	2,450	2,450	+0	open	—	03-16 12:23
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 480 499	2	$4.7K	2,365	2,365	+0	open	—	01-20 08:34
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 320 339	2	$4.6K	2,359	2,359	+0	open	—	01-22 07:29
will andr ventura win less than 16 of votes in the first round	2	$4.6K	2,297	2,297	+0	open	—	01-19 16:32
will yoweri kaguta museveni win the 2026 ugandan presidential election	2	$4.5K	2,265	2,265	+0	open	—	01-17 23:35
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 65 89	2	$4.3K	2,144	2,144	+0	open	—	01-11 23:35
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 0 39	1	$4.2K	4,441	0	+4,441	open	—	02-16 17:14
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	2	$4.2K	2,132	2,132	+0	open	—	01-10 18:21
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 380 399	2	$4.1K	2,082	2,082	+0	open	—	01-07 19:45
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 40 64	3	$4.1K	2,123	2,117	+6	open	—	04-08 08:09
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	1	$4.1K	4,227	0	+4,227	Up	+$127	05-08 12:37
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 40 64	1	$4.1K	4,264	0	+4,264	open	—	02-09 23:25
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 480 499	2	$4.1K	2,045	2,045	+0	open	—	01-06 08:13
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 180 199	3	$4.1K	2,052	2,052	+0	open	—	03-30 16:15
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 200 219	2	$4.1K	2,058	2,058	+0	open	—	03-09 17:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 12:37:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	4,227	97¢	$4,100	0x7d0600…
05-05 19:11:46	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	3,590	100¢	$3,580	0xb9ffa7…
05-05 14:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	3,543	99¢	$3,500	0xadf6eb…
05-01 14:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1,086	84¢	$915	0xab9320…
05-01 14:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	275	86¢	$236	0x22fe6e…
05-01 14:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xf90111…
05-01 14:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	364	27¢	$100	0xee745e…
05-01 14:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xad0d6d…
05-01 14:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	88	33¢	$29	0x89a1fe…
05-01 14:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	256	30¢	$77	0x5ecada…
05-01 14:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x3e224b…
05-01 14:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	309	32¢	$100	0x07f837…
05-01 14:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	315	32¢	$100	0xd19e2f…
05-01 14:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	236	32¢	$76	0x0f293c…
05-01 14:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x634c5b…
05-01 14:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x5f911f…
05-01 14:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	178	33¢	$58	0x2153f0…
05-01 14:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	75	31¢	$24	0x0740db…
05-01 14:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	331	30¢	$100	0xfca3ca…
05-01 14:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0xd4c8bd…
05-01 14:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	156	31¢	$48	0xc92b43…
05-01 14:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	339	30¢	$100	0x029c8f…
05-01 14:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	187	31¢	$58	0xff940f…
05-01 14:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	342	29¢	$100	0xf714d7…
05-01 14:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	45	31¢	$14	0xec5fea…
05-01 14:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	331	30¢	$100	0x8d4bfd…
05-01 14:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	36	31¢	$11	0x1d8134…
04-28 19:00:58	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0x4181a6…
04-28 14:57:36	Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x68137e…
04-28 14:56:52	XRP Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	1,007	99¢	$1,000	0x5edaae…
04-28 08:11:56	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	1,194	98¢	$1,170	0x9eeec3…
04-27 22:40:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	1,584	97¢	$1,530	0xbb300c…
04-27 22:37:00	Will Hilton (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x4a42d2…
04-27 17:11:38	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	1,645	97¢	$1,600	0x1f2fb3…
04-27 16:24:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	663	100¢	$662	0xf42967…
04-27 09:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 27?	No	BUY	219	96¢	$209	0x86fbf1…
04-26 17:41:50	Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,172	99¢	$1,160	0xdd0c03…
04-26 17:40:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,529	98¢	$1,500	0x20c02a…
04-26 17:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 27?	No	BUY	210	95¢	$200	0xf1b1ce…
04-26 17:20:40	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1,763	100¢	$1,760	0x4086e4…
04-26 17:19:00	Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	506	100¢	$506	0xc39a75…
04-25 10:39:12	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	742	97¢	$720	0xf1dd9f…
04-25 10:38:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 26?	No	BUY	285	98¢	$280	0x07712c…
04-25 10:19:08	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	666	92¢	$613	0x5a464e…
04-25 10:18:14	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,024	98¢	$1,000	0xd2d9b1…
04-24 13:06:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0x21a8fe…
04-24 08:37:40	highest temperature in san francisco on april 24 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	280	95¢	$267	0xc796e9…
04-24 06:00:46	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,316	99¢	$1,300	0xf15f12…
04-24 05:59:38	Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0xf3dadd…
