Firsthand-Stretch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$185

Unrealized P&L

-$105

Hit rate

52.8%

Resolved

1,516

Trades

17,085

lifetime

Volume

$158.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$19

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-29 02:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

51% 46% -$4,457

Sports

43% 50% +$2,620

Crypto

5% 35% +$2,042

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 169 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	No	+100	$56	13¢	$13	-$43	10-21 11:24
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	+400	$28	1¢	$4	-$24	10-27 06:20
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	+295	$41	1¢	$2	-$39	10-26 14:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb txtech arz 2026 02 14	426	$4.3K	4,564	4,534	+30	Texas Tech Red Raiders	-$3	02-15 02:02
cbb tx missr 2026 02 14	318	$3.0K	3,171	3,098	+72	Texas Longhorns	+$3	02-15 04:04
cbb ohiost vir 2026 02 14	213	$2.5K	2,706	2,646	+60	Virginia Cavaliers	-$44	02-15 03:16
nba mil okc 2026 02 12	207	$2.3K	2,357	2,357	+0	Bucks	+$10	02-13 02:17
nba mia gsw 2026 01 19	120	$2.1K	513	3,452	-2,939	Warriors	-$223	01-20 02:54
nba nop cha 2026 02 02	399	$2.0K	2,036	1,965	+70	Hornets	-$14	02-02 22:25
nba por uta 2026 02 12	118	$1.7K	1,678	1,618	+60	Trail Blazers	-$52	02-13 04:19
nba sas gsw 2026 02 11	185	$1.7K	1,732	1,711	+21	Spurs	+$12	02-12 05:28
cbb wvir ucf 2026 02 14	184	$1.7K	1,979	1,896	+83	West Virginia Mountaineers	-$89	02-15 01:26
nba det cha 2026 02 09	208	$1.6K	1,630	1,604	+25	Pistons	+$51	02-09 17:08
nba atl cha 2026 02 11	185	$1.5K	1,483	1,463	+20	Hornets	+$9	02-12 02:21
cbb nevada sdst 2026 02 14	195	$1.3K	1,483	1,423	+60	San Diego State Aztecs	-$7	02-15 04:52
Will Solana reach $140 in September?	14	$1.3K	1,268	100	+1,168	No	+$92	09-27 11:07
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 BMW Championship?	15	$1.2K	700	600	+100	No	+$6	08-20 20:02
Will Billy Horschel win the 2026 Wyndham Championship?	12	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$11	08-08 19:27
nba mem por 2026 02 07	162	$1.2K	1,250	1,190	+60	Trail Blazers	+$4	02-08 01:17
cbb aubrn ark 2026 02 14	137	$1.2K	1,343	1,355	-12	Arkansas Razorbacks	-$17	02-15 03:30
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings	40	$1.1K	1,835	0	+1,835	Gujarat Titans	-$1,138	04-30 13:42
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	23	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Clube do Remo	-$21	10-22 09:29
nhl fla pit 2026 04 05	59	$1.0K	1,516	73	+1,443	Penguins	+$492	04-05 00:26
cbb utah cin 2026 02 15	151	$1.0K	1,161	1,101	+60	Cincinnati Bearcats	-$16	02-15 19:02
Will Marta Kostyuk be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	14	$1.0K	1,275	0	+1,275	No	+$255	07-08 14:15
Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Wyndham Championship?	10	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$2	08-08 18:55
nba det tor 2026 02 11	120	$985	998	968	+30	Pistons	+$2	02-12 02:21
Will Jackson Koivun win the 2026 Biltmore Championship Asheville?	11	$979	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$21	09-19 12:58
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?	10	$952	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$48	08-14 13:52
Will Solana reach $130 in August?	10	$951	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$49	08-28 02:22
atp hanfman borges 2026 08 06	31	$949	1,300	1,197	+103	Nuno Borges	-$39	08-06 08:57
nba bos det 2026 01 19	108	$943	424	1,470	-1,046	Pistons	-$43	01-20 00:27
nba por min 2026 02 11	134	$913	1,034	973	+61	Timberwolves	+$5	02-12 01:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 02:18:56	Will XRP reach $1.60 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x5b9c5a…
10-29 01:54:26	Will XRP reach $1.60 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xd008e6…
10-29 01:54:25	Will XRP reach $1.60 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xfef94c…
10-28 23:40:50	Will Nashville SC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x5d6f13…
10-28 23:40:32	Nashville SC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x79e0eb…
10-28 20:02:47	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Lakers	SELL	39	49¢	$19	0x8eb76a…
10-28 20:02:34	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Lakers	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x7968ed…
10-28 20:01:55	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Lakers	BUY	59	49¢	$29	0x479981…
10-28 17:44:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x6d62f2…
10-28 17:36:40	Spread: 76ers (-5.5)	Pacers	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x4611eb…
10-28 17:34:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xc889f3…
10-28 14:28:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x6f6f48…
10-28 14:28:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x5acda2…
10-28 14:28:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x9bd2ff…
10-28 12:44:56	Spread: Pistons (-7.5)	Hornets	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xaf80da…
10-28 12:44:52	Spread: Pistons (-7.5)	Hornets	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x4cc8e3…
10-27 23:53:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	60	4¢	$3	0xb3011d…
10-27 21:09:47	Will XRP reach $1.80 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x2f122f…
10-27 19:18:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x2d39c3…
10-27 19:18:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x0f48ac…
10-27 18:54:00	atp mensik mannari 2026 10 28	Jakub Mensik	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf7fe99…
10-27 12:50:50	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5	Over	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x35e0db…
10-27 12:30:08	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5	Over	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xc7da4f…
10-27 11:09:45	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Lakers	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xb97bc0…
10-27 06:20:18	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xe8c693…
10-26 21:43:15	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5	Under	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xafa622…
10-26 21:42:45	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x40c267…
10-26 18:19:24	Spread: Pacers (-4.5)	Pacers	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xa687df…
10-26 18:17:48	Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	Thunder	BUY	77	48¢	$37	0x1535d2…
10-26 17:04:56	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0x3a2a72…
10-26 17:04:53	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x0851f1…
10-26 14:24:41	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	95	3¢	$3	0x1cdf01…
10-26 12:13:27	Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5	Under	SELL	27	44¢	$12	0xe69b61…
10-26 12:13:26	Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5	Under	SELL	25	44¢	$11	0x085608…
10-26 12:13:24	Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5	Under	SELL	12	44¢	$5	0xaeece2…
10-26 12:13:24	Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5	Under	SELL	36	44¢	$16	0x556307…
10-26 12:13:23	Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5	Under	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x406121…
