Sick-Trigger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.55K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

153

Trades

233

lifetime

Volume

$48.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$207

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 10-12 12:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Sports

41% 49% -$1,862

Other

40% 45% -$3,632

Politics

17% 83% +$1,903

Tech

1% 100% +$237

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$200

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in seoul on april 12 2026 15c	2	$4.7K	2,427	2,422	+5	No	+$95	04-12 04:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	4	$2.9K	1,780	1,780	+0	No	+$668	04-28 16:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$2.4K	5,238	0	+5,238	No	-$2,365	04-28 16:24
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	6	$2.3K	1,389	1,389	+0	No	+$410	04-28 16:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$1.8K	4,826	4,826	+0	No	+$370	04-23 05:18
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	8	$1.5K	3,377	2,245	+1,132	Up	-$471	05-06 04:30
nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	4	$1.5K	859	851	+8	Suns	+$258	04-18 11:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$1.3K	908	908	+0	No	+$522	04-22 15:20
nba atl nyk 2026 04 18 total 216pt5	2	$1.1K	745	733	+12	Under	+$387	04-19 00:51
highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 21c	1	$1000	1,135	0	+1,135	No	+$135	04-13 05:35
nba sas mem 2026 03 25 total 233pt5	1	$998	1,916	0	+1,916	Under	-$998	03-25 19:24
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	2	$924	625	625	+0	Timberwolves	+$324	05-11 03:28
highest temperature in seoul on april 15 2026 21corhigher	13	$712	1,167	953	+214	Yes	+$123	04-15 03:51
highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 20c	1	$697	756	0	+756	No	+$59	04-13 05:36
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	1	$668	1,260	0	+1,260	Yes	+$593	04-01 07:45
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	4	$648	1,149	0	+1,149	Yes	-$648	04-13 06:09
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	2	$621	549	549	+0	Cleveland Guardians	-$5	10-10 20:47
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$603	840	0	+840	Yes	+$237	04-22 18:26
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$579	590	590	+0	open	—	10-11 10:28
Spread: Miami (OH) (-6.5)	9	$575	829	829	+0	UMass	-$325	10-10 20:44
highest temperature in seoul on april 12 2026 19c	2	$484	399	384	+15	Yes	+$299	04-12 16:30
Lakers vs. Rockets	4	$408	893	303	+590	Lakers	+$186	04-25 02:55
nba tor phx 2026 03 22 spread away 2pt5	2	$374	704	0	+704	Suns	-$374	03-22 18:04
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	3	$370	224	224	+0	No	+$11	04-25 04:02
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	1	$357	606	0	+606	Up	-$357	03-23 02:31
spx opens up or down on april 15 2026	2	$350	620	0	+620	Up	+$270	04-15 13:06
nba hou lal 2026 04 18 total 207pt5	2	$330	605	0	+605	Under	-$330	04-19 01:37
nba lal gsw 2026 04 09 total 225pt5	3	$327	455	197	+258	Under	-$130	04-09 06:48
Spread: Wake Forest (-2.5)	1	$300	455	0	+455	Wake Forest	-$300	10-10 16:56
New Hampshire vs. North Carolina A&T	1	$300	590	0	+590	North Carolina A&T	-$300	10-10 16:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 12:26:00	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	340	60¢	$204	0xe019dd…
10-12 12:24:29	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	357	56¢	$200	0xae4e1c…
10-11 11:01:47	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	412	51¢	$210	0x32b142…
10-11 10:28:18	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	590	47¢	$279	0x2377cb…
10-10 21:05:06	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	590	51¢	$300	0x341a1e…
10-10 20:47:45	UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III (Featherweight, Main Card)	Kai Kamaka III	SELL	238	41¢	$98	0xebbb0a…
10-10 20:47:37	UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Matheus Camilo	SELL	202	64¢	$129	0x81e82e…
10-10 20:47:19	Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	549	56¢	$308	0xa9f2bf…
10-10 20:44:40	Spread: Miami (OH) (-6.5)	UMass	SELL	377	11¢	$42	0x328859…
10-10 20:44:04	Spread: Miami (OH) (-6.5)	UMass	SELL	126	12¢	$16	0xcdc424…
