Naive-Cone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$963

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

43.3%

Resolved

189

Trades

1,903

lifetime

Volume

$48.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$272

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-29 15:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

94% 27% -$566

Sports

6% 21% +$1,529

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 172 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes		+4,086	$269	7¢	$272	+$3	10-29 15:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	46	$3.9K	9,266	4,266	+5,000	Invictus Gaming	+$651	10-29 00:13
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner	28	$3.6K	6,000	6,000	+0	Team Vitality	-$136	10-05 08:00
lol tesc ctbca 2026 06 11 game1	67	$3.5K	15,551	3,589	+11,963	Top Esports Challenger	+$492	06-11 10:31
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	28	$2.8K	31,138	10,667	+20,471	Shopify Rebellion	-$72	10-07 10:00
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner	32	$2.3K	13,000	9,780	+3,220	Natus Vincere	+$2,006	10-06 07:50
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	20	$1.9K	7,547	7,547	+0	Team WE	+$533	10-04 13:22
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	49	$1.8K	17,268	1,129	+16,139	JD Gaming	-$1,048	05-17 11:45
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	36	$1.8K	8,405	2,464	+5,941	Kiwoom DRX	+$542	05-17 13:40
lol gz dcg 2026 02 15 game2	5	$1.4K	0	2,100	-2,100	Ground Zero Gaming	-$730	02-15 07:51
LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	41	$1.3K	9,167	3,563	+5,604	BNK FEARX	$0	10-04 09:14
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?	2	$1.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$0	06-12 02:01
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	12	$850	5,000	5,000	+0	Dplus KIA	+$50	10-25 19:54
lal esp cel 2026 02 14 esp	10	$839	999	999	+0	No	+$699	02-14 14:47
LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	8	$773	11,000	1,000	+10,000	JD Gaming	-$53	10-08 13:17
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	12	$664	7,008	7,008	+0	HANJIN BRION	-$26	10-06 09:23
lol hrts fsk 2026 06 11	1	$620	2,000	0	+2,000	Team Heretics Academy	-$620	06-11 14:20
lol ewi hmble 2026 06 11	12	$620	2,000	0	+2,000	E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS	-$620	06-11 16:20
lol gz dcg 2026 02 15 game4	13	$568	11,299	12,198	-899	Deep Cross Gaming	-$324	02-15 09:38
LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	3	$517	2,038	2,038	+0	FlyQuest	-$256	10-08 09:49
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	13	$505	10,115	1,131	+8,984	KT Rolster	+$114	05-17 10:17
cs2 mouz prv 2026 02 14	11	$400	1,000	0	+1,000	MOUZ	-$400	02-14 12:54
lol gz dcg 2026 02 15	42	$392	6,269	1,038	+5,231	Deep Cross Gaming	-$35	02-15 09:36
lol blgj ktc 2026 06 11 game2	12	$371	65,000	982	+64,018	KT Rolster Challengers	-$369	06-11 13:51
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	1	$370	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$630	06-12 02:02
Nets vs. Celtics	6	$364	6,000	651	+5,349	Celtics	+$334	10-28 02:27
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia?	7	$354	2,000	200	+1,800	Yes	+$1,754	06-12 03:43
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	17	$344	19,164	8,824	+10,339	FlyQuest	+$13	10-07 12:22
LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	36	$319	5,481	3,066	+2,414	Team Vitality	-$12	10-06 11:01
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner	21	$310	12,000	0	+12,000	Team Vitality	-$310	10-05 07:39
lol me1 ewi 2026 06 10	61	$281	11,005	0	+11,005	Misa Esports	-$281	06-10 16:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:18:25	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xf8e2dd…
10-29 15:18:25	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	425	4¢	$18	0x8e1726…
10-29 13:41:37	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$69	0x70ef11…
10-29 12:37:46	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	272	7¢	$19	0x85b327…
10-29 04:09:38	Maple Leafs vs. Kraken	Maple Leafs	BUY	219	8¢	$18	0xbea0a2…
10-29 04:09:35	Maple Leafs vs. Kraken	Maple Leafs	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x568aeb…