10-26 11:11:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0xb04b3c…
10-25 19:07:15	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xe6b79d…
10-25 19:07:12	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x30f030…
10-25 19:07:11	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xe01d9e…
10-25 17:21:20	Spread: Pacers (-7.5)	Pacers	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xd394a4…
10-25 17:21:17	Spread: Pacers (-7.5)	Pacers	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x6e2891…
10-25 17:21:15	Spread: Pacers (-7.5)	Pacers	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x6783b4…
10-25 17:21:12	Spread: Pacers (-7.5)	Pacers	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x4ea523…
10-25 17:21:09	Spread: Pacers (-7.5)	Pacers	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xd924f1…
10-25 15:26:18	Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)	Grizzlies	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0x2fe760…
10-25 15:03:11	Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x4ecda8…
10-25 12:29:14	Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5	Under	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x0ce9a4…
10-25 08:30:06	Hawks vs. Rockets	Hawks	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x44a087…
10-25 07:07:56	Will XRP reach $1.60 in October?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x81b390…
10-25 07:06:27	Will XRP reach $2.20 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x1c4e24…
10-25 07:03:30	Will XRP reach $1.60 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x5fd160…
10-25 03:57:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe9d6d7…
10-25 02:44:27	Hawks vs. Rockets	Hawks	BUY	69	32¢	$22	0xf68451…
10-24 17:37:11	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x82cf0b…
10-24 15:06:42	Bucks vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5	Under	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xcb0ff2…
10-24 15:06:38	Bucks vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5	Under	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x7b52ec…
10-24 14:30:12	Will XRP reach $1.80 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x5e14e3…
10-24 13:05:30	Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 223.5	Under	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xfaf470…
10-24 05:43:45	Spread: Suns (-6.5)	Warriors	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xea10e7…
10-24 05:08:39	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	35	62¢	$22	0x5f7426…
10-23 20:10:45	Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5	Under	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xe20156…
10-22 09:29:21	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	Clube do Remo	SELL	82	52¢	$43	0x52cf4c…
10-22 09:29:20	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	Clube do Remo	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0x5c45f5…
10-22 09:29:20	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	Clube do Remo	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x15e85e…
10-22 08:35:30	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	Clube do Remo	SELL	898	52¢	$467	0x7914af…
10-22 02:14:23	Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x8fc86b…
10-22 02:10:39	Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xac741e…
10-22 02:10:36	Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x682b01…
10-22 02:10:33	Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xc2879a…
10-22 02:10:30	Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xe48f2b…
10-21 22:10:15	Spread: Clippers (-5.5)	Clippers	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xdb0d03…
10-21 11:24:50	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xd2fbee…
10-20 08:04:59	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)	Clube do Remo	SELL	24	73¢	$17	0x176cd7…
10-20 08:04:55	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)	Clube do Remo	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xf8931a…
10-20 08:04:55	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)	Clube do Remo	SELL	27	73¢	$20	0x6968cb…
10-20 08:04:53	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)	Clube do Remo	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0xa1b8d0…
10-20 08:04:53	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)	Clube do Remo	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x8ed077…
10-20 08:04:52	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)	Clube do Remo	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xa21f99…
10-20 08:04:52	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)	Clube do Remo	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x820813…
10-20 08:04:23	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)	Clube do Remo	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x65da96…
10-20 00:25:39	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)	Clube do Remo	BUY	42	76¢	$32	0x378424…
10-19 18:23:45	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)	Clube do Remo	BUY	42	76¢	$32	0xaf8afa…
10-19 00:59:30	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	Clube do Remo	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x37511f…
10-19 00:59:29	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	Clube do Remo	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0xf00e1a…
10-19 00:59:26	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	Clube do Remo	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0xe7ef67…
10-19 00:59:24	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	Clube do Remo	BUY	27	54¢	$15	0x1cf78c…
10-19 00:59:23	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	Clube do Remo	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0xeebc3e…
10-19 00:59:14	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	Clube do Remo	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x0cbe83…
10-19 00:59:03	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	Clube do Remo	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x6ea505…
10-19 00:58:54	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	Clube do Remo	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x1e356a…
10-19 00:58:51	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	Clube do Remo	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x6ed4ac…
10-19 00:58:50	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	Clube do Remo	BUY	23	55¢	$13	0xfccd7f…
10-19 00:58:48	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	Clube do Remo	BUY	78	55¢	$43	0x0afbbf…
10-19 00:58:47	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	Clube do Remo	BUY	89	54¢	$48	0xd67d7f…
10-19 00:58:36	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	Clube do Remo	BUY	52	54¢	$28	0x2bd98a…
10-19 00:58:35	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	Clube do Remo	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x6cda57…
10-19 00:58:33	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	Clube do Remo	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x16df5d…
10-19 00:58:32	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	Clube do Remo	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xa49edc…