Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$47

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

91.7%

Resolved

3,808

Trades

10,492

lifetime

Volume

$71.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$1.64K

30 positions

First seen

2026-07-31

last 10-26 08:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Other

61% 82% +$1

Politics

23% 77% -$23

Crypto

12% 86% +$105

Sports

3% 74% -$45

Tech

1% 82% +$7

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 445 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+133	$88	99¢	$131	+$44	09-02 06:02
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	-133	-$81	98¢	$-130	-$50	09-17 06:14
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?	No	+106	$106	100¢	$106	+$0	08-25 13:08
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	No	+106	$106	100¢	$106	+$0	08-25 13:08
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?	No	+106	$105	100¢	$106	+$0	08-25 13:08
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?	No	+106	$105	100¢	$106	+$0	08-25 13:08
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	No	+106	$103	99¢	$105	+$2	08-25 13:08
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?	No	+106	$105	99¢	$105	$0	08-25 13:08
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?	No	+106	$105	99¢	$105	+$0	08-25 13:08
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?	No	+106	$105	99¢	$105	$0	08-25 13:08
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?	No	+89	$89	100¢	$89	+$0	08-15 17:02
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	+89	$23	82¢	$73	+$50	08-15 17:01
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+72	$72	99¢	$72	$0	09-02 06:02
Will Freddy Peralta win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	No	+36	$36	100¢	$36	$0	09-03 00:17
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+37	$33	76¢	$28	-$5	08-26 14:15
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	+123	$87	22¢	$26	-$60	08-25 13:08
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026?	No	+18	$18	100¢	$18	+$0	09-04 11:28
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?	No	+18	$18	100¢	$18	+$0	09-04 11:28
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026?	No	+18	$18	100¢	$18	$0	09-04 11:28
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026?	No	+18	$18	100¢	$18	$0	09-04 11:28
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	No	+17	$17	99¢	$17	$0	09-03 06:29
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	No	+15	$15	99¢	$15	$0	08-06 02:45
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?	No	+15	$15	98¢	$15	$0	08-06 02:45
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	-20	-$16	72¢	$-14	+$2	09-05 00:58
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	No	+15	$15	96¢	$14	$0	08-06 02:45
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	+14	$1	97¢	$14	+$12	08-17 01:40
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	-14	-$4	97¢	$-14	-$10	09-06 06:50
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	No	+17	$6	72¢	$12	+$6	09-03 06:29
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	+15	$13	78¢	$12	-$1	08-02 00:43
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?	No	+10	$10	99¢	$10	+$0	09-04 11:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	59	$1.6K	1,575	15	+1,560	No	+$2	09-15 04:09
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	59	$1.6K	1,575	15	+1,560	No	+$4	09-19 15:36
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	59	$1.6K	1,575	15	+1,560	No	+$23	09-04 20:40
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	61	$1.5K	1,590	0	+1,590	No	+$83	09-01 20:08
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	56	$1.5K	1,505	85	+1,420	No	+$8	09-06 12:33
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	54	$1.1K	1,363	227	+1,135	No	+$379	09-04 23:25
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 51 million views on day 3?	17	$695	696	0	+696	No	+$1	08-25 13:26
Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	7	$565	567	0	+567	No	+$2	08-18 23:18
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	54	$513	1,543	47	+1,496	Yes	-$495	09-04 20:39
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	5	$413	417	0	+417	No	+$4	08-17 05:54
Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?	5	$359	362	0	+362	open	—	08-11 03:23
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	4	$306	307	0	+307	No	+$1	08-10 18:44
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	10	$301	307	0	+307	No	+$6	08-13 19:24
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 6?	8	$288	289	0	+289	No	+$1	08-06 06:21
Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	14	$277	281	0	+281	No	+$4	08-24 16:31
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	13	$245	262	0	+262	No	+$17	08-24 16:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C or higher on August 6?	2	$243	243	0	+243	No	+$1	08-06 06:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 9?	47	$242	276	0	+276	No	+$34	08-08 08:50
Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?	10	$241	269	0	+269	No	+$28	08-16 12:35
Will Kīlauea's Episode 53 begin on August 8 or earlier?	4	$240	240	0	+240	No	+$0	08-13 09:14
Will Kīlauea's Episode 53 begin August 9-10?	4	$240	240	0	+240	No	+$0	08-13 09:14
Will Kīlauea's Episode 53 begin August 13 or later?	4	$238	240	0	+240	No	+$2	08-13 09:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 9?	43	$223	252	0	+252	No	+$29	08-08 08:50
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	42	$198	128	128	+0	No	+$1	09-28 15:10
Will Solana dip to $90 in September?	31	$187	109	109	+0	No	+$3	09-20 23:00
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	10	$186	216	0	+216	No	+$29	08-24 16:31
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 21?	3	$172	172	0	+172	No	+$0	08-21 05:57
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 21?	4	$170	172	0	+172	No	+$2	08-21 05:59
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?	8	$169	173	0	+173	No	+$5	08-04 21:22
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	43	$166	115	115	+0	Yes	+$1	10-04 17:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 08:24:00	Will the Labor Party (PT) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xc2a337…
10-26 08:05:32	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x917c02…
10-22 13:16:50	Will the Republican Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x87b4b9…
10-20 07:26:43	Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x5c8386…
10-19 06:51:00	Will the Republican Party win the MA-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x121db8…
10-16 18:45:23	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State election?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xf2fe59…
10-15 10:39:07	Will the Republican Party win the WI-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	64	1¢	$1	0x68807c…
10-15 08:25:43	Will the Republican Party win the MA-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0xcbcc7c…
10-15 08:23:20	Will the Republican Party win the WI-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	59	1¢	$1	0xeeb420…
10-13 21:31:04	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x7d726f…
10-13 21:30:37	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x541610…
10-13 19:48:22	Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x3fbf9b…
10-13 02:15:15	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x046709…
10-11 22:45:38	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xbb78e4…
10-11 22:21:26	Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xf91bcb…
10-11 16:14:06	Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x28b6b0…
10-10 16:18:52	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xccfe9e…
10-10 14:59:22	Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. Nagoya Grampus end in a draw?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xab4b6a…
10-10 14:38:06	Will Dylan Kruger win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x139012…
10-10 14:36:27	Will Kyle Hamilton win the 2026 Fernie mayoral election?	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xc82474…
