Cheery-Swan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.02K

Unrealized P&L

+$137

Hit rate

79.7%

Resolved

1,054

Trades

2,333

lifetime

Volume

$79.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$1.10K

13 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 10-30 17:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 142 days

Categories

Sports

67% 71% -$471

Politics

19% 53% -$80

Other

12% 51% +$300

Crypto

2% 0% -$1,773

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes		+419	$386	99¢	$413	+$28	10-03 00:07
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+2,000	$54	7¢	$149	+$95	10-15 12:48
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+3,100	$99	4¢	$138	+$39	10-15 10:17
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes		+100	$84	96¢	$96	+$12	08-31 11:22
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes		+600	$76	14¢	$85	+$9	10-16 10:17
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+1,000	$60	6¢	$65	+$5	10-15 12:49
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+1,500	$50	3¢	$38	-$11	10-15 13:25
Bulls vs. Celtics	Celtics		+34	$30	86¢	$29	-$1	10-30 17:51
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+500	$33	5¢	$24	-$9	10-15 12:50
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+1,000	$38	2¢	$20	-$18	10-15 10:13
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+3,000	$26	1¢	$20	-$6	10-16 18:11
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+1,109	$23	2¢	$19	-$4	10-15 12:49
Pistons vs. Nets	Pistons	—	+13	$10	74¢	$10	$0	10-30 17:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	25	$5.3K	3,596	3,596	+0	Yes	+$223	06-10 15:02
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$1.8K	2,277	100	+2,177	No	-$1,773	06-01 12:46
Thunder vs. Spurs	8	$1.6K	1,627	0	+1,627	Spurs	+$43	05-29 02:21
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	16	$1.5K	3,947	3,947	+0	No	-$124	06-10 17:22
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	6	$1.5K	1,505	0	+1,505	Yes	+$5	05-24 19:44
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?	12	$1.4K	1,477	706	+771	No	-$117	06-03 18:36
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	10	$1.4K	950	950	+0	No	+$5	06-02 00:33
Suns vs. Trail Blazers	10	$1.2K	753	470	+282	Trail Blazers	+$22	10-22 03:57
Thunder vs. Spurs	6	$1.1K	1,159	0	+1,159	Spurs	+$43	05-25 01:58
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	10	$1.1K	1,141	0	+1,141	Yes	+$28	06-03 11:47
Bulls vs. Raptors	11	$1.0K	514	514	+0	Raptors	+$13	10-22 02:16
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	7	$878	977	0	+977	Knicks	-$878	06-11 02:23
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	5	$760	766	0	+766	Yes	+$6	06-21 16:25
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	10	$741	855	0	+855	Yes	+$113	05-25 23:38
Mavericks vs. Rockets	5	$708	477	239	+239	Rockets	+$7	10-22 03:05
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?	3	$689	701	0	+701	Yes	+$12	05-31 09:27
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	2	$600	613	0	+613	Yes	+$13	06-20 18:12
mlb kc tor 2026 08 27 spread away 1pt5	2	$568	569	0	+569	Kansas City Royals	+$1	08-28 00:51
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	7	$528	552	22	+530	Yes	+$46	06-13 03:43
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	5	$521	532	27	+505	Grizzlies	-$14	10-30 04:11
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	4	$510	530	0	+530	Yes	+$20	06-21 05:02
Nets vs. Cavaliers	4	$506	256	256	+0	Cavaliers	+$6	10-25 02:25
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	2	$505	506	0	+506	Yes	+$1	06-20 01:36
mlb kc tor 2026 08 27 spread home 2pt5	2	$504	505	0	+505	Kansas City Royals	+$1	08-28 00:52
New York Yankees vs. Athletics	8	$495	527	0	+527	New York Yankees	+$31	05-30 03:39
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	7	$476	496	0	+496	Knicks	+$19	05-26 01:46
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers	5	$473	244	244	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	+$13	06-13 01:35
Thunder vs. Spurs	7	$460	503	0	+503	Thunder	+$43	10-21 04:18
mlb lad ari 2026 06 03	5	$446	459	0	+459	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$13	06-04 03:53
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	6	$444	616	181	+435	Yes	+$99	06-28 03:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 17:52:25	Pistons vs. Nets	Pistons	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x93a7e9…
10-30 17:51:43	Bulls vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x97df74…
10-30 17:51:36	Bulls vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xdf00f6…
10-30 04:11:04	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Grizzlies	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xc4b8de…
10-30 04:08:40	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Grizzlies	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x404d43…
10-30 04:08:25	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Grizzlies	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x01055c…
10-30 04:08:07	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0x9fd11f…
10-30 01:50:40	Kings vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x76bb32…
10-30 01:50:13	Kings vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x7b5039…
10-30 01:32:34	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x07ed80…
10-30 01:27:27	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xb4d019…
10-30 00:56:21	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	SELL	26	48¢	$13	0xc2a334…
10-30 00:43:07	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x6bbe72…
10-29 17:53:17	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	73	5¢	$4	0x529814…
10-29 17:51:38	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	232	5¢	$12	0xd5ebfb…
10-29 13:00:07	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x63fc18…
10-29 04:07:14	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0x63ad8a…
10-29 04:07:14	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x17b0c8…
10-29 04:06:19	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xf1c647…
10-29 04:06:19	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xcda05a…
10-29 04:06:17	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xa09dfa…
10-29 03:56:56	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xd27640…
10-29 03:56:01	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc4c002…
10-29 03:55:37	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xf513bc…
10-29 03:46:08	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xe03f9c…
10-29 03:45:31	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x25ef1a…
