Youthful-Discovery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.8%

Resolved

117

Trades

262

lifetime

Volume

$1.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 08-31 05:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

95% 49% +$4

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	06-20 18:12
will spencer pratt concede by june 10 20260608151037169	2	$26	14	14	+0	No	+$1	06-10 13:22
israel closes its airspace by june 14	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	06-13 18:33
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-19 16:25
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-25 12:50
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on May 30?	3	$20	40	0	+40	No	$0	05-29 16:06
Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-24 03:00
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-27 00:13
Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-01 01:39
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	04-30 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-27 07:47
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on April 30?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-29 16:24
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 15?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-15 00:30
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 27?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-26 14:09
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-07 01:28
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 24?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-24 06:36
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 2?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-01 16:43
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 3?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-03 14:34
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	04-26 02:38
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on May 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-28 10:17
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 6?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-05 14:04
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-26 15:02
highest temperature in shanghai on april 21 2026 18c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-21 03:54
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on April 26?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-25 17:24
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on April 26?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-26 10:19
highest temperature in los angeles on april 24 2026 62 63f	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-24 01:12
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 31?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-30 12:18
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 17?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-17 07:38
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 1?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-01 08:01
highest temperature in wuhan on april 21 2026 15c	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-20 16:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 05:42:24	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8b4b47…
08-31 03:26:13	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x412ce5…
08-02 06:16:26	Will Robert Lulgjuraj be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc7195a…
07-01 01:39:29	Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x17611d…
06-30 18:12:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5f0baa…
06-29 12:03:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0258e8…
06-29 02:41:14	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa54077…
06-29 00:04:32	Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x99e219…
06-28 11:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1c2180…
06-28 11:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7472f2…
06-28 03:13:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x9049c3…
06-27 16:02:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 28?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x4339de…
06-26 14:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xe257d7…
06-26 14:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x09d407…
06-26 12:09:17	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 27?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6eefe7…
06-25 12:50:11	Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x71524e…
06-25 05:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?	No	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xf6346e…
06-25 05:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x3fb418…
06-24 06:36:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xe5ea8f…
06-24 06:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 24?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x13a0eb…
06-24 03:00:10	Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf43af2…
06-23 06:25:38	Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x64cabe…
06-22 07:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x1630ae…
06-22 07:55:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x0ee64e…
06-22 00:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 22?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x0ccaef…
06-20 18:12:43	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xe77ce1…
06-20 14:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xe75614…
06-20 14:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x5207e4…
06-20 14:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 21?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x1d55ad…
06-19 16:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xf102f6…
06-19 13:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on June 20?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x3c31ff…
06-17 07:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x3a2fe4…
06-17 07:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3ee098…
06-17 07:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xf80787…
06-17 07:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 17?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb25327…
06-17 05:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x747c7d…
06-16 06:08:33	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x3aa378…
06-16 05:30:24	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xcca258…
06-16 04:31:18	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2d7fe2…
06-15 00:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x15532b…
06-14 23:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 15?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb540d9…
06-14 22:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 15?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x129538…
06-14 21:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 15?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x22bff2…
06-14 01:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x6ae6ea…
06-13 21:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on June 14?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x170d60…
06-13 18:33:33	israel closes its airspace by june 14	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xe39b41…
06-13 00:00:31	israel closes its airspace by june 14	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xbce6c8…
06-12 04:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x9eb81c…
06-12 04:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 12?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xb0281a…
06-11 14:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 86°F or higher on June 12?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x34313e…
06-11 12:05:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 86°F or higher on June 12?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8d8ce4…
06-10 13:22:19	will spencer pratt concede by june 10 20260608151037169	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x19f95b…
06-10 11:10:10	will spencer pratt concede by june 10 20260608151037169	No	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x2695d2…
06-09 05:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x5c09f0…
06-08 12:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on June 9?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x9b8c27…
06-08 00:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xd7c204…
06-07 23:19:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 8?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xc426db…
06-07 09:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xdccd04…
06-07 08:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 7?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd59733…
06-07 01:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x892113…
06-06 13:38:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 7?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe4d098…
06-06 01:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd0b6f2…
06-06 01:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x827696…
06-05 08:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xea130c…
06-05 08:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on June 5?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x7fdc26…
06-04 14:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xba2d5b…
06-04 14:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x1e4711…
06-04 12:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 5?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xd184a3…
06-03 14:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x2402ac…
06-03 00:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 3?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x5a8f9e…
06-02 15:14:35	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x294441…
06-02 14:34:48	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1a4f1a…
06-02 13:42:25	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x2db596…
06-02 12:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 3?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x0c325b…
06-02 06:37:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x774ab4…
06-01 22:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 2?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x0059ad…
06-01 10:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x8b508e…
06-01 10:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on June 1?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xd29c3f…
06-01 10:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on June 1?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x8e2630…
06-01 08:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x868da9…
06-01 08:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x745461…
06-01 08:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8f01f1…
05-31 19:37:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xce17e6…
05-31 14:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 1?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xf2b724…
05-31 08:30:14	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd7bd19…
05-30 12:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9f6420…
05-30 12:16:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf363ad…
05-30 12:08:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x847414…
05-30 05:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xe25c96…
05-30 03:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 30?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xce5b48…
05-29 16:06:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xd19f3d…
05-29 15:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x4a7b22…
05-29 07:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on May 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x04a702…
05-28 20:59:39	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x24b802…
05-28 19:53:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8c482e…
05-28 10:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x788844…
05-28 10:45:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x5a8498…
05-28 10:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x82f4ed…
05-28 08:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on May 28?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x167906…
05-27 16:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on May 28?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x56c26e…