10-29 04:09:31	Maple Leafs vs. Kraken	Maple Leafs	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xf7407a…
10-29 04:09:28	Maple Leafs vs. Kraken	Maple Leafs	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xa48764…
10-29 04:09:28	Maple Leafs vs. Kraken	Maple Leafs	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x11d242…
10-29 04:09:26	Maple Leafs vs. Kraken	Maple Leafs	BUY	49	8¢	$4	0xe09f00…
10-29 04:09:26	Maple Leafs vs. Kraken	Maple Leafs	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xa657b7…
10-29 04:09:26	Maple Leafs vs. Kraken	Maple Leafs	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x40a136…
10-29 04:09:26	Maple Leafs vs. Kraken	Maple Leafs	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x3d132e…
10-29 03:32:38	Spurs vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0xf4c977…
10-29 03:27:08	Devils vs. Avalanche	Devils	BUY	711	1¢	$7	0x1f257f…
10-29 03:26:29	Devils vs. Avalanche	Devils	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe5fbe9…
10-29 03:26:28	Devils vs. Avalanche	Devils	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x73f68b…
10-29 03:26:28	Devils vs. Avalanche	Devils	BUY	282	1¢	$3	0x288cfb…
10-29 03:26:10	Devils vs. Avalanche	Devils	BUY	880	2¢	$18	0x82f51d…
10-29 03:26:04	Devils vs. Avalanche	Devils	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xfd4e4a…
10-29 03:26:04	Devils vs. Avalanche	Devils	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xeed957…
10-29 03:18:40	Devils vs. Avalanche	Devils	BUY	417	5¢	$21	0x2af717…
10-29 03:14:02	Devils vs. Avalanche	Devils	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x144850…
10-29 03:11:22	Devils vs. Avalanche	Devils	BUY	70	5¢	$4	0xb9791f…
10-29 03:10:25	Devils vs. Avalanche	Devils	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf785f8…
10-29 03:09:01	Devils vs. Avalanche	Devils	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xe811d6…
10-29 03:07:14	Devils vs. Avalanche	Devils	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xe9a657…
10-29 03:07:14	Devils vs. Avalanche	Devils	BUY	130	8¢	$10	0x810c5c…
10-29 03:07:10	Devils vs. Avalanche	Devils	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x38da7c…
10-29 03:07:08	Devils vs. Avalanche	Devils	BUY	140	8¢	$11	0x7c8102…
10-29 03:07:05	Devils vs. Avalanche	Devils	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd53d89…
10-29 03:06:23	Devils vs. Avalanche	Devils	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xd14159…
10-29 03:06:23	Devils vs. Avalanche	Devils	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x44d36f…
10-29 02:56:41	Flames vs. Oilers	Flames	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xd13659…
10-29 02:42:26	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	1,991	0¢	$2	0x620083…
10-29 02:42:26	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x3df3e9…
10-29 02:40:31	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xfec449…
10-29 02:38:22	Flames vs. Oilers	Flames	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x3a5134…
10-29 02:38:17	Flames vs. Oilers	Flames	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x55db76…
10-29 02:38:16	Flames vs. Oilers	Flames	BUY	674	2¢	$13	0xe98a0d…
10-29 02:38:16	Flames vs. Oilers	Flames	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0x8e89c4…
10-29 02:38:10	Flames vs. Oilers	Flames	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x96d063…
10-29 02:37:26	Flames vs. Oilers	Flames	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x43c05e…
10-29 02:37:01	Flames vs. Oilers	Flames	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xc68dca…
10-29 02:37:01	Flames vs. Oilers	Flames	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x26cf9a…
10-29 02:36:59	Flames vs. Oilers	Flames	BUY	497	5¢	$25	0x11cc71…
10-29 02:35:35	Flames vs. Oilers	Flames	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x3e9915…
10-29 02:35:28	Knicks vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x2d6f88…
10-29 02:33:47	Knicks vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0x270630…
10-29 02:28:44	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0x444329…
10-29 02:15:17	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	285	1¢	$3	0x39dd5a…