10-10 20:41:43	Spread: Miami (OH) (-6.5)	UMass	SELL	207	18¢	$37	0x11e68e…
10-10 20:40:40	Spread: Miami (OH) (-6.5)	UMass	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0x7ed43a…
10-10 20:38:12	Spread: Miami (OH) (-6.5)	UMass	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0x14500e…
10-10 20:07:25	Spread: Miami (OH) (-6.5)	UMass	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x704111…
10-10 20:07:18	Spread: Miami (OH) (-6.5)	UMass	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xac2c51…
10-10 20:07:03	Spread: Miami (OH) (-6.5)	UMass	BUY	177	56¢	$100	0x6528f9…
10-10 17:31:18	UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Matheus Camilo	BUY	202	64¢	$129	0x00a4c6…
10-10 17:30:57	UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III (Featherweight, Main Card)	Kai Kamaka III	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x066466…
10-10 17:24:45	Spread: South Dakota (-10.5)	South Dakota	BUY	212	47¢	$100	0xca31b3…
10-10 17:23:30	Spread: South Dakota (-10.5)	South Dakota	BUY	212	47¢	$100	0x120137…
10-10 17:08:12	Spread: Drake (-10.5)	Drake	BUY	393	51¢	$200	0x3ee8e6…
10-10 17:05:22	Spread: Miami (OH) (-6.5)	UMass	BUY	294	51¢	$150	0x6b5ac3…
10-10 17:05:07	Miami (OH) vs. UMass	Miami (OH)	BUY	448	67¢	$300	0xd97bd1…
10-10 17:02:27	LIU vs. Duquesne	Duquesne	BUY	350	63¢	$220	0xe5ae57…
10-10 17:00:45	Bucknell vs. Georgetown	Georgetown	BUY	338	59¢	$200	0x2a4a5e…
10-10 16:59:10	Stonehill vs. Sacred Heart	Sacred Heart	BUY	620	48¢	$300	0x0b1dc5…
10-10 16:58:01	New Hampshire vs. North Carolina A&T	New Hampshire	BUY	590	51¢	$300	0x9f4375…
10-10 16:56:30	Spread: Wake Forest (-2.5)	NC State	BUY	455	66¢	$300	0xdeb1dd…
10-10 15:27:18	Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	549	57¢	$313	0x5cda8b…
06-06 01:54:48	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread home 9pt5	Knicks	BUY	340	73¢	$248	0x6cc0fe…
05-18 21:52:46	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5	Under	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0xbb9627…
05-18 21:51:53	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Thunder	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0xa87068…
05-17 05:52:56	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5	Over	BUY	412	51¢	$210	0x1a6e41…
05-11 08:09:51	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	217	51¢	$110	0x655096…
05-11 03:28:52	Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	Timberwolves	SELL	625	100¢	$624	0xc03c56…
05-10 15:16:59	Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	625	48¢	$300	0x12419c…
05-06 04:30:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0x6d3a00…
05-06 04:23:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	518	24¢	$122	0x7022f7…
05-06 04:13:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	953	24¢	$224	0xaea1a8…
05-06 04:11:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	574	24¢	$135	0x7a83a3…
05-06 01:52:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	1,012	30¢	$300	0x901a94…
05-06 01:48:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x28c469…
05-06 01:48:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	1,021	29¢	$300	0xff987f…
05-06 01:40:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0x3dd65e…
04-28 16:24:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	2,439	41¢	$1,000	0x8d4262…
04-28 16:22:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,028	99¢	$1,021	0xcff5d1…
04-28 16:22:12	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	1,780	99¢	$1,764	0xdceb28…
04-26 17:05:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	361	97¢	$352	0xb5928d…
04-25 04:02:44	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	141	65¢	$91	0x72d5ef…
04-25 04:02:00	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	No	SELL	108	85¢	$91	0xb870df…
04-25 03:17:56	Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	464	60¢	$279	0xd81ed4…
04-25 02:55:02	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xc2a8d0…
04-25 02:53:16	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x671abb…
04-25 02:52:54	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	303	97¢	$294	0x490ad0…
04-25 02:36:18	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	309	32¢	$99	0xe6f92b…
