Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

51.8%

Resolved

3,990

Trades

5,339

lifetime

Volume

$22.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 10-24 20:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 59% +$208

Other

23% 29% -$179

Politics

5% 10% -$37

Tech

1% 8% -$13

Sports

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 194 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	No		+4	$2	39¢	$2	-$1	09-13 01:07
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes		+3	$2	32¢	$1	-$1	09-09 22:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Brooks & Dunn win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	4	$69	50	50	+0	open	—	09-19 16:07
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	6	$58	60	60	+0	Yes	-$1	07-31 22:14
Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have 163 or more seats after the 2026 election?	4	$56	40	40	+0	No	-$1	09-20 20:42
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	4	$55	49	49	+0	Yes	+$0	10-02 18:19
will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204724	5	$55	40	40	+0	No	-$7	06-17 12:42
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?	5	$52	46	46	+0	open	—	10-08 07:41
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	6	$51	60	60	+0	No	-$9	09-08 20:28
Will “Stateside + Zara Larsson” by PinkPantheress win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	5	$50	42	42	+0	No	$0	09-27 15:49
will the 1 global netflix show have at least 17 million views this week 20260929	6	$44	24	24	+0	No	$0	09-26 04:34
Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	4	$43	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	08-16 18:31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Attorney General election?	2	$41	27	27	+0	open	—	10-04 07:05
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	4	$41	40	40	+0	Down	+$0	09-18 10:50
Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?	4	$40	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	08-05 16:09
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	4	$39	40	40	+0	open	—	08-19 06:23
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	4	$38	30	30	+0	Yes	$0	09-20 00:48
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,000 and $1,198,000 on September 30?	4	$38	40	40	+0	No	-$1	08-02 14:16
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 11?	2	$35	20	20	+0	No	-$1	09-11 01:09
Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026?	2	$35	32	32	+0	Yes	-$1	09-29 19:14
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?	2	$34	33	33	+0	open	—	10-10 19:05
Will “Dai Dai” by Shakira and Burna Boy win Best Latin at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	2	$34	23	23	+0	No	-$1	09-22 10:11
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 21?	2	$34	29	29	+0	No	-$3	09-20 21:43
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?	4	$33	33	33	+0	Yes	-$1	09-17 04:43
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	2	$32	21	21	+0	No	$0	09-20 06:30
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 28?	7	$32	24	24	+0	No	+$0	09-27 20:02
Will no live-action Miles Morales actor be chosen by end of 2027?	2	$32	22	22	+0	open	—	09-27 12:12
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	09-10 22:10
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on November 30, 2026?	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	10-02 07:18
Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$31	31	31	+0	Yes	-$1	09-23 13:38
Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	2	$30	22	22	+0	No	+$0	10-07 11:44
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 30?	5	$30	33	33	+0	No	$0	09-29 10:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 20:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x20b16b…
10-24 20:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x8b17fa…
10-24 19:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf71daa…
10-19 18:00:42	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa8748b…
10-19 17:52:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x5dbd95…
10-19 17:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xdffa55…
10-19 17:43:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x909c89…
10-19 17:14:21	BNB Up or Down - October 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x59e8db…
10-19 17:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x28b6d9…
10-19 16:44:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xe12c73…
10-19 16:32:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x9bbc51…
10-19 15:03:24	ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xdc161c…
10-19 15:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xab342b…
10-19 14:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x1f1e3c…
10-19 13:30:14	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x37c0b8…
10-19 13:26:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x23cee2…
10-19 11:44:26	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5022a0…
10-19 11:37:27	BNB Up or Down - October 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1ca67a…
10-19 11:35:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc79c8c…
10-19 11:23:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x074b80…
10-19 10:59:08	ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xde3770…
10-19 10:44:38	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xc73235…
10-19 07:19:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xe49cf0…
10-19 07:19:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xbe5aa4…
10-19 06:49:36	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x1810c6…
10-19 03:59:24	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xf8042b…
10-19 03:44:42	BNB Up or Down - October 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xa92caf…
10-19 03:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x9f692a…
10-19 03:14:38	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x2bd6ce…
10-19 03:14:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x775664…
10-19 01:14:12	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x95e435…
10-19 00:34:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x2f200d…
10-18 21:49:09	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xae6dc8…
10-18 20:14:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x2b29c9…
10-18 20:14:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x1f1bf2…
10-18 18:54:14	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x0e32ab…
10-18 18:24:23	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf7f14d…
10-18 18:09:30	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x4d6aaf…
10-18 17:14:08	BNB Up or Down - October 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x1e4370…
10-18 16:59:41	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x2d0a2e…
10-18 16:54:05	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe14fef…
10-18 16:44:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x801813…
10-18 16:44:12	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf7fbf7…
10-18 14:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x1bb46f…
10-18 13:59:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x73d1a4…
10-18 12:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xdff176…
10-18 12:39:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x9c0f14…
10-18 12:37:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x0f3ecb…
10-18 12:24:35	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x80274a…
10-18 12:24:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd30f8b…
10-18 12:24:23	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x19ded8…
10-18 12:21:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x571731…
10-18 12:19:24	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x19d89a…
10-18 12:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xd61854…
10-18 12:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xaa2761…
10-18 11:49:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa58fbc…
10-18 11:48:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc0cb8f…
10-18 11:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x441497…
10-18 11:32:54	BNB Up or Down - October 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x2f72c0…
10-18 11:29:41	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	18¢	$2	0xaf6a97…
10-18 11:25:27	BNB Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x068ad4…
10-18 11:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xdadfa7…
10-18 11:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2de3a8…
10-18 10:44:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xaeb431…
10-18 10:18:32	BNB Up or Down - October 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0xee1027…
10-18 10:14:29	ZCash Up or Down - October 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x4ca1b0…
10-18 10:07:57	BNB Up or Down - October 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1e3db2…
10-18 09:59:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x34488e…
10-18 09:44:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x169aad…
10-18 09:29:11	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xbbbc71…
10-17 21:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x13fd78…
10-17 21:49:44	Solana Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x752dea…
10-17 21:49:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	57¢	$1	0x190cc9…
10-17 21:14:30	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x2a320c…
10-17 18:55:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x7edcff…
10-17 18:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x88ad17…
10-17 18:44:36	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0xd8e9a9…
10-17 18:43:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x879c12…
10-17 18:42:26	BNB Up or Down - October 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xdbf5a4…
10-17 18:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x79866f…
10-17 17:35:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x00f205…
10-17 17:30:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc21cf4…
10-17 17:27:24	ZEC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x396d47…
10-17 17:14:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xd26dda…
10-17 17:09:36	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x8d1a7b…
10-17 16:51:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0x425c17…
10-17 16:49:11	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x5845dd…
10-17 16:13:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf9a89c…
10-17 15:51:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd58a47…
10-17 15:18:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x26a7a9…
10-17 15:17:06	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x9a6396…
10-17 15:14:08	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x58a466…
10-17 14:53:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf5f037…
10-17 13:58:11	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xad94a9…
10-17 12:28:27	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xcdf6da…
10-17 12:12:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x5497fd…
10-17 12:10:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7e6c4d…
10-17 11:59:09	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xdf8fc8…
10-17 11:55:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x863d84…
10-17 11:53:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xba62b6…