10-29 02:15:11	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	1,215	1¢	$12	0xb5b58a…
10-29 02:05:46	Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x60035a…
10-29 01:59:52	Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8c841d…
10-29 01:59:32	Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	BUY	291	1¢	$3	0x9a849a…
10-29 01:57:26	Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x219a21…
10-29 01:57:25	Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xbc2a78…
10-29 01:57:25	Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0x167ff4…
10-29 01:57:01	Flames vs. Oilers	Flames	BUY	300	8¢	$24	0x099403…
10-29 01:56:17	76ers vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x83286d…
10-29 01:51:47	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	7¢	$4	0x1fd4af…
10-29 01:47:35	76ers vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd2a2ca…
10-29 01:46:44	Rockets vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0x7731e8…
10-29 01:32:11	Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	BUY	90	5¢	$4	0xbfe373…
10-29 01:32:11	Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	BUY	121	5¢	$6	0x954ce8…
10-29 01:32:11	Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0x18a91f…
10-29 01:28:28	Hornets vs. Pistons	Hornets	BUY	1,011	1¢	$10	0xc23eda…
10-29 01:28:28	Magic vs. Raptors	Magic	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0x743436…
10-29 01:28:25	Hornets vs. Pistons	Hornets	BUY	489	1¢	$5	0x48ab35…
10-29 01:27:41	Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x18c489…
10-29 01:21:05	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	156	1¢	$2	0xbf010a…
10-29 01:20:58	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0x5725f5…
10-29 01:20:52	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	769	1¢	$8	0x01899d…
10-29 01:20:47	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	539	1¢	$5	0x77dada…
10-29 01:16:07	Heat vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0xa1e5d1…
10-29 01:12:43	Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe6b668…
10-29 01:11:34	Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	BUY	90	5¢	$4	0x905665…
10-29 01:11:34	Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	BUY	117	5¢	$6	0x86c38b…
10-29 01:11:34	Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0a6ffe…
10-29 01:11:32	Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0xe3cf08…
10-29 01:09:50	Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa846fc…
10-29 01:09:22	Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xf2267e…
10-29 01:07:25	Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	BUY	112	8¢	$9	0x654878…
10-29 01:07:22	Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	BUY	107	8¢	$9	0x9a63af…
10-29 01:06:14	Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x446a2d…
10-29 01:06:05	Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xf2336a…
10-29 01:06:05	Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xc374c9…
10-29 01:06:04	Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe174a4…
10-29 01:06:04	Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5127d7…
10-29 00:58:32	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	447	7¢	$32	0x5c55fd…
10-29 00:58:31	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	7¢	$4	0x67fa34…
10-29 00:13:52	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	SELL	1,500	99¢	$1,485	0xd6226b…
10-29 00:13:52	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	5,000	1¢	$50	0xd6226b…
10-29 00:07:59	Exact Score: FC Dallas 2 - 3 Columbus Crew?	Yes	BUY	66	4¢	$2	0x4ad171…
10-29 00:04:16	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	7¢	$2	0xeb73b4…
10-29 00:02:11	Exact Score: FC Dallas 2 - 3 Columbus Crew?	Yes	BUY	932	3¢	$33	0x3e45ed…
10-29 00:01:22	Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 3 - 2 Orlando City SC?	Yes	BUY	130	6¢	$7	0x2b4d59…
10-29 00:01:20	Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 3 - 2 Orlando City SC?	Yes	BUY	870	6¢	$50	0x37407d…
10-28 23:30:32	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	855	7¢	$56	0x462015…
10-28 23:30:16	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	7¢	$5	0x0c077a…