Bold-Meteorology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

91.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$69

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 00:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

66% 80% +$1

Sports

26% 100% +$2

Crypto

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	+6	$4	99¢	$6	+$2	05-06 00:07
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	+2	$2	92¢	$2	+$0	05-06 00:13
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	+1	$1	82¢	$1	$-0	05-06 00:09
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	+10	$3	4¢	$0	$-3	05-05 22:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	5	$15	45	0	+45	open	—	05-05 20:50
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	5	$7	14	0	+14	Timberwolves	+$2	05-05 04:10
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-05 18:14
Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-06 00:07
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch	3	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	05-05 17:34
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	2	$3	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-05 17:27
Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Sofya Lansere	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-05 04:55
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-05 19:41
Francavilla: Justin Engel vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 18:28
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-05 19:57
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-04?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	05-04 20:14
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	$-2	05-04 20:02
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-06 00:13
Jiujiang: Aoi Ito vs Lizette Cabrera	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-05 06:50
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	1	$1	2	0	+2	New York Mets	+$0	05-04 23:29
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	+$2	05-04 20:34
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	1	$1	1	0	+1	Knicks	+$0	05-05 01:45
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Leolia Jeanjean	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 10:40
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5	1	$1	2	0	+2	Under	+$1	05-04 20:49
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zheng	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 11:06
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$1	1	0	+1	Knicks	+$0	05-05 00:55
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Francisco Comesana vs Leandro Riedi	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-05 08:10
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	1	$1	1	0	+1	St. Louis Cardinals	+$0	05-05 01:15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-05 15:09
Santos: Miguel Tobon vs Eduardo Ribeiro	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-05 18:51
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-06 00:09
Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-04 20:14
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Zakharova vs Dayana Yastremska	1	$0	0	0	+0	open	—	05-05 15:14
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 5?	1	$0	0	2	-2	open	—	05-05 15:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 00:13:00	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x5fee88…
05-06 00:09:08	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x361286…
05-06 00:07:58	Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x2b5ea2…
05-05 22:30:00	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2e1f43…
05-05 21:40:06	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0xd77f63…
05-05 20:50:12	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe425e7…
05-05 20:44:48	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x1ab7ee…
05-05 20:24:52	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x6f12f6…
05-05 20:13:38	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	No	BUY	32	27¢	$9	0x4f18bf…
05-05 20:08:46	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	No	BUY	9	27¢	$3	0x7ae27a…
05-05 19:57:52	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xf30d85…
05-05 19:41:28	Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x021f04…
05-05 19:23:18	Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xfca572…
05-05 18:51:44	Santos: Miguel Tobon vs Eduardo Ribeiro	Miguel Tobon	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf0d752…
05-05 18:28:20	Francavilla: Justin Engel vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	Justin Engel	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x581e9a…
05-05 18:14:56	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	8	71¢	$5	0xc86009…
05-05 17:34:30	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch	Tamara Korpatsch	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0d6d18…
05-05 17:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd61c64…
05-05 16:54:44	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch	Mayar Sherif	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x53f350…
05-05 16:52:38	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch	Tamara Korpatsch	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc7094a…
05-05 15:14:30	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Zakharova vs Dayana Yastremska	Dayana Yastremska	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x38716a…
05-05 15:09:52	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe522f0…
05-05 15:04:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xa3d653…
05-05 11:06:38	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zheng	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x235821…
05-05 10:40:08	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Leolia Jeanjean	Ajla Tomljanovic	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x61b5bf…
05-05 08:10:14	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Francisco Comesana vs Leandro Riedi	Leandro Riedi	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x17af83…
05-05 06:50:44	Jiujiang: Aoi Ito vs Lizette Cabrera	Lizette Cabrera	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xbd932d…
05-05 04:55:44	Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Sofya Lansere	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xe87441…
05-05 04:10:02	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x680e9c…
05-05 03:05:02	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0x753eca…
05-05 02:19:54	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x19f7bd…
05-05 02:09:48	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xdd8cc4…
05-05 01:45:20	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Knicks	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf09632…
05-05 01:40:16	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7d89a1…
05-05 01:15:08	Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb92b52…
05-05 00:55:00	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbfdad8…
05-04 23:29:34	New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	New York Mets	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x96d269…
05-04 20:49:48	Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x48009f…
05-04 20:34:48	Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x8e5949…
05-04 20:14:40	Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7dc7e2…
05-04 20:14:28	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-04?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x3f4623…
05-04 20:02:28	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x45167e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	25	$8.41K	691	05-06 00:23
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	24	$64.4K	165	05-06 00:07
Jaded-Sanctuary 0x9ddc…e874	20	$1.05K	116	05-06 00:39
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	18	$35.7K	63	05-06 00:38
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	15	$11.2K	63	05-06 00:12
Nimble-Ovary 0x7edb…7993	12	$1.73K	51	05-06 00:39
Powerless-Savannah 0x5268…135d	11	$13.7K	31	05-06 00:28
Conscious-Outfielder 0xdb83…1e50	11	$3.72K	51	05-06 00:43