Rubbery-Telescreen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$756

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

53.6%

Resolved

127

Trades

200

lifetime

Volume

$8.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-01

last 10-22 10:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 45% -$552

Other

6% 21% -$191

Sports

0% 25% -$4

Politics

0% 0% -$8

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No		-4	-$4	93¢	$-4	$0	06-27 20:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:05 UTC	6	$945	2,050	2,050	+0	Down	+$545	09-27 20:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:30 UTC	2	$682	612	612	+0	Down	+$482	09-27 20:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:40 UTC	2	$561	526	526	+0	Up	+$361	09-27 20:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:35 UTC	2	$454	594	594	+0	Down	+$254	09-27 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:55 UTC	4	$344	1,347	0	+1,347	Down	-$344	09-27 21:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:20 UTC	5	$300	4,087	0	+4,087	Down	-$300	09-27 20:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:35 UTC	4	$300	3,487	0	+3,487	Down	-$300	09-27 21:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:25 UTC	4	$270	2,393	0	+2,393	Down	-$270	09-27 20:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:05 UTC	2	$230	476	476	+0	Down	+$30	09-27 21:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:50 UTC	3	$207	690	690	+0	Up	-$193	09-27 21:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:00 UTC	2	$200	1,230	0	+1,230	Up	-$200	09-27 21:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:25 UTC	2	$200	769	0	+769	Down	+$569	09-27 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:15 UTC	3	$200	4,947	0	+4,947	Down	-$200	09-27 20:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:20 UTC	2	$200	1,203	0	+1,203	Down	-$200	09-27 21:22
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$200	901	0	+901	No	-$200	03-01 13:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:40 UTC	2	$196	559	559	+0	Up	-$4	09-27 21:43
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	3	$171	508	508	+0	No	+$61	03-09 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:55 UTC	3	$164	449	65	+385	Down	-$84	09-27 20:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:45 UTC	3	$128	1,637	1,016	+621	Down	-$82	09-27 20:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:10 UTC	2	$124	1,633	0	+1,633	Up	-$124	09-27 20:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:30 UTC	2	$106	526	526	+0	Down	-$94	09-27 21:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:45 UTC	2	$105	2,091	0	+2,091	Up	-$105	09-27 21:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:15 UTC	1	$100	457	0	+457	Up	-$100	09-27 21:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 19:50 UTC	1	$100	556	0	+556	Down	-$100	09-27 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$100	706	0	+706	Down	-$100	09-27 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$68	81	81	+0	Up	+$18	10-04 13:12
us strikes iraq by march 7	2	$66	49	49	+0	Yes	$0	03-06 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$64	50	50	+0	Down	+$14	10-03 23:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:50 UTC	2	$61	90	90	+0	Down	+$11	10-04 12:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 21:05 UTC	2	$59	38	38	+0	Up	+$11	06-27 21:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 10:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xeb02d5…
10-22 10:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x357f57…
10-22 09:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xfeab8a…
10-22 09:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x70ffd6…
10-22 09:26:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-22 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x9e13da…
10-22 09:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0xecef21…
10-21 16:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xbd1770…
10-21 16:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x796be6…
10-15 01:14:43	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5e7628…
10-15 01:12:53	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x64276f…
10-06 19:14:08	Will England vs. Czechia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x7eb389…
10-05 04:51:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xd901c4…
10-05 04:50:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x261564…
10-05 04:42:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd51b50…
10-05 04:40:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x0c6592…
10-05 04:25:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x7ff28e…
10-04 13:56:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xb1de14…
10-04 13:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x25f917…
10-04 13:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	81	53¢	$43	0x01934f…
10-04 13:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xca1ea5…
10-04 13:00:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x028e9f…
10-04 12:51:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:50 UTC	Down	SELL	90	40¢	$36	0x77b787…
10-04 12:50:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	90	28¢	$25	0xa536dc…
10-04 02:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xa5f211…
10-04 02:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x1e4a85…
10-04 02:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	40	81¢	$32	0x1fc975…
10-04 02:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x40dfda…
10-04 01:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x977721…
10-04 01:42:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	101	25¢	$25	0x4b5a47…
10-04 01:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x0cc770…
10-04 01:21:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x9b61b6…
