Costly-Diversity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-06 06:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 100% +$0

Other

17% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of bitcoin be less than 78000 on january 8	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	01-06 12:12
highest temperature in nyc on april 2 2026 64 65f	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	04-02 07:12
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 480 499	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	01-12 10:34
bitcoin above 70k on march 29	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	03-29 10:59
bitcoin above 100k on january 18	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	01-18 03:25
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 9	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	04-08 11:05
ethereum above 2000 on march 24	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	03-24 13:02
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 6	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	03-06 10:53
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	03-02 12:49
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 19	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	03-19 06:51
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 460 479	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	03-12 12:22
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 16	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	03-15 12:48
bitcoin above 62k on march 9	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	03-09 11:38
ethereum above 3200 on february 4	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	02-03 12:00
bitcoin above 62k on march 22	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	03-22 01:33
ethereum above 1800 on february 26	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	02-26 08:16
bitcoin above 88k on february 1	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	02-01 01:54
bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	01-22 08:22
ethereum above 3300 on january 29	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	01-29 11:24
bitcoin above 68k on june 6 2026	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	06-06 06:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	05-17 03:27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	05-22 09:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	05-02 02:53
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	04-25 12:57
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 20	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	04-20 11:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	05-11 09:30
bitcoin above 70k on april 17	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	04-17 08:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	05-06 12:40
bitcoin above 68k on april 12	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	04-12 11:22
ethereum above 2500 on april 13	1	$2	333	+333	open	—	04-12 11:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 06:52:28	bitcoin above 68k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x456e2f…
05-22 09:56:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x8c84fa…
05-17 03:27:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xe1908b…
05-11 09:30:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x3d6846…
05-06 12:40:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x00c3c2…
05-02 02:53:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xd23b7c…
04-25 12:57:12	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xfb3425…
04-20 11:15:08	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 20	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xf74e33…
04-17 08:46:24	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xa2fd1a…
04-12 11:22:25	bitcoin above 68k on april 12	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xc3f480…
04-12 11:21:43	ethereum above 2500 on april 13	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0xa0fde5…
04-12 11:21:19	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on april 13	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x2c2241…
04-08 11:05:29	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 9	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x5cacc1…
04-02 07:12:11	highest temperature in nyc on april 2 2026 64 65f	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xd6dc5a…
03-29 10:59:30	bitcoin above 70k on march 29	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x474961…
03-24 13:02:23	ethereum above 2000 on march 24	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xcc8511…
03-22 01:33:09	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x29fd6c…
03-19 06:51:11	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 19	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x9cf7da…
03-15 12:48:13	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 16	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x957d19…
03-12 12:22:31	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 460 479	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x6a4177…
03-09 11:38:07	bitcoin above 62k on march 9	Yes	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x00e701…
03-06 10:53:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 6	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x28130c…
03-02 12:49:41	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x26cef9…
02-26 08:16:38	ethereum above 1800 on february 26	Yes	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xdd1ca5…
02-03 12:00:22	ethereum above 3200 on february 4	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x3a212e…
02-01 01:54:20	bitcoin above 88k on february 1	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x1eac6d…
01-29 11:24:22	ethereum above 3300 on january 29	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xf286ae…
01-22 08:22:36	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x7eb584…
01-22 08:22:26	bitcoin above 98k on january 23	Yes	BUY	890	0¢	$2	0x204302…
01-18 03:25:32	bitcoin above 100k on january 18	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x5f3528…
01-12 10:34:02	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 480 499	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x30ba55…
01-06 12:12:41	will the price of bitcoin be less than 78000 on january 8	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x535823…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	21	$3.10K	1,799	04-16 05:21
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	20	$42.7K	1,010	06-01 12:11
(anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394	17	$75.6K	1,132	04-27 13:31
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	17	$60.8K	558	06-06 02:41
Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316	15	$1.22K	143	05-16 13:24
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	15	$679	15	05-22 08:31
Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5	14	$31.6K	235	06-05 21:05
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	14	$1.31K	619	06-04 15:20