Scornful-Story — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$934

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 10-19 09:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

97% 41% +$989

Crypto

3% 60% -$38

Politics

0% 20% -$11

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?	2	$500	884	0	+884	Yes	+$384	09-11 07:07
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?	1	$400	784	0	+784	Yes	+$384	06-10 11:31
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt7 in march kbha 359 699	1	$302	338	0	+338	No	+$36	03-18 18:29
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	1	$250	614	0	+614	Yes	+$364	08-12 11:00
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?	1	$230	666	0	+666	No	-$230	06-10 11:31
Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?	1	$225	257	0	+257	No	+$32	05-12 08:20
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?	1	$220	571	0	+571	No	-$220	05-05 12:56
will annual inflation increase by 2pt2 in february 898 464 326 877	2	$205	106	106	+0	No	+$5	03-03 17:23
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?	1	$200	403	0	+403	No	-$200	07-14 07:26
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?	2	$190	612	0	+612	Yes	+$422	05-05 12:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$110	131	0	+131	Yes	+$21	09-15 08:05
will annual inflation increase by 2pt4 in february 763 544 382 181	2	$80	157	0	+157	Yes	+$77	03-11 12:29
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?	1	$78	312	0	+312	No	-$78	07-14 07:26
will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	3	$61	98	0	+98	No	+$37	04-10 11:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 10:00 UTC	5	$42	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	09-14 10:06
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$40	4,444	0	+4,444	No	-$40	06-02 12:00
will annual inflation increase by 2pt9 in march	1	$10	310	0	+310	No	-$10	03-18 18:29
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	1	$10	37	0	+37	No	-$10	06-21 20:38
snhl zsc ajo 2026 02 24	2	$7	18	0	+18	ZSC Lions	-$2	02-24 19:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:50 UTC	3	$5	23	3	+20	Up	$0	02-13 15:53
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	1	$5	16	0	+16	Yes	-$5	06-11 18:07
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	1	$5	26	0	+26	No	-$5	06-11 18:12
iran leadership change by march 31	1	$5	23	0	+23	No	-$5	03-13 16:11
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	1	$5	8	0	+8	No	-$5	04-15 20:34
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	1	$5	30	0	+30	No	-$5	07-02 20:52
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$5	20	0	+20	Yes	-$5	03-03 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:45 UTC	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	02-13 15:48
will argentinas monthly inflation in february 2026 be between 2pt2 and 2pt4	1	$3	19	0	+19	No	-$3	02-13 15:34
another us government shutdown by february 14	1	$3	14	0	+14	No	-$3	02-13 15:38
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	03-30 19:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 09:07:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0d90f0…
10-19 09:05:27	Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4e9d49…
09-15 08:05:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0x9f46db…
09-14 10:06:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 10:00 UTC	Down	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x863dea…
09-14 10:03:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc5b9ec…
09-14 10:03:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xafdda1…
09-14 10:03:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xba0691…
09-14 10:03:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x25272d…
09-14 10:03:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xf91fd2…
09-11 07:07:00	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0xc8889b…
09-11 07:02:16	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	520	58¢	$300	0x937acc…
08-12 11:00:48	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	Yes	BUY	614	41¢	$250	0x5ef2ae…
07-14 07:26:49	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?	Yes	BUY	312	25¢	$78	0x21db8f…
07-14 07:26:31	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?	Yes	BUY	403	50¢	$200	0x44e398…
07-02 20:52:17	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xc135bc…
06-21 20:38:43	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xac974e…
06-11 18:12:00	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x389a15…
06-11 18:07:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x574e43…
06-10 11:31:57	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?	Yes	BUY	784	51¢	$400	0x816507…
06-10 11:31:49	Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?	Yes	BUY	666	35¢	$230	0xf2bc50…
06-02 12:00:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,444	1¢	$40	0x5a96fd…
05-20 08:05:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1b3c8b…
05-12 08:20:33	Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?	No	BUY	257	88¢	$225	0x862d74…
05-05 12:56:34	Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?	Yes	BUY	562	32¢	$180	0xbe3c54…
05-05 12:56:26	Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?	Yes	BUY	571	39¢	$220	0x452367…
04-16 12:55:00	Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xa44cd0…
04-15 20:34:58	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xca5df3…
04-10 11:05:07	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	BUY	35	59¢	$21	0xe1fd85…
04-08 09:35:29	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x60eb71…
04-08 06:54:37	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xd0a479…
03-30 19:28:27	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xf803ff…
03-18 18:29:13	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt7 in march kbha 359 699	No	BUY	338	89¢	$302	0x58e792…
03-18 18:29:13	will annual inflation increase by 2pt9 in march	Yes	BUY	310	3¢	$10	0x42a67e…
03-13 16:11:31	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xcd1f85…
03-13 16:10:33	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x648ab0…
03-11 12:29:33	will annual inflation increase by 2pt4 in february 763 544 382 181	Yes	BUY	55	54¢	$30	0x3426d8…
03-11 09:41:33	will annual inflation increase by 2pt4 in february 763 544 382 181	Yes	BUY	101	49¢	$50	0x9571fc…
03-03 17:23:15	will annual inflation increase by 2pt2 in february 898 464 326 877	No	SELL	106	98¢	$105	0x7f87b3…
03-03 16:14:53	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xe0d52e…
02-24 19:56:24	snhl zsc ajo 2026 02 24	ZSC Lions	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd5c1f8…
02-24 19:42:10	snhl zsc ajo 2026 02 24	Ajoie	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x9ca144…
02-19 12:04:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x58f4d9…
02-19 09:36:46	will israel strike gaza on february 19 2026	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7e9fe7…
02-19 09:33:30	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0e0722…
02-19 09:29:32	will the total number of tsa passengers for february 18 be between 2200000 and 2400000	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x79839a…
02-18 15:08:10	will annual inflation increase by 2pt2 in february 898 464 326 877	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x76c5c4…
02-13 15:53:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa7e292…
02-13 15:50:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0xa4ab59…
02-13 15:50:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x1f1a77…
02-13 15:48:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x19f58e…
02-13 15:46:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x31e1bf…
02-13 15:38:07	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xe29192…
02-13 15:34:17	will argentinas monthly inflation in february 2026 be between 2pt2 and 2pt4	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xe5d966…