Grubby-Estate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

Trades

631

lifetime

Volume

$1.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-02 05:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 56% $-6

Other

17% — —

Sports

7% 0% $-2

Politics

2% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 4h 1769792400	13	$30	301	27	+274	open	—	01-30 20:46
btc updown 5m 1771257300	4	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	02-16 16:00
btc updown 5m 1771342800	2	$23	26	0	+26	open	—	02-17 15:44
btc updown 5m 1771257000	3	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	02-16 15:55
btc updown 5m 1771256700	3	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	02-16 15:50
btc updown 5m 1771339500	3	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	02-17 14:49
btc updown 5m 1771289700	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-17 01:02
btc updown 5m 1771346400	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-17 16:43
btc updown 5m 1771346100	3	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	02-17 16:39
btc updown 5m 1771347900	3	$19	22	3	+19	open	—	02-17 17:09
will kylian mbappe score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144023007	3	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	06-30 22:57
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 120 129	2	$15	22	22	+0	open	—	01-07 11:00
btc updown 5m 1771254600	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	02-16 15:15
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	04-07 22:53
btc updown 5m 1771254000	2	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	02-16 15:04
btc updown 5m 1771225800	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	02-16 07:14
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$12	17	17	+0	open	—	06-25 19:51
btc updown 5m 1771228800	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	02-16 08:04
bitcoin above 92k on january 8	2	$11	16	16	+0	open	—	01-07 01:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	05-09 15:04
btc updown 5m 1771228500	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	02-16 07:59
btc updown 5m 1771276500	2	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	02-16 21:19
btc updown 5m 1771224900	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	02-16 06:59
bitcoin up or down on march 5	4	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	03-05 18:43
btc updown 5m 1771277700	3	$10	13	3	+10	open	—	02-16 21:39
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 40 64	6	$10	54	54	+0	open	—	02-06 06:32
btc updown 15m 1771339500	3	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	02-17 14:58
btc updown 5m 1771228200	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	02-16 07:54
btc updown 5m 1771227900	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-16 07:49
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$10	12	12	+0	open	—	06-25 04:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 05:15:44	will spain reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134495	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xaac39b…
07-01 21:41:23	will belgium reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134491	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xe9dc53…
06-30 22:57:35	will kylian mbappe score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144023007	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb239d5…
06-30 04:39:34	will paraguay reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134481	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x93bc59…
06-30 00:49:50	will colombia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134508	Yes	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xb0ed42…
06-29 23:43:19	will kylian mbappe score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144023007	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x7f0f99…
06-28 16:14:14	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xea9833…
06-28 15:49:49	will colombia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134508	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x871337…
06-27 20:10:04	will belgium reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134491	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x13fc3f…
06-26 01:53:05	bitcoin up or down on june 26 2026	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xb31d43…
06-25 19:51:23	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x84f247…
06-25 17:30:07	bitcoin up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x89d892…
06-25 04:51:34	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0xd5b50b…
06-24 01:54:31	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xc2796e…
06-24 01:52:08	Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x11f465…
06-23 15:21:50	will usa reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120747	No	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xf3b575…
06-23 15:20:46	will mexico reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120735	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x3b87b2…
06-22 21:03:10	will kylian mbappe score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144023007	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xaf8ece…
06-22 19:50:52	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x967f8e…
06-22 19:46:22	will cristiano ronaldo score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406403	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1f7f42…
06-22 19:40:20	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x2af9a7…
06-21 22:44:46	Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xdc99ab…
06-21 21:45:23	will usa reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134479	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x36cc47…
06-21 21:38:41	will mexico reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120735	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x853ef2…
06-21 21:38:04	will usa reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120747	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbe237a…
06-21 21:15:44	Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x46eca4…
06-19 03:30:01	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe9f6d6…
06-19 03:26:25	Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xaeb83d…
06-18 01:37:20	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x43d34b…
06-15 03:47:54	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7832a4…
06-15 03:47:27	Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9da6e0…
06-15 03:47:00	Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xfa552f…
06-15 03:46:28	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xce9822…
06-15 03:45:43	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xedbe72…
06-15 03:44:16	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x291897…
06-15 00:59:16	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x342901…
06-08 18:05:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x342331…
06-08 17:53:06	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xfa791c…
06-08 17:50:36	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x29b75a…
06-08 17:40:00	world cup messi to score 2 penalties 20260605004829032	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8da621…
06-08 17:39:00	world cup ronaldo to score 2 penalties 20260605004524368	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8da756…
06-08 17:37:27	president trump to attend usa opening match 20260607163739001	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc422be…
05-26 17:34:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xff70e0…
05-26 03:40:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x49e888…
05-19 04:41:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcb35f7…
05-18 13:54:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa7dc60…
05-17 19:11:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x6c3052…
05-15 14:04:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xd82414…
05-15 03:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x60163d…
05-15 03:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x74ddc3…
05-15 02:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0ccb38…
05-13 18:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xfb0366…
05-13 18:10:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xc0f871…
05-12 03:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xfcc159…
05-12 03:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa87a1f…
05-12 03:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x3dd978…
05-12 03:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x33264e…
05-12 03:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xf72cee…
05-12 03:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcd93aa…
05-11 15:21:42	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x722d84…
05-11 14:54:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2ca916…
05-11 02:40:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0xe99877…
05-11 02:40:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x1e68ee…
05-09 22:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xf94458…
05-09 22:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x9887c1…
05-09 22:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0x322309…
05-09 22:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7c6e1a…
05-09 22:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xe67651…
05-09 22:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe68af4…
05-09 22:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xbd84c7…
05-09 22:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcd115d…
05-09 21:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x23a8d0…
05-09 21:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xeb97f8…
05-09 21:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0x49a518…
05-09 21:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0x4c4813…
05-09 21:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf06384…
05-09 21:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x91d652…
05-09 21:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x347974…
05-09 20:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xbe496f…
05-09 20:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf685de…
05-09 20:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1d76f8…
05-09 20:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6e2195…
05-09 20:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x185645…
05-09 20:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xed8310…
05-09 20:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x6422e4…
05-09 20:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x327ba1…
05-09 20:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x77e14d…
05-09 19:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xb335a8…
05-09 19:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8d85b6…
05-09 19:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xa6ee28…
05-09 19:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4d6928…
05-09 19:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xfd34a5…
05-09 19:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa88318…
05-09 19:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xdef223…
05-09 19:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x46c5d2…
05-09 18:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf53061…
05-09 18:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2f98f5…
05-09 18:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x0ce575…
05-09 18:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x811e47…
05-09 18:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x57f4d1…