10-04 00:55:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xab3981…
10-04 00:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	35	73¢	$26	0xa31cb6…
10-04 00:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xd736e2…
10-04 00:27:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xa26423…
10-04 00:10:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0xf096d0…
10-03 23:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	29	93¢	$27	0x8579f3…
10-03 23:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x67a461…
10-03 23:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	34	75¢	$25	0xb854b8…
10-03 23:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0xd7d671…
10-03 23:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x5f3818…
10-03 23:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	45	61¢	$28	0x63974a…
10-03 23:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x5dd640…
10-03 23:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	35	93¢	$33	0xcf7755…
10-03 23:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x3f3b5e…
10-03 23:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x44459e…
09-27 21:56:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	366	27¢	$100	0x87c59f…
09-27 21:56:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	176	25¢	$44	0xbacd5e…
09-27 21:56:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	416	24¢	$100	0x1df1f1…
09-27 21:56:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	389	26¢	$100	0x50d0f2…
09-27 21:54:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:50 UTC	Down	SELL	690	1¢	$7	0x270956…
09-27 21:52:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	440	23¢	$100	0x9c4d57…
09-27 21:51:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x7e35f1…
09-27 21:48:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x87258c…
09-27 21:46:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1,591	6¢	$100	0xc3ff40…
09-27 21:43:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:40 UTC	Down	SELL	559	17¢	$96	0x1cd38b…
09-27 21:42:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	559	18¢	$100	0xedfe7b…
09-27 21:36:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1,152	4¢	$51	0xaab896…
09-27 21:36:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	679	7¢	$49	0x9eaa78…
09-27 21:36:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1,066	9¢	$100	0x985ff0…
09-27 21:36:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	590	17¢	$100	0x1ddd38…
09-27 21:33:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	526	1¢	$6	0x8002b0…
09-27 21:33:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x20075d…
09-27 21:25:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	382	26¢	$100	0x3fa0ed…
09-27 21:25:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	388	26¢	$100	0x9d0448…
09-27 21:22:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0x6ca561…
09-27 21:21:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x8487e6…
09-27 21:15:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	457	22¢	$100	0xabca73…
09-27 21:13:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	400	6¢	$24	0xacde8e…
09-27 21:08:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:05 UTC	Up	SELL	476	27¢	$130	0x7c8ae7…
09-27 21:05:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x7c3f60…
09-27 21:02:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	702	14¢	$100	0xddf251…
09-27 21:01:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	528	19¢	$100	0x6412b4…
09-27 20:58:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x547f52…
09-27 20:56:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:55 UTC	Up	SELL	65	61¢	$40	0xa0c390…
09-27 20:55:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	65	37¢	$24	0xd0625b…
09-27 20:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	606	14¢	$83	0xbc7aa8…
09-27 20:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x317a0d…
09-27 20:48:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x87ccd7…
09-27 20:47:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1,016	2¢	$23	0xdd443c…
09-27 20:47:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1,137	9¢	$100	0x12e34e…
09-27 20:43:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:40 UTC	Up	SELL	526	88¢	$461	0x1b3174…
09-27 20:41:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x76a146…
09-27 20:39:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:35 UTC	Up	SELL	594	60¢	$354	0x879103…
09-27 20:37:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	594	17¢	$100	0x2a54df…
09-27 20:33:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	612	95¢	$582	0x4180b0…
09-27 20:31:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	612	16¢	$100	0x8457c5…
09-27 20:28:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	196	6¢	$12	0x73eacc…
09-27 20:28:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1,684	5¢	$88	0x0d29cd…
09-27 20:27:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	269	26¢	$70	0x89f0ee…
09-27 20:25:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x345890…
09-27 20:21:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	990	3¢	$31	0x315768…
09-27 20:21:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1,358	5¢	$69	0x507b3c…
09-27 20:21:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1,123	8¢	$93	0xb8dd86…
09-27 20:21:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	74	10¢	$7	0x83e25a…
09-27 20:20:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	541	18¢	$100	0xe97aa0…
09-27 20:18:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	894	5¢	$49	0x83a91e…
09-27 20:18:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2,626	2¢	$51	0x2fc906…
09-27 20:18:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1,427	7¢	$100	0xde2a24…
09-27 20:13:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	800	3¢	$24	0xb1fbf1…