04-25 02:36:00	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	No	SELL	116	85¢	$99	0x228db1…
04-23 05:19:06	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	194	24¢	$46	0xb79ad2…
04-23 05:18:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	1,162	4¢	$46	0xe66f2b…
04-22 18:26:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	840	72¢	$603	0x078892…
04-22 15:21:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0x8bffcb…
04-22 15:20:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	SELL	908	100¢	$903	0x6e7482…
04-21 10:17:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	498	70¢	$349	0x544d7d…
04-19 12:03:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	345	25¢	$86	0x275690…
04-19 12:03:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x77ed13…
04-19 03:53:42	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	No	BUY	224	80¢	$179	0x3808d8…
04-19 03:46:56	nba hou lal 2026 04 18 spread away 5pt5	Lakers	SELL	179	100¢	$179	0x3fafce…
04-19 03:42:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	908	42¢	$381	0x0380c0…
04-19 01:38:54	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0x468200…
04-19 01:38:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x2b2281…
04-19 01:37:24	nba hou lal 2026 04 18 total 207pt5	Over	BUY	232	56¢	$130	0xf19a16…
04-19 01:20:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x7c616b…
04-19 01:20:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x6f2239…
04-19 00:51:08	nba atl nyk 2026 04 18 total 216pt5	Under	SELL	733	99¢	$726	0xc3f21b…
04-18 23:55:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	671	69¢	$463	0x8d214c…
04-18 23:54:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	309	65¢	$200	0x5a486d…
04-18 23:50:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x8fa4e3…
04-18 18:40:44	nba atl nyk 2026 04 18 total 216pt5	Under	BUY	745	47¢	$350	0x65b362…
04-18 18:27:48	nba hou lal 2026 04 18 total 207pt5	Over	BUY	373	54¢	$200	0x83f9a7…
04-18 14:47:14	nba hou lal 2026 04 18 spread away 5pt5	Lakers	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x8562b7…
04-18 14:47:00	nba atl nyk 2026 04 18 spread home 5pt5	Hawks	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x74ba0b…
04-18 14:46:40	nba min den 2026 04 18 total 230pt5	Over	BUY	545	55¢	$300	0x18ad90…
04-18 14:45:36	nba tor cle 2026 04 18 total 219pt5	Over	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xe56ecf…
04-18 12:29:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	3,664	29¢	$1,063	0x8013e0…
04-18 11:10:30	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Suns	SELL	851	100¢	$850	0x62437b…
04-18 09:56:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	1,161	60¢	$697	0x0e9ed9…
04-18 03:22:00	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Suns	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xdc9696…
04-18 03:10:32	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Suns	BUY	286	70¢	$200	0x982af0…
04-18 03:09:38	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Suns	BUY	417	72¢	$300	0x6d5c32…
04-17 11:04:24	spy up or down on april 17 2026	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xf95c31…
04-17 11:03:12	spx opens up or down on april 17 2026	Down	BUY	553	13¢	$70	0xacb9bb…
04-16 10:08:08	spx opens up or down on april 16 2026	Up	BUY	405	74¢	$300	0xba5347…
04-15 13:06:18	spx opens up or down on april 15 2026	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x0ecf0a…
04-15 07:36:58	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	429	70¢	$300	0xedfcc0…
04-15 07:29:48	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	485	62¢	$300	0x4f5cda…
04-15 07:06:46	spx opens up or down on april 15 2026	Up	BUY	549	55¢	$300	0x1e03ef…
04-15 07:01:46	cricipl roy luc 2026 04 15	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	484	62¢	$300	0x9d4999…
04-15 03:51:06	highest temperature in seoul on april 15 2026 21corhigher	No	SELL	267	60¢	$160	0x438809…
04-15 03:48:30	highest temperature in seoul on april 15 2026 21corhigher	No	SELL	18	62¢	$11	0x9e7bd8…
04-15 03:48:24	highest temperature in seoul on april 15 2026 21corhigher	No	SELL	68	62¢	$42	0xaf5d2f…
04-15 02:56:28	highest temperature in seoul on april 15 2026 21corhigher	No	SELL	72	35¢	$25	0x828c0f…