Watchful-Milk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.5%

Resolved

24,034

Trades

394,519

lifetime

Volume

$2.17M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 10-11 08:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 152 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% +$14,239

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 1870 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 23:20 UTC	800	$6.0K	34,613	+34,613	Down	-$3,896	03-26 23:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 22:30 UTC	1,608	$5.6K	11,759	+11,759	Down	+$101	03-27 22:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 22:25 UTC	1,591	$5.4K	11,907	+11,907	Up	+$929	03-27 22:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 13:55 UTC	491	$5.2K	9,424	+9,424	Down	+$47	04-12 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 22:15 UTC	1,421	$5.2K	10,578	+10,578	Up	+$168	03-27 22:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 22:10 UTC	1,353	$5.0K	10,349	+10,349	Down	-$132	03-27 22:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 21:15 UTC	1,181	$5.0K	10,276	+10,276	Up	-$272	03-27 21:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 23:25 UTC	622	$4.8K	13,030	+13,030	Up	+$6,287	03-26 23:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 22:20 UTC	1,130	$4.2K	8,942	+8,942	Up	-$171	03-27 22:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 18:55 UTC	1,037	$3.8K	7,507	+7,507	Down	+$20	03-27 19:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 21:10 UTC	934	$3.7K	7,824	+7,824	Up	-$127	03-27 21:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 21:50 UTC	806	$3.4K	6,960	+6,960	Down	+$119	03-27 21:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:45 UTC	292	$3.2K	5,944	+5,944	Down	-$300	03-20 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 19:20 UTC	69	$3.1K	3,735	+3,735	Down	+$264	04-14 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 22:00 UTC	744	$3.0K	6,282	+6,282	Down	-$46	03-27 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 21:20 UTC	772	$3.0K	6,090	+6,090	Down	-$79	03-27 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 22:05 UTC	603	$2.9K	6,376	+6,376	Down	-$177	03-27 22:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 20:20 UTC	775	$2.8K	5,451	+5,451	Down	+$21	03-27 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 15:00 UTC	341	$2.7K	5,374	+5,374	Up	-$1,211	04-11 15:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:45 UTC	177	$2.7K	5,163	+5,163	Down	+$56	03-20 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 20:15 UTC	667	$2.6K	5,351	+5,351	Up	+$71	03-27 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:35 UTC	278	$2.6K	5,023	+5,023	Up	-$214	03-20 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 17:55 UTC	342	$2.6K	5,166	+5,166	Up	-$24	04-16 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 12:40 UTC	740	$2.5K	5,414	+5,414	Up	+$23	03-27 12:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 22:35 UTC	603	$2.5K	5,212	+5,212	Down	-$113	03-27 22:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 22:50 UTC	626	$2.4K	5,106	+5,106	Up	+$219	03-26 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	357	$2.4K	4,837	+4,837	Up	+$524	05-06 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 13:30 UTC	309	$2.3K	4,616	+4,616	Up	+$6	04-01 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:20 UTC	226	$2.3K	4,445	+4,445	Up	-$142	03-20 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 12:45 UTC	465	$2.1K	4,124	+4,124	Down	-$194	03-27 12:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 08:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x528acf…
10-11 08:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x0170eb…
10-11 08:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbd3f7b…
10-11 08:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	93	46¢	$43	0x99b4cb…
10-11 08:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6194f0…
10-11 08:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe3c90b…
10-11 08:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7d6b12…
10-11 08:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x713e1d…
10-11 08:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	94	47¢	$44	0xde97fe…
10-11 08:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x589a9f…
10-11 08:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	94	47¢	$44	0x3c4376…
10-11 08:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0x0427a7…
10-11 08:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	223	45¢	$100	0x564fa2…
10-11 08:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x638564…
10-11 08:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x2e3af3…
10-11 08:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x2a415c…
10-11 08:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa7ebfa…
10-11 08:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x4ea6bb…
10-11 08:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x694a46…
10-11 08:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	27	44¢	$12	0xa7c123…
10-11 07:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0xd3ad64…
10-11 07:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1307f0…
10-11 07:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	296	42¢	$125	0x9de0a6…
10-11 07:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0x87399b…
10-11 07:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x43a95e…
10-11 07:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0xcceea2…
10-11 07:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x81472e…
10-11 07:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x27229f…
10-11 07:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x2782d3…
10-11 07:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb1ff21…
10-11 07:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x5bd7c8…
10-11 07:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x759998…
10-11 07:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0xebef62…
10-11 07:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	240	36¢	$86	0xd94346…
10-11 07:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xf4e6ab…
10-11 07:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	36¢	$12	0x5a74be…
10-11 07:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x096015…
10-11 07:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0x807ceb…
10-11 07:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe6dc91…
10-11 07:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	269	31¢	$83	0x3d0e2e…
10-11 07:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0x2771fc…
10-11 06:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x14bd04…
10-11 06:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x61fed4…
10-11 06:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x9be025…
10-11 06:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x2bab53…
10-11 06:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x59e630…
10-11 06:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbc7a04…
10-11 06:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xbfbef1…
10-11 06:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	148	39¢	$58	0x1d9170…
10-11 06:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf19f1d…
10-11 06:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	41	39¢	$16	0xc56460…
10-11 06:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	39¢	$7	0xf8de09…
10-11 06:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0xa4bfd3…
10-11 06:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	39¢	$7	0x8afca4…
10-11 06:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xf6fe11…
10-11 06:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xc304fc…
10-11 06:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	39¢	$13	0x1e8e32…
10-11 06:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8e4171…
10-11 06:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	41	35¢	$14	0x368632…
10-11 06:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcd79c5…
10-11 06:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x32210c…
10-11 06:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd4ed6e…
10-11 06:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	38	35¢	$13	0x2bcd4d…
10-11 06:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x3bfd23…
10-11 06:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0x30e713…
10-11 06:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7fdc8f…
10-11 06:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xf60133…
10-11 06:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	31	41¢	$13	0xc29390…
10-11 06:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	169	41¢	$69	0x11f65a…
10-11 06:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0x9e7f86…
10-11 06:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0xca06a4…
10-11 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x06af1a…
10-11 06:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0xc82150…
10-11 06:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x8bc494…
10-11 06:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	41¢	$8	0x706779…
10-11 06:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x5e6277…
10-11 06:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x5abd9e…
10-11 06:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0x115f1e…
10-11 06:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x088795…
10-11 06:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x98fce1…
10-11 06:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	82	51¢	$42	0x1b84d0…
10-11 06:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	76	51¢	$39	0xead785…
10-11 06:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe16e84…
10-11 06:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	168	43¢	$72	0x81fa13…
10-11 06:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	132	43¢	$57	0x0f0c70…
10-11 06:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x6c68f6…
10-11 06:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$11	0xe84f36…
10-11 06:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xce7ab8…
10-11 06:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x39d08b…
10-11 06:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x38478e…
10-11 06:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xa9464e…
10-11 06:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xe374e4…
10-11 06:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xc0bd5b…
10-11 06:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4812f7…
10-11 06:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x41163c…
10-11 06:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xf982a6…
10-11 06:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf89018…
10-11 06:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf202a2…
10-11 06:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd90438…
10-11 06:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xaa1f38…