04-23 19:42:26	white house of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 100 119	No	SELL	909	100¢	$908	0xa9e7d5…
04-23 19:42:04	spx opens up or down on april 23 2026	Down	SELL	1,009	100¢	$1,008	0x989c14…
04-23 19:41:06	wti up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	1,197	99¢	$1,187	0x70df4d…
04-23 13:14:24	spx opens up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	1,009	99¢	$1,000	0xab25f0…
04-23 11:21:30	axp quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 3pt99	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x9b8b51…
04-23 10:15:06	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,040	96¢	$1,000	0x1abcd8…
04-22 22:38:54	highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 14c	No	BUY	268	95¢	$255	0xb4feee…
04-22 22:34:34	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	641	94¢	$600	0x01e8b0…
04-22 19:26:06	wti up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	1,011	99¢	$1,000	0x1e7afa…
04-22 18:18:16	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	No	SELL	1,486	100¢	$1,484	0xd3299b…
04-22 13:50:20	bitcoin up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	1,007	99¢	$1,000	0x9fd1eb…
04-22 13:43:36	spx opens up or down on april 22 2026	Up	SELL	1,040	100¢	$1,039	0xa2f9ca…
04-22 12:46:30	spx opens up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	1,042	96¢	$1,000	0x90af2c…
04-22 09:29:32	highest temperature in taipei on april 23 2026 26corbelow	No	BUY	256	98¢	$250	0x222699…
04-22 09:12:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	No	BUY	641	94¢	$600	0xbb8f3c…
04-22 09:08:44	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x87c0a6…
04-22 08:52:36	axp quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 3pt99	Yes	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xbd1ee3…
04-22 08:41:28	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	No	SELL	1,566	100¢	$1,564	0x6b1f1e…
04-21 17:32:22	white house of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 100 119	No	BUY	909	99¢	$900	0x1a8415…
04-21 14:30:14	spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	Up	SELL	530	100¢	$530	0xcd0950…
04-21 13:08:26	spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	Up	BUY	531	94¢	$500	0x642155…
04-21 11:41:28	msci quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 21 2026 4pt44	Yes	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0xcd74b5…
04-21 11:41:18	unh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 21 2026 6pt67	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x768cd7…
04-21 10:05:00	highest temperature in guangzhou on april 22 2026 28c	No	BUY	251	98¢	$245	0xe7a937…
04-21 09:41:14	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	No	BUY	1,487	98¢	$1,464	0x1f2fc2…
04-20 22:35:46	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	No	BUY	533	94¢	$500	0xb07e80…
04-20 22:34:52	white house of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 160 179	No	SELL	1,050	100¢	$1,049	0x7ca382…
04-20 09:31:20	msci quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 21 2026 4pt44	Yes	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xb16e2f…
04-20 09:31:12	unh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 21 2026 6pt67	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x232f6f…
04-20 09:23:28	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	No	BUY	1,036	97¢	$1,000	0x5666f5…
04-20 09:22:00	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	No	SELL	1,018	100¢	$1,017	0xc9400e…
04-19 21:29:28	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	No	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0xdafd15…
04-19 21:26:34	white house of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 140 159	No	SELL	1,534	100¢	$1,532	0xb3010a…
04-18 09:15:26	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	No	BUY	1,019	98¢	$1,000	0xbbcfd9…
04-17 20:31:26	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	No	BUY	1,211	99¢	$1,200	0x141480…
04-17 20:30:22	white house of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 140 159	No	BUY	1,008	99¢	$1,000	0xf23538…
04-17 20:27:32	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 0 39	No	SELL	1,528	100¢	$1,527	0xf733c2…
04-17 13:40:36	spx opens up or down on april 17 2026	Up	SELL	1,688	100¢	$1,686	0x5f7eca…
04-17 12:35:54	spx opens up or down on april 17 2026	Up	BUY	1,690	98¢	$1,651	0xd2d610…
04-17 11:11:42	donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 120 139	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x610250…
04-17 11:08:02	highest temperature in seattle on april 17 2026 52 53f	No	BUY	246	95¢	$233	0xc908a0…
04-16 19:25:22	white house of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 160 179	No	BUY	1,053	95¢	$1,000	0xdb6ebe…
04-16 19:24:06	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 0 39	No	BUY	1,530	98¢	$1,500	0x1f8e69…
04-16 19:13:38	white house of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 160 179	No	SELL	1,019	100¢	$1,018	0x30b366…
04-16 19:13:20	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	No	SELL	529	100¢	$528	0x258f8d…
04-16 08:22:52	highest temperature in singapore on april 17 2026 29c	No	BUY	234	98¢	$229	0x711df7…
04-16 08:07:26	tsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 3pt31	Yes	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x973ba3…
04-15 21:35:42	white house of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 140 159	No	BUY	527	95¢	$500	0x6afd1d…
04-15 21:34:20	white house of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 160 179	No	BUY	1,020	98¢	$1,000	0xe8ed7b…
04-15 18:49:10	white house of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 120 139	No	SELL	1,718	100¢	$1,716	0x97271b…
04-15 18:48:44	white house of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 140 159	No	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0x44836d…