Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$144

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

69.3%

Resolved

3,733

Trades

7,769

lifetime

Volume

$31.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$100

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-12

last 09-18 14:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 57% -$171

Other

2% 35% +$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 847 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No		+100	$17	97¢	$97	+$80	09-15 13:22
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+100	$85	3¢	$3	-$82	09-15 13:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-02 10:20 UTC	127	$309	0	612	-612	Down	-$1	09-02 10:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 03:10 UTC	3	$207	105	105	+0	Down	+$1	08-10 03:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:05 UTC	41	$176	344	0	+344	Down	-$4	08-22 05:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 07:15 UTC	48	$171	331	0	+331	Down	-$6	08-16 07:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 07:25 UTC	33	$168	306	0	+306	Down	-$15	08-16 07:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 00:55 UTC	41	$164	308	0	+308	Up	-$10	08-18 00:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:20 UTC	34	$160	322	0	+322	Down	+$1	08-24 14:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:45 UTC	41	$157	296	0	+296	Up	-$9	08-22 06:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:00 UTC	55	$154	300	0	+300	Up	-$7	08-22 05:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:40 UTC	47	$152	305	0	+305	Down	+$7	08-22 05:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 07:10 UTC	23	$152	278	0	+278	Up	-$13	08-16 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 08:15 UTC	25	$150	231	0	+231	Up	-$34	08-16 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:25 UTC	44	$149	297	0	+297	Down	-$2	08-22 06:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 07:55 UTC	24	$147	245	0	+245	Up	-$28	08-16 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 02:15 UTC	36	$146	291	0	+291	Down	-$4	08-19 02:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 08:05 UTC	41	$145	295	0	+295	Down	+$3	08-17 08:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 02:00 UTC	22	$144	261	0	+261	Down	-$14	08-17 02:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 01:55 UTC	33	$142	282	0	+282	Down	-$1	08-17 01:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 07:05 UTC	24	$139	264	0	+264	Down	-$7	08-16 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 03:50 UTC	31	$136	251	0	+251	Down	+$2	08-23 03:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	33	$133	267	0	+267	Down	+$0	08-18 00:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:45 UTC	36	$131	263	0	+263	Up	+$1	08-22 05:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 00:50 UTC	32	$127	237	0	+237	Down	-$8	08-18 00:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:20 UTC	31	$126	254	0	+254	Up	+$1	08-22 05:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:35 UTC	28	$126	253	0	+253	Up	+$1	08-22 06:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 00:35 UTC	9	$123	66	66	+0	Up	+$3	08-09 00:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:50 UTC	28	$120	217	0	+217	Down	-$13	08-22 05:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	45	$116	0	238	-238	Down	$0	09-02 10:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 03:15 UTC	18	$115	186	27	+159	Down	-$2	08-30 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	47	$114	0	201	-201	Down	-$8	09-02 09:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 14:41:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0x8195be…
09-18 14:41:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x81d8da…
09-17 12:11:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #2 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xeaac33…
09-17 11:57:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #2 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x2306ac…
09-17 05:03:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?	Yes	SELL	34	38¢	$13	0x3869d5…
09-17 04:56:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?	Yes	BUY	34	40¢	$14	0x083c22…
09-17 04:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 17?	Yes	SELL	21	20¢	$4	0x4e940d…
09-17 03:47:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 17?	Yes	SELL	18	19¢	$3	0x7fcc17…
09-17 03:47:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xdaeaad…
09-17 03:47:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	28	21¢	$6	0x9fb38d…
09-17 03:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xf742a2…
09-15 23:11:24	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	33¢	$13	0xb2a671…
09-15 23:04:48	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xdbc40c…
09-15 23:04:45	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	36¢	$17	0xcbb1b8…
09-15 23:04:45	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2888e8…
09-15 23:02:16	Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x8d353e…
09-15 23:02:13	Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0xa032e8…
09-15 23:02:13	Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x51175e…
09-15 21:47:52	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x7f65ec…
09-15 20:17:25	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0xc2e497…
09-15 20:17:22	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x117399…
09-15 18:52:18	Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xc023e5…
09-15 18:52:15	Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x6a64d4…
09-15 17:27:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0x5c7a01…
09-15 17:27:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x6f5ccb…
09-15 14:59:34	Will Scott Bessent give the next White House press briefing?	Yes	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0xef01bd…
09-15 14:58:04	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xb91efc…
09-15 14:53:15	Will Scott Bessent give the next White House press briefing?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x6ecb78…
09-15 14:53:00	Will Scott Bessent give the next White House press briefing?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x4be3e2…
09-15 14:50:22	Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x708bc8…
09-15 14:50:07	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	19	32¢	$6	0x2cfeb6…
09-15 14:49:54	Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0xbf275d…
09-15 14:49:54	Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x7d210d…
09-15 14:49:54	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x5d1fe6…
09-15 14:05:06	Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	70	87¢	$61	0x79064d…