10-10 14:18:09	Will Tomáš Rec be the next Mayor of Liberec?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xa14593…
10-10 07:22:34	Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xc13168…
10-09 23:41:19	Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x878a39…
10-09 21:25:23	Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x294fa1…
10-09 20:45:56	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 40%-45%?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x03fe67…
10-09 20:25:20	Hawai'i vs. Arizona State	Arizona State	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xcd03e5…
10-09 16:44:52	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-17?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xcc302d…
10-09 14:43:43	Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x50f325…
10-09 11:02:04	Will Atalanta BC vs. Venezia FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x1de3f6…
10-09 10:04:39	Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x9d7656…
10-09 09:41:01	Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x1b5d19…
10-09 06:22:31	Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-10-09?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xe25325…
10-09 06:22:31	Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-10-09?	No	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xc4624d…
10-09 01:17:03	Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x66f77a…
10-08 21:32:06	Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x40a181…
10-08 20:47:42	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x4d8dde…
10-08 20:47:35	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x1e2ed1…
10-08 17:22:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 8?	No	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0xf784ba…
10-08 17:14:18	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-15?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x1fc9ab…
10-08 15:59:57	Will Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0xd1c44d…
10-08 15:50:56	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x76d579…
10-08 15:04:30	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xd16528…
10-08 14:17:44	Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-09?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x795e4e…
10-08 13:07:30	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x66216b…
10-08 12:47:08	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x7e3d14…
10-08 12:34:35	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x19da2e…
10-08 10:53:56	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x2b6670…
10-08 10:47:57	KBO: LG Twins vs. Lotte Giants	LG Twins	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x7b4e9e…
10-08 10:46:27	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x0161c8…
10-08 09:50:26	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x9c849e…
10-08 09:14:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 October 5-11?	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xa51e6a…
10-08 09:14:05	Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0x8f094e…
10-08 09:12:11	Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xf5e651…
10-08 09:05:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x524a6f…
10-08 09:04:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xe31a31…
10-08 08:47:02	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x4472ab…
10-08 08:33:59	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xec2065…
10-08 07:36:57	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x6b33f5…
10-08 06:48:13	Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x4fc8fe…
10-08 06:30:30	Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x6729a7…
10-08 06:22:01	Will Republicans sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x0ad8a0…
10-08 06:19:40	Will Al Hazem SC vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x2b8024…
10-08 04:00:02	Will Jack Crompton win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x60fea1…
10-08 02:43:56	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 October 5-11?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x65d985…
10-08 01:10:29	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xa015f7…
10-08 00:10:25	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x512407…
10-07 22:35:35	Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x91fe3c…
10-07 22:29:50	Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x1919ad…
10-07 22:29:50	Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?	No	SELL	18	74¢	$14	0x029982…
10-07 22:17:04	Spread: Oilers (-1.5)	Ducks	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x5b2bae…
10-07 20:51:49	Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-10-11?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x7080d1…
10-07 20:40:57	Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-09?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x753597…
10-07 20:34:35	Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x718306…
10-07 20:28:36	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Team Yandex	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x1a1916…
10-07 20:27:14	Will Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x9188f8…
10-07 19:23:16	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x560314…
10-07 19:03:39	Will Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x6c8182…
10-07 19:03:13	Will PepsiCo (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x78c185…
10-07 18:38:37	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x6e2ed5…
10-07 18:29:34	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth	Hubert Hurkacz	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xc2c474…
10-07 18:27:46	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 8?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x366f06…
10-07 17:57:21	Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x66fdff…
10-07 17:52:27	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xcab03d…
10-07 17:34:38	UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Malcolm Wellmaker (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Malcolm Wellmaker	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xfcdff7…
10-07 17:30:13	Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x922e72…
10-07 17:03:23	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x495f8a…
10-07 16:50:38	Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xeb705b…
10-07 16:41:52	Will FC Slovan Liberec win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xef5aef…
10-07 16:40:44	Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-10-11?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x4280d5…
10-07 16:19:31	Will Cody Johnson win Entertainer of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x0ee5d7…
10-07 16:17:01	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Kaichi Uchida	Ryan Seggerman	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x76e522…
10-07 15:56:53	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x5144c6…
10-07 15:55:35	BC Zenit vs. Parma Perm	BC Zenit	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xb4c503…
10-07 15:12:34	Will UnitedHealth (UNH) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x979bcd…
10-07 15:10:07	UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Malcolm Wellmaker (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Malcolm Wellmaker	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x5e90a3…
10-07 15:00:53	UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Souza vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)	Loopy Godínez	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xc24280…
10-07 14:51:38	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xe22f07…
10-07 14:47:25	Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-08?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x8ec740…
10-07 14:41:16	Will Serbia call its presidential election by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xfb19df…
10-07 14:03:31	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x84c88b…