10-29 01:49:43	Rockets vs. Bucks	Rockets	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8938ef…
10-29 01:48:13	Rockets vs. Bucks	Rockets	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xe420a3…
10-29 01:47:31	Magic vs. Raptors	Raptors	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0xc1ee33…
10-29 01:33:40	Rockets vs. Bucks	Rockets	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xbd3eaf…
10-29 01:27:47	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xbaf793…
10-29 01:22:14	Spurs vs. Jazz	Spurs	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x619c9e…
10-29 01:21:11	Magic vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x394dd2…
10-28 09:56:17	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x4a5543…
10-28 00:57:27	Kings vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x8857b6…
10-28 00:40:32	Kings vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x4bf29c…
10-27 02:43:11	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x88a3c4…
10-27 02:41:09	Hawks vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x8e8ae6…
10-27 02:07:51	Suns vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x145de0…
10-27 02:00:15	Suns vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x45f9a0…
10-26 01:32:44	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x75e138…
10-26 00:58:35	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd45eaf…
10-26 00:58:12	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xf836ca…
10-26 00:27:39	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x2303fd…
10-26 00:27:38	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xc9b680…
10-26 00:27:35	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x12d1ee…
10-26 00:27:32	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xea74e4…
10-26 00:27:27	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x46b540…
10-26 00:27:24	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x6ffd6a…
10-26 00:27:23	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x6c6335…
10-26 00:27:20	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x81fba8…
10-25 23:27:09	Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xc31e3f…
10-25 22:51:32	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xce063b…
10-25 18:23:26	Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x8b5484…
10-25 18:13:21	Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 10.5	Yes	BUY	237	31¢	$73	0xdcf531…
10-25 18:08:17	Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 10.5	Yes	BUY	122	30¢	$37	0x99688c…
10-25 18:07:08	Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 10.5	Yes	BUY	122	30¢	$37	0x943ebc…
10-25 18:04:23	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0xd1f005…
10-25 18:01:50	Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 10.5	Yes	BUY	118	31¢	$37	0xc4ac1f…
10-25 18:01:42	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x6749f7…
10-25 17:58:21	Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 10.5	Yes	BUY	118	31¢	$37	0x094335…
10-25 17:54:15	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xf52a07…
10-25 17:53:41	Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 10.5	Yes	BUY	120	31¢	$37	0xce34d6…
10-25 17:46:29	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x07910b…
10-25 17:40:54	Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5	Yes	BUY	112	31¢	$34	0xfc151d…
10-25 17:40:12	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x2c4958…
10-25 17:36:32	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x63273e…
10-25 17:31:53	Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5	Yes	BUY	111	31¢	$34	0xee2d54…
10-25 16:47:23	Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5	Yes	BUY	115	28¢	$32	0x9bad9a…
10-25 15:55:59	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2e141b…
10-25 15:38:24	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0x150d7b…
10-25 02:25:30	Nets vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	SELL	256	100¢	$256	0x9b859e…
10-25 02:16:42	Rockets vs. Hawks	Rockets	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xcacab9…
10-25 02:09:27	Rockets vs. Hawks	Rockets	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xcf344d…
10-25 02:08:20	Spurs vs. Mavericks	Spurs	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x6d3ad7…
10-25 02:07:12	Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x429e51…
10-25 02:06:54	Bucks vs. 76ers	76ers	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x9f6dbf…
10-25 02:02:02	Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x5faf3b…
10-25 01:58:57	Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x2abc08…
10-25 01:57:24	Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x451f37…
10-25 01:57:02	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Pelicans	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xc071d7…
10-25 01:53:42	Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xaf8918…
10-25 01:52:56	Spurs vs. Mavericks	Spurs	SELL	23	79¢	$18	0xc7bc30…
10-25 01:52:14	Nets vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9a6d31…
10-25 01:51:30	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Pelicans	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x8d365c…
10-25 01:41:56	Spurs vs. Mavericks	Spurs	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x979eec…
10-25 01:41:26	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Pelicans	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x254c2f…
10-25 01:41:08	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Pelicans	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x2cdfd3…
10-25 01:40:05	Bucks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x9b9ea5…
10-25 01:26:41	Nets vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd86348…
10-25 01:00:45	Nets vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xb6485d…
10-25 00:27:47	Spurs vs. Mavericks	Spurs	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x044519…
10-25 00:23:03	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x3297ee…
10-25 00:22:47	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x61ea28…
10-25 00:16:24	Heat vs. Hornets	Hornets	SELL	59	40¢	$23	0x34e805…
10-24 23:58:54	Heat vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x095485…
10-24 23:57:11	Heat vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xc2415f…
10-24 23:53:33	Heat vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9d99d2…
10-24 23:48:02	Bucks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x8bb1a5…
10-24 23:41:51	Heat vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x7a8d59…