09-15 13:59:49	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xb06e00…
09-15 13:56:40	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	39¢	$16	0xafda43…
09-15 13:54:24	Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xcd35db…
09-15 13:50:21	Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xa73a48…
09-15 13:50:21	Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	99	15¢	$15	0x990885…
09-15 13:32:19	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xfadee5…
09-15 13:32:19	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	No	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0xb5da12…
09-15 13:22:40	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	17¢	$8	0xeae912…
09-15 13:22:40	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	17¢	$9	0xba09db…
09-15 13:15:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	1	60¢	$0	0x2f3ba7…
09-15 13:12:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x229589…
09-15 13:12:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 16?	No	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x57cc62…
09-14 23:20:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 23:20 UTC	Up	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x926343…
09-14 23:16:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 23:15 UTC	Up	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x993608…
09-14 23:05:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 23:05 UTC	Up	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x297c18…
09-14 22:50:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 22:50 UTC	Up	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0xe03b10…
09-14 22:35:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 22:35 UTC	Up	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x5aacc9…
09-14 22:25:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 22:25 UTC	Up	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x41136a…
09-14 21:40:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:40 UTC	Up	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x78d7e9…
09-14 20:10:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 20:10 UTC	Up	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0xa8f810…
09-14 19:35:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 19:35 UTC	Up	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x7b9a91…
09-14 18:00:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 18:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x19eba4…
09-14 17:30:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 17:30 UTC	Up	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x0e59af…
09-14 16:51:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 16:50 UTC	Up	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0xe31d7e…
09-14 15:50:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 15:50 UTC	Up	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0xbf64cf…
09-14 15:40:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x1ef25a…
09-14 15:15:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 15:15 UTC	Up	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x9a32b2…
09-14 13:35:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 13:35 UTC	Up	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x446349…
09-14 12:30:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 12:30 UTC	Up	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0xce6571…
09-14 11:30:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 11:30 UTC	Up	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0x25ad46…
09-14 11:05:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 11:05 UTC	Up	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x9d5a1f…
09-14 10:41:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 10:40 UTC	Up	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x49a68e…
09-14 10:36:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 10:35 UTC	Up	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0xa81a1b…
09-14 10:05:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 10:05 UTC	Up	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0xb4a6f0…
09-14 09:40:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:40 UTC	Up	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0xa7c144…
09-14 09:25:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:25 UTC	Up	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x0b285d…
09-14 08:40:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:40 UTC	Up	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x63f217…
09-14 07:55:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 07:55 UTC	Up	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xd2f99d…
09-14 07:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xae2311…
09-14 07:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x0f9d1b…
09-14 06:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x576d15…
09-14 06:45:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 06:45 UTC	Up	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xc7fcd8…
09-14 06:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xfe13c1…
09-14 04:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0xda5a87…
09-14 04:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x5eebca…
09-14 04:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xfe9765…
09-14 04:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x2e4455…
09-14 03:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0xcaefc5…
09-14 03:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x5d6731…
09-13 23:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xb2a02e…
09-13 23:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x2d4223…
09-13 22:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x6a395d…
09-13 22:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x243fa9…
09-13 22:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x18de2d…
09-13 21:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xa8317b…
09-13 21:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x8a2223…
09-13 21:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x89c7bb…
09-13 21:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0xadf81d…
09-13 20:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xf3a6c0…
09-13 19:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x46394f…
09-13 18:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x26030f…
09-13 18:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x1e05d8…
09-13 18:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0x82e585…
09-13 18:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xce8a0c…
09-13 18:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xf26584…