Popular-Decision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

111

Trades

243

lifetime

Volume

$1.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 08-31 03:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

95% 58% -$8

Politics

4% 60% -$19

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-20 01:36
will trust me the false prophet be the top global netflix show this week 453	2	$30	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	04-21 22:08
Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 11:04
Les Wexner charged by June 30?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-25 12:45
Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-01 01:39
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 30?	2	$18	36	0	+36	No	$0	05-29 15:14
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 6?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	06-05 17:34
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or higher on May 5?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-05 03:23
highest temperature in busan on april 21 2026 19c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-21 03:10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 3?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-03 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-28 00:39
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or higher on June 20?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	06-19 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 26?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-26 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on May 15?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-14 13:16
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 15?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-15 06:45
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 2?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-02 05:19
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 25?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	06-24 16:09
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on April 29?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-29 11:25
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 23?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-23 00:54
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on May 6?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 00:29
highest temperature in taipei on april 22 2026 34c	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-21 13:48
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 6?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-05 23:51
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on June 12?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-11 22:19
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 29?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-28 19:18
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on May 4?	3	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-03 23:23
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on June 7?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-06 16:00
highest temperature in chengdu on april 21 2026 17c	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-20 14:01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 2?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-02 04:53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 8?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	06-07 17:18
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 2?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	06-02 08:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 03:55:55	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 300m and 350m by August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a344b…
08-31 02:26:55	Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49f7e5…
07-01 01:39:31	Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa4177c…
06-29 12:33:11	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf15dee…
06-29 12:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x05dd4b…
06-29 02:37:44	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe1214e…
06-29 00:04:31	Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbf4827…
06-28 10:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x0dd736…
06-28 09:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 28?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7010aa…
06-27 19:52:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7ede32…
06-27 15:47:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xa47f5a…
06-27 14:51:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xaa8a81…
06-27 14:12:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 28?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xf0f702…
06-26 19:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x257d87…
06-25 23:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4d0fab…
06-25 22:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x797c5b…
06-25 12:45:44	Les Wexner charged by June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x20d939…
06-24 16:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xc62265…
06-24 16:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xdcbf89…
06-24 14:52:17	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 25?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5ed589…
06-24 02:24:47	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x00ccac…
06-24 00:35:49	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 24?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xcec0d3…
06-23 00:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xe4de07…
06-22 12:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 23?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x754054…
06-21 01:52:04	Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xd46cda…
06-21 00:21:19	Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xb38f23…
06-21 00:21:05	Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xaf1886…
06-20 17:44:04	Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on June 21?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xc0abe4…
06-20 17:34:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on June 21?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x79f3ae…
06-20 01:36:20	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x475782…
06-19 15:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or higher on June 20?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x766524…
06-19 12:04:59	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or higher on June 20?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8c325b…
06-17 16:16:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x211d6b…
06-17 16:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 18?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xfe6146…
06-16 04:44:00	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x2bea88…
06-16 04:43:57	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x775d52…
06-16 04:31:18	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 16?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xbfb757…
06-15 06:07:00	Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xf0fe6f…
06-14 08:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x30c996…
06-14 08:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x4c32e4…
06-14 08:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 14?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xa57717…
06-13 08:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x7caccd…
06-13 08:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xfbebcb…
06-12 11:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x2db3ac…
06-12 11:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 12?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x9e41b7…
06-11 22:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on June 12?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x0b8cf9…
06-11 22:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on June 12?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x654d28…
06-11 12:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on June 12?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa9f66f…
06-10 14:35:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 11?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x8363db…
06-10 14:35:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 11?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x8d78b6…
06-10 14:19:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 11?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfe5c38…
06-08 23:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xa0057e…
06-08 22:53:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x8a5cc6…
06-08 04:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 8?	No	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x668443…
06-08 04:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xc99ac5…
06-07 17:18:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xa3821f…
06-07 12:03:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 8?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x5b36b9…
06-06 16:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa569a6…
06-06 16:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2d1ebb…
06-06 15:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x6fe2e1…
06-06 14:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on June 7?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc44fd8…
06-05 17:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xc19329…
06-05 15:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 6?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf51ec7…
06-05 04:35:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xb4b8b6…
06-05 04:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 5?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x8cced6…
06-04 07:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x61772c…
06-04 07:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 4?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xe173a9…
06-03 00:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xd1d9ec…
06-02 20:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 3?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x47fc86…
06-02 08:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x8adebc…
06-02 07:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 2?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x44be63…
06-01 19:05:21	Will Zachariah Wooden advance from the CA-07 primary election?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x307db4…
06-01 08:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 1?	No	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x81b33c…
06-01 08:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x351213…
06-01 05:48:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xb5f962…
06-01 04:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x31a0a4…
05-31 16:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4a613e…
05-31 16:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x48769e…
05-31 08:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 31?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xd5b08f…
05-31 01:08:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x402657…
05-30 14:30:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xf340ec…
05-30 03:29:18	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x63a83c…
05-30 03:28:07	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on May 30?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x0f0d4d…
05-29 15:14:41	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x43a4fe…
05-29 07:36:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 30?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xd35b0c…
05-28 19:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xa7413d…
05-28 19:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x2d55aa…
05-28 19:14:50	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb42728…
05-28 18:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2aedf3…
05-28 17:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 29?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xf67d15…
05-28 11:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 28?	No	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x87318a…
05-28 11:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x79d4df…
05-28 00:39:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xb1f52f…
05-27 13:53:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 28?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1965fc…
05-27 05:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7dc284…
05-27 05:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xef2ef5…
05-27 05:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x44f876…
05-27 04:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 27?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x0c431d…
05-27 00:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x6d22d9…
05-27 00:32:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3c62e5…